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Investigating the potential of overheating in UK dwellings as a consequence of extant climate change

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  • Peacock, A.D.
  • Jenkins, D.P.
  • Kane, D.

Abstract

Dynamic simulation is used with defined domestic building variants to investigate internal temperatures of UK dwellings. Factors such as a warming climate and varying internal heat gains are estimated to examine whether UK domestic buildings are likely to be prone to overheating in the future, and therefore require mechanical air conditioning. The study suggests that the ability, or inability, of the occupant to adapt to bedroom temperature is paramount in the understanding of the conditions for overheating. While this is difficult to quantify (and a range of comfort temperatures are proposed), the effect of changing the building construction and geographical location can result in significantly different thermal conditions. As might be expected, the problem appears most noticeable for buildings in the south of the UK and with lightweight constructions. Even with a window-opening schedule applied to such a scenario, the average internal temperature is simulated as being over 28 °C for almost 12% of the year. A different metric, defined as "cooling nights", suggests that there might be a cooling problem in bedroom areas for approximately a third of the year. In the North of the UK, and also for solid wall dwellings, this problem diminishes significantly.

Suggested Citation

  • Peacock, A.D. & Jenkins, D.P. & Kane, D., 2010. "Investigating the potential of overheating in UK dwellings as a consequence of extant climate change," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3277-3288, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:38:y:2010:i:7:p:3277-3288
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sailor, D.J & Pavlova, A.A, 2003. "Air conditioning market saturation and long-term response of residential cooling energy demand to climate change," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(9), pages 941-951.
    2. Mansouri, Iman & Newborough, Marcus & Probert, Douglas, 1996. "Energy consumption in UK households: Impact of domestic electrical appliances," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 54(3), pages 211-285, July.
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    1. Patidar, Sandhya & Jenkins, David & Banfill, Phil & Gibson, Gavin, 2014. "Simple statistical model for complex probabilistic climate projections: Overheating risk and extreme events," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 23-28.
    2. Jentsch, Mark F. & James, Patrick A.B. & Bourikas, Leonidas & Bahaj, AbuBakr S., 2013. "Transforming existing weather data for worldwide locations to enable energy and building performance simulation under future climates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 514-524.
    3. Lucía Pereira-Ruchansky & Alexis Pérez-Fargallo, 2020. "Integrated Analysis of Energy Saving and Thermal Comfort of Retrofits in Social Housing under Climate Change Influence in Uruguay," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-22, June.
    4. Alexis Pérez-Fargallo & Carlos Rubio-Bellido & Jesús A. Pulido-Arcas & Inmaculada Gallego-Maya & Fco. Javier Guevara-García, 2018. "Influence of Adaptive Comfort Models on Energy Improvement for Housing in Cold Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-15, March.
    5. McLeod, Robert S. & Swainson, Michael, 2017. "Chronic overheating in low carbon urban developments in a temperate climate," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 201-220.
    6. Osama Omar, 2020. "Near Zero-Energy Buildings in Lebanon: The Use of Emerging Technologies and Passive Architecture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-13, March.
    7. Janice Foster & Tim Sharpe & Anna Poston & Chris Morgan & Filbert Musau, 2016. "Scottish Passive House: Insights into Environmental Conditions in Monitored Passive Houses," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-24, April.
    8. Francesco Fiorito & Giandomenico Vurro & Francesco Carlucci & Ludovica Maria Campagna & Mariella De Fino & Salvatore Carlucci & Fabio Fatiguso, 2022. "Adaptation of Users to Future Climate Conditions in Naturally Ventilated Historic Buildings: Effects on Indoor Comfort," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-21, July.
    9. Lewis, Alan, 2015. "Designing for an imagined user: Provision for thermal comfort in energy-efficient extra-care housing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 204-212.
    10. Jenkins, David P. & Patidar, Sandhya & Banfill, Phil & Gibson, Gavin, 2014. "Developing a probabilistic tool for assessing the risk of overheating in buildings for future climates," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 7-11.
    11. Lucelia Rodrigues & Vasileios Sougkakis & Mark Gillott, 2016. "Investigating the potential of adding thermal mass to mitigate overheating in a super-insulated low-energy timber house," International Journal of Low-Carbon Technologies, Oxford University Press, vol. 11(3), pages 305-316.
    12. Rodrigues, Eugénio & Fernandes, Marco S., 2020. "Overheating risk in Mediterranean residential buildings: Comparison of current and future climate scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
    13. Zhiyong Tian & Shicong Zhang & Jie Deng & Bozena Dorota Hrynyszyn, 2020. "Evaluation on Overheating Risk of a Typical Norwegian Residential Building under Future Extreme Weather Conditions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-12, February.
    14. Staszczuk, A. & Kuczyński, T., 2019. "The impact of floor thermal capacity on air temperature and energy consumption in buildings in temperate climate," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 908-915.
    15. Lingjun Hao & Daniel Herrera-Avellanosa & Claudio Del Pero & Alexandra Troi, 2020. "What Are the Implications of Climate Change for Retrofitted Historic Buildings? A Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
    16. Kuczyński, T. & Staszczuk, A., 2020. "Experimental study of the influence of thermal mass on thermal comfort and cooling energy demand in residential buildings," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    17. Jenkins, D.P. & Ingram, V. & Simpson, S.A. & Patidar, S., 2013. "Methods for assessing domestic overheating for future building regulation compliance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 684-692.
    18. Jenkins, D.P. & Peacock, A.D. & Banfill, P.F.G. & Kane, D. & Ingram, V. & Kilpatrick, R., 2012. "Modelling carbon emissions of UK dwellings – The Tarbase Domestic Model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 596-605.
    19. Dodoo, Ambrose & Gustavsson, Leif, 2016. "Energy use and overheating risk of Swedish multi-storey residential buildings under different climate scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 534-548.
    20. Tadeusz Kuczyński & Anna Staszczuk & Piotr Ziembicki & Anna Paluszak, 2021. "The Effect of the Thermal Mass of the Building Envelope on Summer Overheating of Dwellings in a Temperate Climate," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    21. Kuczyński, Tadeusz & Staszczuk, Anna, 2023. "Experimental study of the thermal behavior of PCM and heavy building envelope structures during summer in a temperate climate," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).

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