IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v36y2011i8p4935-4942.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A risk-averse optimization model for trading wind energy in a market environment under uncertainty

Author

Listed:
  • Pousinho, H.M.I.
  • Mendes, V.M.F.
  • Catalão, J.P.S.

Abstract

In this paper, a stochastic programming approach is proposed for trading wind energy in a market environment under uncertainty. Uncertainty in the energy market prices is the main cause of high volatility of profits achieved by power producers. The volatile and intermittent nature of wind energy represents another source of uncertainty. Hence, each uncertain parameter is modeled by scenarios, where each scenario represents a plausible realization of the uncertain parameters with an associated occurrence probability. Also, an appropriate risk measurement is considered. The proposed approach is applied on a realistic case study, based on a wind farm in Portugal. Finally, conclusions are duly drawn.

Suggested Citation

  • Pousinho, H.M.I. & Mendes, V.M.F. & Catalão, J.P.S., 2011. "A risk-averse optimization model for trading wind energy in a market environment under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 4935-4942.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:36:y:2011:i:8:p:4935-4942
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2011.05.037
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544211003628
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2011.05.037?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chi‐Keung Woo & Ira Horowitz & Arne Olson & Andrew DeBenedictis & David Miller & Jack Moore, 2011. "Cross‐hedging and forward‐contract pricing of electricity in the Pacific Northwest," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(4), pages 265-279, June.
    2. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang & Song, Zhe, 2010. "Power optimization of wind turbines with data mining and evolutionary computation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 695-702.
    3. Catalão, J.P.S. & Pousinho, H.M.I. & Mendes, V.M.F., 2011. "Hydro energy systems management in Portugal: Profit-based evaluation of a mixed-integer nonlinear approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 500-507.
    4. Lund, Henrik, 2010. "The implementation of renewable energy systems. Lessons learned from the Danish case," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 4003-4009.
    5. Woo, Chi-Keung & Horowitz, Ira & Olson, Arne & Horii, Brian & Baskette, Carmen, 2006. "Efficient frontiers for electricity procurement by an LDC with multiple purchase options," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 70-80, January.
    6. Lin, Q.G. & Huang, G.H., 2010. "An inexact two-stage stochastic energy systems planning model for managing greenhouse gas emission at a municipal level," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 2270-2280.
    7. Lund, Henrik & Duić, Neven & Krajac˘ić, Goran & Graça Carvalho, Maria da, 2007. "Two energy system analysis models: A comparison of methodologies and results," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 948-954.
    8. Xie, Y.L. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Li, Y.F., 2010. "An interval fixed-mix stochastic programming method for greenhouse gas mitigation in energy systems under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(12), pages 4627-4644.
    9. Lund, Henrik, 2007. "Renewable energy strategies for sustainable development," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 912-919.
    10. Woo, C.K. & Olson, A. & Horowitz, I., 2006. "Market efficiency, cross hedging and price forecasts: California's natural-gas markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(8), pages 1290-1304.
    11. Woo, C.K. & King, M. & Tishler, A. & Chow, L.C.H., 2006. "Costs of electricity deregulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 747-768.
    12. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V. & Leahy, M., 2010. "Modelling the existing Irish energy-system to identify future energy costs and the maximum wind penetration feasible," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 2164-2173.
    13. Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2009. "Energy system analysis of 100% renewable energy systems—The case of Denmark in years 2030 and 2050," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 524-531.
    14. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Fotouhi Ghazvini, Mohammad Ali & Canizes, Bruno & Vale, Zita & Morais, Hugo, 2013. "Stochastic short-term maintenance scheduling of GENCOs in an oligopolistic electricity market," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 667-677.
    2. Amit Kumer Podder & Sayemul Islam & Nallapaneni Manoj Kumar & Aneesh A. Chand & Pulivarthi Nageswara Rao & Kushal A. Prasad & T. Logeswaran & Kabir A. Mamun, 2020. "Systematic Categorization of Optimization Strategies for Virtual Power Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-46, November.
    3. Jin, Xin & Zhang, Zhaolong & Shi, Xiaoqiang & Ju, Wenbin, 2014. "A review on wind power industry and corresponding insurance market in China: Current status and challenges," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1069-1082.
    4. Moradi-Dalvand, M. & Mohammadi-Ivatloo, B. & Amjady, N. & Zareipour, H. & Mazhab-Jafari, A., 2015. "Self-scheduling of a wind producer based on Information Gap Decision Theory," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 588-600.
    5. Silva, Ana R. & Pousinho, H.M.I. & Estanqueiro, Ana, 2022. "A multistage stochastic approach for the optimal bidding of variable renewable energy in the day-ahead, intraday and balancing markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    6. Talari, Saber & Shafie-khah, Miadreza & Osório, Gerardo J. & Aghaei, Jamshid & Catalão, João P.S., 2018. "Stochastic modelling of renewable energy sources from operators' point-of-view: A survey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 1953-1965.
    7. Shin, Hunyoung & Baldick, Ross, 2018. "Mitigating market risk for wind power providers via financial risk exchange," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 344-358.
    8. Whei-Min Lin & Chung-Yuen Yang & Chia-Sheng Tu & Ming-Tang Tsai, 2018. "An Optimal Scheduling Dispatch of a Microgrid under Risk Assessment," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-17, June.
    9. Zhu, Y. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Fu, D.Z., 2013. "Modeling for planning municipal electric power systems associated with air pollution control – A case study of Beijing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 168-186.
    10. Xiaojia Guo & Alexandros Beskos & Afzal Siddiqui, 2016. "The natural hedge of a gas-fired power plant," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 63-86, January.
    11. Azizipanah-Abarghooee, Rasoul & Niknam, Taher & Roosta, Alireza & Malekpour, Ahmad Reza & Zare, Mohsen, 2012. "Probabilistic multiobjective wind-thermal economic emission dispatch based on point estimated method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 322-335.
    12. Lak, Omidreza & Rastegar, Mohammad & Mohammadi, Mohammad & Shafiee, Soroush & Zareipour, Hamidreza, 2021. "Risk-constrained stochastic market operation strategies for wind power producers and energy storage systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(PB).
    13. Regina Hemm & Ksenia Poplavskaya & Stefan Strömer & Miriam Schwebler & Bernadette Fina & Fabian Leimgruber, 2022. "What Incentives Are Required for Renewables to Provide Redispatch Services? A Simulation in a Multi-Market Setting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-21, August.
    14. Pousinho, H.M.I. & Silva, H. & Mendes, V.M.F. & Collares-Pereira, M. & Pereira Cabrita, C., 2014. "Self-scheduling for energy and spinning reserve of wind/CSP plants by a MILP approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 524-534.
    15. Deng, Qianli & Jiang, Xianglin & Zhang, Limao & Cui, Qingbin, 2015. "Making optimal investment decisions for energy service companies under uncertainty: A case study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 234-243.
    16. Osmani, Atif & Zhang, Jun, 2014. "Optimal grid design and logistic planning for wind and biomass based renewable electricity supply chains under uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 514-528.
    17. Kitzing, Lena, 2014. "Risk implications of renewable support instruments: Comparative analysis of feed-in tariffs and premiums using a mean–variance approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 495-505.
    18. Osorio, Karim & Sauma, Enzo, 2015. "Incentive mechanisms to promote energy efficiency programs in power distribution companies," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 336-349.
    19. Zahraee, S.M. & Khalaji Assadi, M. & Saidur, R., 2016. "Application of Artificial Intelligence Methods for Hybrid Energy System Optimization," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 617-630.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Catalão, J.P.S. & Pousinho, H.M.I. & Contreras, J., 2012. "Optimal hydro scheduling and offering strategies considering price uncertainty and risk management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 237-244.
    2. Østergaard, P.A. & Lund, H. & Thellufsen, J.Z. & Sorknæs, P. & Mathiesen, B.V., 2022. "Review and validation of EnergyPLAN," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    3. Liu, Wen & Lund, Henrik & Mathiesen, Brian Vad, 2011. "Large-scale integration of wind power into the existing Chinese energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 4753-4760.
    4. Hansen, Kenneth & Breyer, Christian & Lund, Henrik, 2019. "Status and perspectives on 100% renewable energy systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 471-480.
    5. Krajacic, Goran & Duic, Neven & Carvalho, Maria da Graça, 2011. "How to achieve a 100% RES electricity supply for Portugal?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 508-517, February.
    6. Lund, Henrik & Mathiesen, Brian Vad, 2012. "The role of Carbon Capture and Storage in a future sustainable energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 44(1), pages 469-476.
    7. Mahbub, Md Shahriar & Cozzini, Marco & Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Alberti, Fabrizio, 2016. "Combining multi-objective evolutionary algorithms and descriptive analytical modelling in energy scenario design," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 140-151.
    8. Hagos, Dejene Assefa & Gebremedhin, Alemayehu & Zethraeus, Björn, 2014. "Towards a flexible energy system – A case study for Inland Norway," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 41-50.
    9. Hong, Lixuan & Lund, Henrik & Möller, Bernd, 2012. "The importance of flexible power plant operation for Jiangsu's wind integration," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 499-507.
    10. Bove, Roberto & Bucher, Matthias & Ferretti, Fabio, 2012. "Integrating large shares of wind energy in macro-economical cost-effective way," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 438-447.
    11. Behnam Zakeri & Samuli Rinne & Sanna Syri, 2015. "Wind Integration into Energy Systems with a High Share of Nuclear Power—What Are the Compromises?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-35, March.
    12. Ma, Tao & Østergaard, Poul Alberg & Lund, Henrik & Yang, Hongxing & Lu, Lin, 2014. "An energy system model for Hong Kong in 2020," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 301-310.
    13. Woo, C.K. & Sreedharan, P. & Hargreaves, J. & Kahrl, F. & Wang, J. & Horowitz, I., 2014. "A review of electricity product differentiation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 262-272.
    14. Connolly, D. & Lund, H. & Mathiesen, B.V. & Leahy, M., 2010. "A review of computer tools for analysing the integration of renewable energy into various energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(4), pages 1059-1082, April.
    15. Catalão, J.P.S. & Pousinho, H.M.I. & Mendes, V.M.F., 2011. "Hydro energy systems management in Portugal: Profit-based evaluation of a mixed-integer nonlinear approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 500-507.
    16. Hong, Lixuan & Lund, Henrik & Mathiesen, Brian Vad & Möller, Bernd, 2013. "2050 pathway to an active renewable energy scenario for Jiangsu province," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 267-278.
    17. Kwon, Pil Seok & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2013. "Priority order in using biomass resources – Energy systems analyses of future scenarios for Denmark," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 86-94.
    18. Budzianowski, Wojciech M., 2012. "Target for national carbon intensity of energy by 2050: A case study of Poland's energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 575-581.
    19. Yue, Cheng-Dar & Chen, Chung-Sheng & Lee, Yu-Chen, 2016. "Integration of optimal combinations of renewable energy sources into the energy supply of Wang-An Island," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 930-942.
    20. Lior, Noam, 2012. "Sustainable energy development: The present (2011) situation and possible paths to the future," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 174-191.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:36:y:2011:i:8:p:4935-4942. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.