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Integrated modelling of the life cycle and aeroecology of wind-borne pests in temporally-variable spatially-heterogeneous environment

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan
  • Grant, William E.
  • Elliott, Norman C.
  • Brewer, Michael J.
  • Koralewski, Tomasz E.
  • Westbrook, John K.
  • Alves, Tavvs M.
  • Sword, Gregory A.

Abstract

Integrating population ecology and aeroecology is important for understanding dispersal dynamics of pest insects that depend on aerial habitats. Sugarcane aphid (Melanaphis sacchari) is an economic pest of sorghum in Asia, Africa, Australia, and South America and recently invaded North America, affecting over 90% of the continent’s sorghum production. Long-distance, wind-aided dispersal together with the ability to overwinter in the southernmost sorghum-producing areas appear responsible for their geographic spread in North America. We developed a spatially-explicit, individual-based, stochastic model that integrates the life cycle and aeroecology of sugarcane aphids to forecast regional infestations of sorghum fields. We parameterized and calibrated the model to represent environmental conditions and sorghum phenologies of the southern to central Great Plains of the USA where sorghum is cultivated. We validated the model by comparing simulated spatial-temporal patterns of aphid infestations to georeferenced field data on infestations collected as part of an extensive field project. We assessed potential usefulness of the model by analysing regional patterns of aphid infestations on sorghum simulated under climatic conditions recorded in the southern to central Great Plains in 2017.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan & Grant, William E. & Elliott, Norman C. & Brewer, Michael J. & Koralewski, Tomasz E. & Westbrook, John K. & Alves, Tavvs M. & Sword, Gregory A., 2019. "Integrated modelling of the life cycle and aeroecology of wind-borne pests in temporally-variable spatially-heterogeneous environment," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 399(C), pages 23-38.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:399:y:2019:i:c:p:23-38
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.02.014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Koralewski, Tomasz E. & Westbrook, John K. & Grant, William E. & Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan, 2019. "Coupling general physical environmental process models with specific question-driven ecological simulation models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 102-105.
    2. Cartwright, Samantha J. & Bowgen, Katharine M. & Collop, Catherine & Hyder, Kieran & Nabe-Nielsen, Jacob & Stafford, Richard & Stillman, Richard A. & Thorpe, Robert B. & Sibly, Richard M., 2016. "Communicating complex ecological models to non-scientist end users," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 338(C), pages 51-59.
    3. Grimm, Volker & Berger, Uta & DeAngelis, Donald L. & Polhill, J. Gary & Giske, Jarl & Railsback, Steven F., 2010. "The ODD protocol: A review and first update," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(23), pages 2760-2768.
    4. Glick, P. A., 1939. "The Distribution of Insects, Spiders, and Mites in the Air," Technical Bulletins 168268, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    1. Koralewski, Tomasz E. & Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan & Grant, William E. & Brewer, Michael J. & Elliott, Norman C., 2023. "Error propagation in an integrated spatially-explicit individual-based model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 475(C).
    2. Kolpas, Allison & Funk, David H. & Jackson, John K. & Sweeney, Bernard W., 2020. "Phenological modeling of the parthenogenetic mayfly Neocloeon triangulifer (Ephemeroptera: Baetidae) in White Clay Creek," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 416(C).
    3. Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan & Grant, William E. & Koralewski, Tomasz E. & Elliott, Norman C. & Brewer, Michael J. & Westbrook, John K., 2020. "Where do all the aphids go? A series of thought experiments within the context of area-wide pest management," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    4. Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan & Grant, William E. & Koralewski, Tomasz E. & Brewer, Michael J. & Elliott, Norman C., 2021. "Simulating migration of wind-borne pests: “Deconstructing” representation of the emigration process," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 460(C).
    5. Koralewski, Tomasz E. & Westbrook, John K. & Grant, William E. & Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan, 2019. "Coupling general physical environmental process models with specific question-driven ecological simulation models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 102-105.

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