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A dynamic auto-adaptive predictive maintenance policy for degradation with unknown parameters

Author

Listed:
  • Mosayebi Omshi, E.
  • Grall, A.
  • Shemehsavar, S.

Abstract

With the development of monitoring equipment, research on condition-based maintenance (CBM) is rapidly growing. CBM optimization aims to find an optimal CBM policy which minimizes the average cost of the system over a specified duration of time. This paper proposes a dynamic auto-adaptive predictive maintenance policy for single-unit systems whose gradual deterioration is governed by an increasing stochastic process. The parameters of the degradation process are assumed to be unknown and Bayes’ theorem is used to update the prior information. The time interval between two successive inspections is scheduled based on the remaining useful life (RUL) of the system and is updated along with the degradation parameters. A procedure is proposed to dynamically adapt the maintenance decision variables accordingly. Finally, different possible maintenance policies are considered and compared to illustrate their performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Mosayebi Omshi, E. & Grall, A. & Shemehsavar, S., 2020. "A dynamic auto-adaptive predictive maintenance policy for degradation with unknown parameters," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(1), pages 81-92.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:282:y:2020:i:1:p:81-92
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2019.08.050
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    6. Shi, Yue & Zhu, Weihang & Xiang, Yisha & Feng, Qianmei, 2020. "Condition-based maintenance optimization for multi-component systems subject to a system reliability requirement," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    7. Kampitsis, Dimitris & Panagiotidou, Sofia, 2022. "A Bayesian condition-based maintenance and monitoring policy with variable sampling intervals," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    8. Duan, Chaoqun & Gong, Ting & Yan, Liangwen & Li, Xinmin, 2024. "Bi-level corrected residual life-based maintenance for deteriorating systems under competing risks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    9. Xiangang Cao & Pengfei Li & Song Ming, 2021. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction-Based Maintenance Decision Model for Stochastic Deterioration Equipment under Data-Driven," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-19, July.
    10. Mosayebi Omshi, E. & Grall, A., 2021. "Replacement and imperfect repair of deteriorating system: Study of a CBM policy and impact of repair efficiency," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Zhu, Zhicheng & Xiang, Yisha & Zhao, Ming & Shi, Yue, 2023. "Data-driven remanufacturing planning with parameter uncertainty," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 309(1), pages 102-116.
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    13. Huynh, K.T., 2021. "An adaptive predictive maintenance model for repairable deteriorating systems using inverse Gaussian degradation process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
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    16. Mosayebi Omshi, E. & Shemehsavar, S. & Grall, A., 2024. "An intelligent maintenance policy for a latent degradation system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    17. Zhao, Xiujie & Liu, Bin & Xu, Jianyu & Wang, Xiao-Lin, 2023. "Imperfect maintenance policies for warranted products under stochastic performance degradation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(1), pages 150-165.
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    19. Cai, Yue & Teunter, Ruud H. & de Jonge, Bram, 2023. "A data-driven approach for condition-based maintenance optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 311(2), pages 730-738.

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