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Application of multi-steps forecasting for restraining the bullwhip effect and improving inventory performance under autoregressive demand

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  • Chandra, Charu
  • Grabis, Janis

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  • Chandra, Charu & Grabis, Janis, 2005. "Application of multi-steps forecasting for restraining the bullwhip effect and improving inventory performance under autoregressive demand," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 166(2), pages 337-350, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:166:y:2005:i:2:p:337-350
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    1. Ryan, Sarah M., 1998. "Forecast frequency in rolling horizon hedging heuristics for capacity expansion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 109(3), pages 550-558, September.
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    3. Gérard P. Cachon, 1999. "Managing Supply Chain Demand Variability with Scheduled Ordering Policies," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 45(6), pages 843-856, June.
    4. T L Urban, 2000. "Reorder level determination with serially-correlated demand," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(6), pages 762-768, June.
    5. Kahn, James A, 1987. "Inventories and the Volatility of Production," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 77(4), pages 667-679, September.
    6. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(1), pages 50-61.
    7. Hau L. Lee & V. Padmanabhan & Seungjin Whang, 1997. "Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 43(4), pages 546-558, April.
    8. Businger, Mark P. & Read, Robert R., 1999. "Identification of demand patterns for selective processing: a case study," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 189-200, April.
    9. Frank Chen & Zvi Drezner & Jennifer K. Ryan & David Simchi-Levi, 2000. "Quantifying the Bullwhip Effect in a Simple Supply Chain: The Impact of Forecasting, Lead Times, and Information," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 436-443, March.
    10. Stephen C. Graves, 1999. "Addendum to "A Single-Item Inventory Model for a Nonstationary Demand Process"," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 1(2), pages 174-174.
    11. Kelle, Peter & Milne, Alistair, 1999. "The effect of (s, S) ordering policy on the supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1-3), pages 113-122, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Byrne, P.J. & Heavey, Cathal, 2006. "The impact of information sharing and forecasting in capacitated industrial supply chains: A case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(1), pages 420-437, September.
    2. Ciancimino, Elena & Cannella, Salvatore & Bruccoleri, Manfredi & Framinan, Jose M., 2012. "On the Bullwhip Avoidance Phase: The Synchronised Supply Chain," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 49-63.
    3. Chiang, Chung-Yean & Lin, Winston T. & Suresh, Nallan C., 2016. "An empirically-simulated investigation of the impact of demand forecasting on the bullwhip effect: Evidence from U.S. auto industry," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 53-65.
    4. Chatfield, Dean C. & Pritchard, Alan M., 2013. "Returns and the bullwhip effect," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(1), pages 159-175.
    5. Ahmed Shaban & Mohamed A. Shalaby & Giulio Di Gravio & Riccardo Patriarca, 2020. "Analysis of Variance Amplification and Service Level in a Supply Chain with Correlated Demand," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-27, August.
    6. Sodhi, ManMohan S. & Tang, Christopher S., 2011. "The incremental bullwhip effect of operational deviations in an arborescent supply chain with requirements planning," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 215(2), pages 374-382, December.
    7. Warren Liao, T. & Chang, P.C., 2010. "Impacts of forecast, inventory policy, and lead time on supply chain inventory--A numerical study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 527-537, December.
    8. Yasser A. Davizón & César Martínez-Olvera & Rogelio Soto & Carlos Hinojosa & Piero Espino-Román, 2015. "Optimal Control Approaches to the Aggregate Production Planning Problem," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-16, December.
    9. K. Devika & A. Jafarian & A. Hassanzadeh & R. Khodaverdi, 2016. "Optimizing of bullwhip effect and net stock amplification in three-echelon supply chains using evolutionary multi-objective metaheuristics," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 242(2), pages 457-487, July.
    10. Gardner, Everette Jr., 2006. "Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 637-666.
    11. Sadeghi, Ahmad, 2015. "Providing a measure for bullwhip effect in a two-product supply chain with exponential smoothing forecasts," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 44-54.
    12. Luong, Huynh Trung & Phien, Nguyen Huu, 2007. "Measure of bullwhip effect in supply chains: The case of high order autoregressive demand process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 183(1), pages 197-209, November.
    13. Carbonneau, Real & Laframboise, Kevin & Vahidov, Rustam, 2008. "Application of machine learning techniques for supply chain demand forecasting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 184(3), pages 1140-1154, February.
    14. Thomassey, Sébastien, 2010. "Sales forecasts in clothing industry: The key success factor of the supply chain management," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 470-483, December.
    15. Saleh, Mohamed & Oliva, Rogelio & Kampmann, Christian Erik & Davidsen, Pål I., 2010. "A comprehensive analytical approach for policy analysis of system dynamics models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(3), pages 673-683, June.
    16. Fu-ren Lin & Shyh-ming Lin, 2006. "Enhancing the Supply Chain Performance by Integrating Simulated and Physical Agents into Organizational Information Systems," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 9(4), pages 1-1.
    17. Ewing, Bradley T. & Thompson, Mark A., 2008. "Industrial production, volatility, and the supply chain," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 553-558, October.
    18. Pastore, Erica & Alfieri, Arianna & Zotteri, Giulio & Boylan, John E., 2020. "The impact of demand parameter uncertainty on the bullwhip effect," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 94-107.

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