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Sovereign and bank dependence in the eurozone: A multi-scale approach using wavelet-network analysis

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  • Bales, Stephan

Abstract

This study establishes time–frequency networks of sovereign and bank contagion in the eurozone over the period 2009–2021. By applying discrete wavelet transformation, daily CDS premia of sovereigns and systemically important banks are decomposed into multi-horizon components to specify directed and dependence-weighted networks. Dynamic analysis shows that the network connectivity and the strength of the dependencies are significantly lower after the introduction of the European Banking Union in 2014. While the strength effect is pronounced across all time horizons, the network connectivity only reduces in the short and medium run. This provides evidence that the new regulatory framework promotes financial stability but is more effective in the short and medium horizons. The consideration of the COVID-19 pandemic as a real-life stress test confirms these findings as the strength of the dependencies keeps at significantly lower levels.

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  • Bales, Stephan, 2022. "Sovereign and bank dependence in the eurozone: A multi-scale approach using wavelet-network analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:83:y:2022:i:c:s1057521922002514
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2022.102297
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    Cited by:

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    2. Yuqin Zhou & Shan Wu & Zhenhua Liu & Lavinia Rognone, 2023. "The asymmetric effects of climate risk on higher-moment connectedness among carbon, energy and metals markets," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-16, December.
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    5. Marta Gómez-Puig & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2024. "The diabolic loop between sovereign and banking risk in the euro area," IREA Working Papers 202406, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2024.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign-bank contagion; Wavelet transformation; Financial stability; Network analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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