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Contagion and interdependence in Eurozone bank and sovereign credit markets

Author

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  • Theodoros Bratis
  • Nikiforos T. Laopodis
  • Georgios P. Kouretas

Abstract

This paper focuses on the nature of co‐movement of credit risk measured by credit default swap spreads in both banking and sovereign sectors within EMU. We test for contagion and/or interdependence across countries and across banks under the prism of the Eurozone's Financial Stability Pact. Our main results on financial stability show mostly interdependence within EMU, as expected. In contrast, contagion has only been found in some cases, the determinants of which are attributed to political risk and market risk factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodoros Bratis & Nikiforos T. Laopodis & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2018. "Contagion and interdependence in Eurozone bank and sovereign credit markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(4), pages 655-674, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:ijfiec:v:23:y:2018:i:4:p:655-674
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1642
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David, 2021. "EMU risk-synchronisation and financial fragility through the prism of dynamic connectedness," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-14.
    2. Chen, Chih-Chun & Chen, Chun-Da & Lien, Donald, 2024. "Transmission process and determinants of sovereign credit contagions: Global evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 552-567.
    3. Di Tommaso, Caterina & Foglia, Matteo & Pacelli, Vincenzo, 2023. "The impact and the contagion effect of natural disasters on sovereign credit risk. An empirical investigation," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    4. Naifar, Nader, 2024. "Spillover among Sovereign Credit Risk and the Role of Climate Uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    5. Foglia, Matteo & Angelini, Eliana, 2020. "The diabolical sovereigns/banks risk loop: A VAR quantile design," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 21(C).
    6. Xiaowei Zhai & Zhuo Cheng & Keyu Ai & Bo Shang, 2020. "Research on Environmental Sustainability of Coal Cities: A Case Study of Yulin, China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-21, May.
    7. Foglia, Matteo & Addi, Abdelhamid & Angelini, Eliana, 2022. "The Eurozone banking sector in the time of COVID-19: Measuring volatility connectedness," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    8. Capasso, Salvatore & D'Uva, Marcella & Fiorelli, Cristiana & Napolitano, Oreste, 2023. "Cross-border Italian sovereign risk transmission in EMU countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    9. Qifa Xu & Junqing Zuo & Cuixia Jiang & Yaoyao He, 2021. "A large constrained time‐varying portfolio selection model with DCC‐MIDAS: Evidence from Chinese stock market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3417-3435, July.
    10. Hossein Dastkhan, 2021. "Network‐based early warning system to predict financial crisis," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 594-616, January.
    11. Balcilar, Mehmet & Ozdemir, Zeynel Abidin & Ozdemir, Huseyin & Wohar, Mark E., 2020. "Spillover effects in oil-related CDS markets during and after the sub-prime crisis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    12. Theodoros Bratis & Nikiforos T. Laopodis & Georgios P. Kouretas, 2023. "CDS and equity markets’ volatility linkages: lessons from the EMU crisis," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1259-1281, April.
    13. Bales, Stephan, 2022. "Sovereign and bank dependence in the eurozone: A multi-scale approach using wavelet-network analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    14. Capasso Salvatore & D’Uva Marcella, & Fiorelli Cristiana & Napolitano Oreste, 2022. "Assessing the Impact of Country-Specific Sovereign Risk on Financial and Banking System in EMU: the Role of Italy," CSEF Working Papers 654, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    15. Matteo Foglia & Eliana Angelini, 2021. "The triple (T3) dimension of systemic risk: Identifying systemically important banks," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 7-26, January.
    16. Abdelkader DERBALI & Ali LAMOUCHI, 2020. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: The triple (T3) dimension of systemic risk: identifying systemically important banks in Eurozone Abstract: Editor’s Note - This paper has been retracted from our journal due to bogu," Eastern Journal of European Studies, Centre for European Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, vol. 11, pages 87-122, June.

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