IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/csdana/v54y2010i6p1535-1546.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Ensemble classification based on generalized additive models

Author

Listed:
  • De Bock, Koen W.
  • Coussement, Kristof
  • Van den Poel, Dirk

Abstract

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are a generalization of generalized linear models (GLMs) and constitute a powerful technique which has successfully proven its ability to capture nonlinear relationships between explanatory variables and a response variable in many domains. In this paper, GAMs are proposed as base classifiers for ensemble learning. Three alternative ensemble strategies for binary classification using GAMs as base classifiers are proposed: (i) GAMbag based on Bagging, (ii) GAMrsm based on the Random Subspace Method (RSM), and (iii) GAMens as a combination of both. In an experimental validation performed on 12 data sets from the UCI repository, the proposed algorithms are benchmarked to a single GAM and to decision tree based ensemble classifiers (i.e. RSM, Bagging, Random Forest, and the recently proposed Rotation Forest). From the results a number of conclusions can be drawn. Firstly, the use of an ensemble of GAMs instead of a single GAM always leads to improved prediction performance. Secondly, GAMrsm and GAMens perform comparably, while both versions outperform GAMbag. Finally, the value of using GAMs as base classifiers in an ensemble instead of standard decision trees is demonstrated. GAMbag demonstrates performance comparable to ordinary Bagging. Moreover, GAMrsm and GAMens outperform RSM and Bagging, while these two GAM ensemble variations perform comparably to Random Forest and Rotation Forest. Sensitivity analyses are included for the number of member classifiers in the ensemble, the number of variables included in a random feature subspace and the number of degrees of freedom for GAM spline estimation.

Suggested Citation

  • De Bock, Koen W. & Coussement, Kristof & Van den Poel, Dirk, 2010. "Ensemble classification based on generalized additive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(6), pages 1535-1546, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:6:p:1535-1546
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167-9473(09)00465-4
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zwane, E. N. & van der Heijden, P. G. M., 2004. "Semiparametric models for capture-recapture studies with covariates," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(4), pages 729-743, November.
    2. Croux, Christophe & Joossens, Kristel & Lemmens, Aurelie, 2007. "Trimmed bagging," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 362-368, September.
    3. Hothorn, Torsten & Lausen, Berthold, 2005. "Bundling classifiers by bagging trees," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(4), pages 1068-1078, June.
    4. Archer, Kellie J. & Kimes, Ryan V., 2008. "Empirical characterization of random forest variable importance measures," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 2249-2260, January.
    5. Marx, Brian D. & Eilers, Paul H. C., 1998. "Direct generalized additive modeling with penalized likelihood," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 193-209, August.
    6. Abe, Makoto, 1999. "A Generalized Additive Model for Discrete-Choice Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 17(3), pages 271-284, July.
    7. Borra, Simone & Di Ciaccio, Agostino, 2002. "Improving nonparametric regression methods by bagging and boosting," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 407-420, February.
    8. Baccini, Michela & Biggeri, Annibale & Lagazio, Corrado & Lertxundi, Aitana & Saez, Marc, 2007. "Parametric and semi-parametric approaches in the analysis of short-term effects of air pollution on health," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(9), pages 4324-4336, May.
    9. Daniel Berg, 2007. "Bankruptcy prediction by generalized additive models," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(2), pages 129-143, March.
    10. A. Prinzie & D. Van Den Poel, 2007. "Random Forrests for Multiclass classification: Random Multinomial Logit," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 07/435, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. K. W. De Bock & D. Van Den Poel, 2012. "Reconciling Performance and Interpretability in Customer Churn Prediction using Ensemble Learning based on Generalized Additive Models," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 12/805, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    2. Christmann, Andreas & Hable, Robert, 2012. "Consistency of support vector machines using additive kernels for additive models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 854-873.
    3. M. Ballings & D. Van Den Poel & E. Verhagen, 2013. "Evaluating the Added Value of Pictorial Data for Customer Churn Prediction," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 13/869, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    4. Murat Gök, 2015. "An ensemble of -nearest neighbours algorithm for detection of Parkinson's disease," International Journal of Systems Science, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(6), pages 1108-1112, April.
    5. Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan & Majid Mojirsheibani, 2015. "A simple method for combining estimates to improve the overall error rates in classification," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 1033-1049, December.
    6. Jasmit Shah & Somnath Datta & Susmita Datta, 2014. "A multi-loss super regression learner (MSRL) with application to survival prediction using proteomics," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 29(6), pages 1749-1767, December.
    7. Kraus, Mathias & Tschernutter, Daniel & Weinzierl, Sven & Zschech, Patrick, 2024. "Interpretable generalized additive neural networks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 317(2), pages 303-316.
    8. Coussement, Kristof & De Bock, Koen W., 2013. "Customer churn prediction in the online gambling industry: The beneficial effect of ensemble learning," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(9), pages 1629-1636.
    9. K. W. De Bock & D. Van Den Poel, 2011. "An empirical evaluation of rotation-based ensemble classifiers for customer churn prediction," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 11/717, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    10. Mojirsheibani, Majid & Kong, Jiajie, 2016. "An asymptotically optimal kernel combined classifier," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 91-100.
    11. Fitzpatrick, Trevor & Mues, Christophe, 2016. "An empirical comparison of classification algorithms for mortgage default prediction: evidence from a distressed mortgage market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 249(2), pages 427-439.
    12. Adler, Werner & Brenning, Alexander & Potapov, Sergej & Schmid, Matthias & Lausen, Berthold, 2011. "Ensemble classification of paired data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(5), pages 1933-1941, May.
    13. Hugo Proença & João C. Neves, 2017. "Fusing Vantage Point Trees and Linear Discriminants for Fast Feature Classification," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 34(1), pages 85-107, April.
    14. Koen W. de Bock & Arno de Caigny, 2021. "Spline-rule ensemble classifiers with structured sparsity regularization for interpretable customer churn modeling," Post-Print hal-03391564, HAL.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rokach, Lior, 2009. "Taxonomy for characterizing ensemble methods in classification tasks: A review and annotated bibliography," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(12), pages 4046-4072, October.
    2. Petersen, Maya L. & Molinaro, Annette M. & Sinisi, Sandra E. & van der Laan, Mark J., 2007. "Cross-validated bagged learning," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(9), pages 1693-1704, October.
    3. Stoklosa, Jakub & Huggins, Richard M., 2012. "A robust P-spline approach to closed population capture–recapture models with time dependence and heterogeneity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(2), pages 408-417.
    4. Chung, Dongjun & Kim, Hyunjoong, 2015. "Accurate ensemble pruning with PL-bagging," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 1-13.
    5. Brezger, Andreas & Lang, Stefan, 2006. "Generalized structured additive regression based on Bayesian P-splines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 967-991, February.
    6. Giordani, Paolo & Jacobson, Tor & Schedvin, Erik von & Villani, Mattias, 2014. "Taking the Twists into Account: Predicting Firm Bankruptcy Risk with Splines of Financial Ratios," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(4), pages 1071-1099, August.
    7. Binh Thai Pham & Chongchong Qi & Lanh Si Ho & Trung Nguyen-Thoi & Nadhir Al-Ansari & Manh Duc Nguyen & Huu Duy Nguyen & Hai-Bang Ly & Hiep Van Le & Indra Prakash, 2020. "A Novel Hybrid Soft Computing Model Using Random Forest and Particle Swarm Optimization for Estimation of Undrained Shear Strength of Soil," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-16, March.
    8. Lee, Dae-Jin & Durbán, María, 2009. "P-spline anova-type interaction models for spatio-temporal smoothing," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS ws093312, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    9. Bernhard Baumgartner & Daniel Guhl & Thomas Kneib & Winfried J. Steiner, 2018. "Flexible estimation of time-varying effects for frequently purchased retail goods: a modeling approach based on household panel data," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 40(4), pages 837-873, October.
    10. Simon N. Wood & Natalya Pya & Benjamin Säfken, 2016. "Smoothing Parameter and Model Selection for General Smooth Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(516), pages 1548-1563, October.
    11. Strasak, Alexander M. & Umlauf, Nikolaus & Pfeiffer, Ruth M. & Lang, Stefan, 2011. "Comparing penalized splines and fractional polynomials for flexible modelling of the effects of continuous predictor variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(4), pages 1540-1551, April.
    12. Lamperti, Francesco & Roventini, Andrea & Sani, Amir, 2018. "Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 366-389.
    13. Jung-sik Hong & Hyeongyu Yeo & Nam-Wook Cho & Taeuk Ahn, 2018. "Identification of Core Suppliers Based on E-Invoice Data Using Supervised Machine Learning," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, October.
    14. E. Zanini & E. Eastoe & M. J. Jones & D. Randell & P. Jonathan, 2020. "Flexible covariate representations for extremes," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(5), August.
    15. Makoto Abe & Yasemin Boztug & Lutz Hildebrandt, 2004. "Investigating the competitive assumption of Multinomial Logit models of brand choice by nonparametric modeling," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 635-657, December.
    16. Mohamed Zine & Fouzi Harrou & Mohammed Terbeche & Mohammed Bellahcene & Abdelkader Dairi & Ying Sun, 2023. "E-Learning Readiness Assessment Using Machine Learning Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-22, June.
    17. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/13thfd12aa8rmplfudlgvgahff is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Chen, Enhui & Stathopoulos, Amanda & Nie, Yu (Marco), 2022. "Transfer station choice in a multimodal transit system: An empirical study," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 337-355.
    19. Fatima Palacios‐Rodriguez & Elena Di Bernardino & Melina Mailhot, 2023. "Smooth copula‐based generalized extreme value model and spatial interpolation for extreme rainfall in Central Eastern Canada," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), May.
    20. Adler, Werner & Lausen, Berthold, 2009. "Bootstrap estimated true and false positive rates and ROC curve," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 718-729, January.
    21. Yigit Aydede & Jan Ditzen, 2022. "Identifying the regional drivers of influenza-like illness in Nova Scotia with dominance analysis," Papers 2212.06684, arXiv.org.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:6:p:1535-1546. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.