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Development of a GHG-mitigation oriented inexact dynamic model for regional energy system management

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  • Li, G.C.
  • Huang, G.H.
  • Lin, Q.G.
  • Zhang, X.D.
  • Tan, Q.
  • Chen, Y.M.

Abstract

Multiple dynamics and uncertainties are involved in regional energy and greenhouse gas management (REGM) system, confronting decision makers during plan/policy makings. In this study, a greenhouse gas (GHG)-mitigation oriented inexact dynamic energy system management model (IFMP-REGM) is developed for a REGM system. The IFMP-REGM is a hybrid methodology of interval mathematical programming, fuzzy linear programming and multi-stage stochastic programming. It can not only handle uncertainties presented as discrete intervals, fuzzy sets and probability distributions, but also reflect dynamic variations of system conditions, particularly for large-scale multistage problems with sequential structures. The uncertain information can be incorporated within a multi-layer scenario tree; revised decisions are permitted in each time period based on the realized values of the uncertain events. The developed IFMP-REGM model was then applied to a hypothetical regional energy and GHG management system. The results indicate that the IFMP-REGM can effectively address complexities of various system uncertainties as well as dealing with multi-stage stochastic decision problems within energy systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, G.C. & Huang, G.H. & Lin, Q.G. & Zhang, X.D. & Tan, Q. & Chen, Y.M., 2011. "Development of a GHG-mitigation oriented inexact dynamic model for regional energy system management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 3388-3398.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:36:y:2011:i:5:p:3388-3398
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2011.03.037
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