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Inter- and intra-annual variability of potential power production from wave energy converters

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  • Morim, Joao
  • Cartwright, Nick
  • Hemer, Mark
  • Etemad-Shahidi, Amir
  • Strauss, Darrell

Abstract

Estimation of the variability in the electrical power production and performance over the life-time of wave energy converters (WEC) is paramount for the economic viability of potential wave farm projects. In this research, the significance of the inter-annual variability in the potential production performance (PPP) is demonstrated, using power conversion matrices of ten pre-commercial WEC devices and an existing 31-year wave hindcast case study from the central shelf of New South Wales, Australia. The variability in the PPP over the intra- and inter-annual time scales is found to be comparable, hence indicating that making predictions merely based on annual and monthly averages could be misleading and that inter-annual fluctuations should be considered in future analysis. The results also show that inter-annual variations in WEC production performance can be significantly higher than that of the wave energy resource (WER) owing to the efficiency of different WECs relative to the local sea state conditions. We also demonstrate that optimization of WEC performance for the local sea state cannot only potentially lead to improved power yields but also a decrease in the intra- and inter-annual variability in PPP.

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  • Morim, Joao & Cartwright, Nick & Hemer, Mark & Etemad-Shahidi, Amir & Strauss, Darrell, 2019. "Inter- and intra-annual variability of potential power production from wave energy converters," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 1224-1241.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:169:y:2019:i:c:p:1224-1241
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.12.080
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    19. Orszaghova, J. & Lemoine, S. & Santo, H. & Taylor, P.H. & Kurniawan, A. & McGrath, N. & Zhao, W. & Cuttler, M.V.W., 2022. "Variability of wave power production of the M4 machine at two energetic open ocean locations: Off Albany, Western Australia and at EMEC, Orkney, UK," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 417-431.
    20. Fairley, Iain & Lewis, Matthew & Robertson, Bryson & Hemer, Mark & Masters, Ian & Horrillo-Caraballo, Jose & Karunarathna, Harshinie & Reeve, Dominic E., 2020. "A classification system for global wave energy resources based on multivariate clustering," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
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    23. Kamranzad, Bahareh & Lin, Pengzhi & Iglesias, Gregorio, 2021. "Combining methodologies on the impact of inter and intra-annual variation of wave energy on selection of suitable location and technology," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 697-713.

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