IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v141y2017icp1969-1981.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Optimal trade-off planning for wind-solar power day-ahead scheduling under uncertainties

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, J.J.
  • Zhao, Y.L.
  • Peng, K.
  • Wu, P.Z.

Abstract

This paper proposes a bi-probability-interval optimization (BPIO) model for wind-solar power day-ahead scheduling (WSP-DAS) under uncertainties, which aims to obtain the optimal trade-off planning by balancing profit and risk brought by uncertain wind power and solar power penetration. First, the confidence intervals of wind power and solar power are formulated under given confidence levels of wind speed and solar radiation, respectively. Then, the distribution probabilities of each wind power and solar power are obtained accordingly based on the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of wind speed and solar radiation, respectively. Finally, the framework of BPIO based WSP-DAS is developed to balance the profit and risk, considering a conditional expectation based optimization objective. Comparative experiments are conducted on two day-ahead scheduling systems under the dynamic uncertain wind and solar power penetration. The empirical results fully demonstrate that the proposed BPIO can significantly improve the reliability and effectiveness of evaluating WSP-DAS, in terms of obtaining a trade-off planning between profit and risk against the integration of uncertain wind-solar power.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, J.J. & Zhao, Y.L. & Peng, K. & Wu, P.Z., 2017. "Optimal trade-off planning for wind-solar power day-ahead scheduling under uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1969-1981.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:141:y:2017:i:c:p:1969-1981
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2017.11.125
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544217319837
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2017.11.125?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Wang, Ligang & Yang, Yongping & Dong, Changqing & Morosuk, Tatiana & Tsatsaronis, George, 2014. "Multi-objective optimization of coal-fired power plants using differential evolution," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 254-264.
    2. Li, Y.Z. & Wu, Q.H. & Li, M.S. & Zhan, J.P., 2014. "Mean-variance model for power system economic dispatch with wind power integrated," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 510-520.
    3. Dubey, Hari Mohan & Pandit, Manjaree & Panigrahi, B.K., 2016. "Hydro-thermal-wind scheduling employing novel ant lion optimization technique with composite ranking index," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 18-34.
    4. Chen, J.J. & Zhuang, Y.B. & Li, Y.Z. & Wang, P. & Zhao, Y.L. & Zhang, C.S., 2017. "Risk-aware short term hydro-wind-thermal scheduling using a probability interval optimization model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 534-554.
    5. Ting-Chia Ou & Wei-Fu Su & Xian-Zong Liu & Shyh-Jier Huang & Te-Yu Tai, 2016. "A Modified Bird-Mating Optimization with Hill-Climbing for Connection Decisions of Transformers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-12, August.
    6. Chen, J.J. & Wu, Q.H. & Zhang, L.L. & Wu, P.Z., 2017. "Multi-objective mean–variance–skewness model for nonconvex and stochastic optimal power flow considering wind power and load uncertainties," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(2), pages 719-732.
    7. Ou, Ting-Chia & Hong, Chih-Ming, 2014. "Dynamic operation and control of microgrid hybrid power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 314-323.
    8. Li, Y.Z. & Li, K.C. & Wang, P. & Liu, Y. & Lin, X.N. & Gooi, H.B. & Li, G.F. & Cai, D.L. & Luo, Y., 2017. "Risk constrained economic dispatch with integration of wind power by multi-objective optimization approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 810-820.
    9. Ting-Chia Ou & Kai-Hung Lu & Chiou-Jye Huang, 2017. "Improvement of Transient Stability in a Hybrid Power Multi-System Using a Designed NIDC (Novel Intelligent Damping Controller)," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, April.
    10. Chang, Zhiqi & Song, Shiji & Zhang, Yuli & Ding, Jian-Ya & Zhang, Rui & Chiong, Raymond, 2017. "Distributionally robust single machine scheduling with risk aversion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 256(1), pages 261-274.
    11. Zhao, M. & Chen, Z. & Blaabjerg, F., 2006. "Probabilistic capacity of a grid connected wind farm based on optimization method," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(13), pages 2171-2187.
    12. Hong, Chih-Ming & Ou, Ting-Chia & Lu, Kai-Hung, 2013. "Development of intelligent MPPT (maximum power point tracking) control for a grid-connected hybrid power generation system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 270-279.
    13. Bahmani-Firouzi, Bahman & Farjah, Ebrahim & Azizipanah-Abarghooee, Rasoul, 2013. "An efficient scenario-based and fuzzy self-adaptive learning particle swarm optimization approach for dynamic economic emission dispatch considering load and wind power uncertainties," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 232-244.
    14. Ji, Ling & Huang, Guo-He & Huang, Lu-Cheng & Xie, Yu-Lei & Niu, Dong-Xiao, 2016. "Inexact stochastic risk-aversion optimal day-ahead dispatch model for electricity system management with wind power under uncertainty," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 920-932.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jiao, P.H. & Chen, J.J. & Peng, K. & Zhao, Y.L. & Xin, K.F., 2020. "Multi-objective mean-semi-entropy model for optimal standalone micro-grid planning with uncertain renewable energy resources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    2. Liu, Shuangquan & Xie, Mengfei, 2020. "Modeling the daily generation schedules in under-developed electricity markets with high-share renewables: A case study of Yunnan in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    3. Tianyao Zhang & Weibin Huang & Shijun Chen & Yanmei Zhu & Fuxing Kang & Yerong Zhou & Guangwen Ma, 2023. "The Scheduling Research of a Wind-Solar-Hydro Hybrid System Based on a Sand-Table Deduction Model at Ultra-Short-Term Scales," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-18, April.
    4. Massrur, Hamid Reza & Niknam, Taher & Aghaei, Jamshid & Shafie-khah, Miadreza & Catalão, João P.S., 2018. "A stochastic mid-term scheduling for integrated wind-thermal systems using self-adaptive optimization approach: A comparative study," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 552-564.
    5. Ouyang, Tiancheng & Zhang, Mingliang & Wu, Wencong & Zhao, Jiaqi & Xu, Hua, 2023. "A day-ahead planning for multi-energy system in building community," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    6. Lin, Zhenjia & Chen, Haoyong & Wu, Qiuwei & Li, Weiwei & Li, Mengshi & Ji, Tianyao, 2020. "Mean-tracking model based stochastic economic dispatch for power systems with high penetration of wind power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    7. Jiao, P.H. & Chen, J.J. & Cai, X. & Wang, L.L. & Zhao, Y.L. & Zhang, X.H. & Chen, W.G., 2021. "Joint active and reactive for allocation of renewable energy and energy storage under uncertain coupling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 302(C).
    8. Zhang, Jingrui & Zhu, Xiaoqing & Chen, Tengpeng & Yu, Yanlin & Xue, Wendong, 2020. "Improved MOEA/D approach to many-objective day-ahead scheduling with consideration of adjustable outputs of renewable units and load reduction in active distribution networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    9. Chen, J.J. & Qi, B.X. & Peng, K. & Li, Y. & Zhao, Y.L., 2020. "Conditional value-at-credibility for random fuzzy wind power in demand response integrated multi-period economic emission dispatch," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    10. Wu, Wencong & Xie, Shutao & Tan, Jiaqi & Ouyang, Tiancheng, 2022. "An integrated design of LNG cold energy recovery for supply demand balance using energy storage devices," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 830-848.
    11. Fu, Yiwei & Lu, Zongxiang & Hu, Wei & Wu, Shuang & Wang, Yiting & Dong, Ling & Zhang, Jietan, 2019. "Research on joint optimal dispatching method for hybrid power system considering system security," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 147-163.
    12. Lee, Yoonjae & Ha, Byeongmin & Hwangbo, Soonho, 2022. "Generative model-based hybrid forecasting model for renewable electricity supply using long short-term memory networks: A case study of South Korea's energy transition policy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 69-87.
    13. Bai, Bo & Wang, Yihan & Fang, Cong & Xiong, Siqin & Ma, Xiaoming, 2021. "Efficient deployment of solar photovoltaic stations in China: An economic and environmental perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pengfei Wang & Jialiang Yi & Mansoureh Zangiabadi & Pádraig Lyons & Phil Taylor, 2017. "Evaluation of Voltage Control Approaches for Future Smart Distribution Networks," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, August.
    2. Andrés Henao-Muñoz & Andrés Saavedra-Montes & Carlos Ramos-Paja, 2018. "Optimal Power Dispatch of Small-Scale Standalone Microgrid Located in Colombian Territory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, July.
    3. Carlos Robles Algarín & John Taborda Giraldo & Omar Rodríguez Álvarez, 2017. "Fuzzy Logic Based MPPT Controller for a PV System," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, December.
    4. Jiao, P.H. & Chen, J.J. & Peng, K. & Zhao, Y.L. & Xin, K.F., 2020. "Multi-objective mean-semi-entropy model for optimal standalone micro-grid planning with uncertain renewable energy resources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    5. Mohammed Elsayed Lotfy & Tomonobu Senjyu & Mohammed Abdel-Fattah Farahat & Amal Farouq Abdel-Gawad & Hidehito Matayoshi, 2017. "A Polar Fuzzy Control Scheme for Hybrid Power System Using Vehicle-To-Grid Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-25, July.
    6. Hongyue Li & Xihuai Wang & Jianmei Xiao, 2018. "Differential Evolution-Based Load Frequency Robust Control for Micro-Grids with Energy Storage Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-19, June.
    7. Jaewan Suh & Sungchul Hwang & Gilsoo Jang, 2017. "Development of a Transmission and Distribution Integrated Monitoring and Analysis System for High Distributed Generation Penetration," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-15, August.
    8. Qinliang Tan & Yihong Ding & Yimei Zhang, 2017. "Optimization Model of an Efficient Collaborative Power Dispatching System for Carbon Emissions Trading in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-19, September.
    9. Chen, J.J. & Wu, Q.H. & Zhang, L.L. & Wu, P.Z., 2017. "Multi-objective mean–variance–skewness model for nonconvex and stochastic optimal power flow considering wind power and load uncertainties," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 263(2), pages 719-732.
    10. Changcheng Li & Jinghan He & Pei Zhang & Yin Xu, 2017. "A Novel Sectionalizing Method for Power System Parallel Restoration Based on Minimum Spanning Tree," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(7), pages 1-21, July.
    11. Lin, Zhenjia & Chen, Haoyong & Wu, Qiuwei & Li, Weiwei & Li, Mengshi & Ji, Tianyao, 2020. "Mean-tracking model based stochastic economic dispatch for power systems with high penetration of wind power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    12. Wang, Jianzhou & Yang, Wendong & Du, Pei & Li, Yifan, 2018. "Research and application of a hybrid forecasting framework based on multi-objective optimization for electrical power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 59-78.
    13. Yongqi Zhao & Jiajia Chen, 2021. "A Quantitative Risk-Averse Model for Optimal Management of Multi-Source Standalone Microgrid with Demand Response and Pumped Hydro Storage," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, May.
    14. Li, M.S. & Lin, Z.J. & Ji, T.Y. & Wu, Q.H., 2018. "Risk constrained stochastic economic dispatch considering dependence of multiple wind farms using pair-copula," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 967-978.
    15. Reza Sirjani, 2017. "Optimal Capacitor Placement in Wind Farms by Considering Harmonics Using Discrete Lightning Search Algorithm," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-20, September.
    16. Omid Hoseynpour & Behnam Mohammadi-ivatloo & Morteza Nazari-Heris & Somayeh Asadi, 2017. "Application of Dynamic Non-Linear Programming Technique to Non-Convex Short-Term Hydrothermal Scheduling Problem," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-17, September.
    17. Nantian Huang & Hua Peng & Guowei Cai & Jikai Chen, 2016. "Power Quality Disturbances Feature Selection and Recognition Using Optimal Multi-Resolution Fast S-Transform and CART Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-21, November.
    18. Yongsheng Cao & Guanglin Zhang & Demin Li & Lin Wang & Zongpeng Li, 2018. "Online Energy Management and Heterogeneous Task Scheduling for Smart Communities with Residential Cogeneration and Renewable Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-20, August.
    19. Sarid, A. & Tzur, M., 2018. "The multi-scale generation and transmission expansion model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 977-991.
    20. Marcolino Díaz-Araujo & Aurelio Medina & Rafael Cisneros-Magaña & Amner Ramírez, 2018. "Periodic Steady State Assessment of Microgrids with Photovoltaic Generation Using Limit Cycle Extrapolation and Cubic Splines," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-16, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:141:y:2017:i:c:p:1969-1981. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.