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Metacognitive confidence judgments and their link to complex problem solving

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  • Rudolph, Julia
  • Niepel, Christoph
  • Greiff, Samuel
  • Goldhammer, Frank
  • Kröner, Stephan

Abstract

With the aim to better understand the nature of complex problem solving (CPS), we investigated the link between confidence judgments, which represent a major constituent of metacognitive self-monitoring, and CPS by regressing the two facets of CPS (i.e., knowledge acquisition and knowledge application) on confidence in CPS. To ensure that the link between confidence in CPS and CPS is distinct, we controlled for reasoning, which is the strongest known correlate of CPS. Using structural equation modeling in a sample of 471 German seventh-grade students, we found that confidence in CPS explained 67% of the variance in CPS knowledge acquisition and 55% of the variance in CPS knowledge application. These links were reduced but remained substantial when we controlled for reasoning. The results indicate that confidence judgments as indicators of metacognitive monitoring in CPS are substantially linked to successful CPS, thus bringing us one step closer to a full understanding of CPS.

Suggested Citation

  • Rudolph, Julia & Niepel, Christoph & Greiff, Samuel & Goldhammer, Frank & Kröner, Stephan, 2017. "Metacognitive confidence judgments and their link to complex problem solving," Intelligence, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-8.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:intell:v:63:y:2017:i:c:p:1-8
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intell.2017.04.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Samuel Green & Yanyun Yang, 2009. "Reliability of Summed Item Scores Using Structural Equation Modeling: An Alternative to Coefficient Alpha," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 74(1), pages 155-167, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christ, Alexander & Becker, Nicolas & Kröner, Stephan, 2020. "Multiple complex problem-solving scenarios: The incremental validity of ability self-concept beyond reasoning in adults," Intelligence, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    2. Nicolay, Björn & Krieger, Florian & Kuhn, Jörg-Tobias & Graesser, Arthur C. & Ifenthaler, Dirk & Baker, Ryan & Greiff, Samuel, 2023. "Unsuccessful and successful complex problem solvers – A log file analysis of complex problem solving strategies across multiple tasks," Intelligence, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).

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