IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/asieco/v60y2019icp85-100.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Behavior of foreign investors in the Malaysian stock market in times of crisis: A nonlinear approach

Author

Listed:
  • Omay, Tolga
  • Iren, Perihan

Abstract

This study investigates the response to crisis of foreign investors versus domestic investors in the Malaysian stock market. The econometric-modeling involves a nonlinear approach which allows for investor responses to differ in up and down markets. Specifically, the smooth-transition autoregressive (STAR-STGARCH) family of models and generalized impulse response function (GIRF) analysis are employed. The 1997 Asian Crisis is analyzed using daily data for the period 1995–2003, and the 2008 Global Financial Crisis for a period extended to 2015 with allowance for structural breaks. The results indicate that foreign investors exhibited herding behavior during the Asian Crisis and responded to the shock more quickly than domestic investors, but that foreigners did not act differently from their domestic counterparts during the Global Financial Crisis. These findings suggest that even as foreign capital flows may be desirable for economic growth, they can be unstable and may increase volatility during crises that are locally rooted.

Suggested Citation

  • Omay, Tolga & Iren, Perihan, 2019. "Behavior of foreign investors in the Malaysian stock market in times of crisis: A nonlinear approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 85-100.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:60:y:2019:i:c:p:85-100
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2018.11.002
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1049007818300605
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.asieco.2018.11.002?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kim, Woochan & Wei, Shang-Jin, 2002. "Foreign portfolio investors before and during a crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 77-96, January.
    2. Geert Bekaert & Campbell R. Harvey, 2000. "Foreign Speculators and Emerging Equity Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 565-613, April.
    3. Mübariz Hasanov & Tolga Omay, 2011. "The Relationship Between Inflation, Output Growth, and Their Uncertainties: Evidence from Selected CEE Countries," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(0), pages 5-20, July.
    4. Errunza, Vihang R. & Miller, Darius P., 2000. "Market Segmentation and the Cost of the Capital in International Equity Markets," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(4), pages 577-600, December.
    5. Hamao, Yasushi & Mei, Jianping, 2001. "Living with the "enemy": an analysis of foreign investment in the Japanese equity market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 715-735, October.
    6. Karolyi, G. Andrew, 2002. "Did the Asian financial crisis scare foreign investors out of Japan?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 411-442, September.
    7. Choe, Hyuk & Kho, Bong-Chan & Stulz, Rene M., 1999. "Do foreign investors destabilize stock markets? The Korean experience in 1997," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(2), pages 227-264, October.
    8. Inessa Love, 2003. "Financial Development and Financing Constraints: International Evidence from the Structural Investment Model," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 16(3), pages 765-791, July.
    9. Tomas Dvorak, 2001. "Do Domestic Investors Have an Information Advantage? Evidence from Indonesia," Center for Development Economics 168, Department of Economics, Williams College.
    10. Edison, Hali J. & Warnock, Francis E., 2003. "A simple measure of the intensity of capital controls," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-2), pages 81-103, February.
    11. Lundbergh, Stefan & Teräsvirta, Timo, 1998. "Modelling economic high-frequency time series with STAR-STGARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 291, Stockholm School of Economics.
    12. Mishkin, Frederic S., 1999. "Lessons from the Asian crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 709-723, August.
    13. Brian H. Boyer & Tomomi Kumagai & Kathy Yuan, 2006. "How Do Crises Spread? Evidence from Accessible and Inaccessible Stock Indices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(2), pages 957-1003, April.
    14. Hyuk Choe & Bong-Chan Kho & René M. Stulz, 2005. "Do Domestic Investors Have an Edge? The Trading Experience of Foreign Investors in Korea," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 18(3), pages 795-829.
    15. Heng Swee Keat, 2009. "The global financial crisis – impact on Asia and policy challenges ahead," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Oct, pages 267-276.
    16. Wooldridge, Jeffrey M., 1991. "On the application of robust, regression- based diagnostics to models of conditional means and conditional variances," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 5-46, January.
    17. David G. McMillan, 2003. "Non‐linear Predictability of UK Stock Market Returns," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 65(5), pages 557-573, December.
    18. Sheng,Andrew, 2009. "From Asian to Global Financial Crisis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521134156, January.
    19. Froot, Kenneth A. & O'Connell, Paul G. J. & Seasholes, Mark S., 2001. "The portfolio flows of international investors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(2), pages 151-193, February.
    20. Omay, Tolga, 2008. "The Term Structure of Interest Rate as a Predictor of Inflation and Real Economic Activity: Nonlinear Evidence from Turkey," MPRA Paper 28572, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian, 2005. "Does financial liberalization spur growth?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 3-55, July.
    22. Broner, Fernando & Didier, Tatiana & Erce, Aitor & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2013. "Gross capital flows: Dynamics and crises," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(1), pages 113-133.
    23. Felix Chan & Michael McAleer, 2003. "Estimating smooth transition autoregressive models with GARCH errors in the presence of extreme observations and outliers," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(8), pages 581-592.
    24. Commission on Growth and Development, 2008. "The Growth Report : Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6507.
    25. Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2017. "Trading of foreign investors and stock returns in an emerging market - Evidence from Vietnam," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 88-93.
    26. Mubariz Hasanov & Tolga Omay, 2008. "Nonlinearities in emerging stock markets: evidence from Europe's two largest emerging markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(20), pages 2645-2658.
    27. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo, 2002. "Evaluating GARCH models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 417-435, October.
    28. Chan, Kalok & Menkveld, Albert J. & Yang, Zhishu, 2007. "The informativeness of domestic and foreign investors' stock trades: Evidence from the perfectly segmented Chinese market," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 391-415, November.
    29. Kim, E Han & Singal, Vijay, 2000. "Erratum [Stock Market Openings: Experience of Emerging Economies]," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 73(4), October.
    30. Tolga Omay & Mubariz Hasanov, 2010. "The effects of inflation uncertainty on interest rates: a nonlinear approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(23), pages 2941-2955.
    31. Kim, E Han & Singal, Vijay, 2000. "Stock Market Openings: Experience of Emerging Economies," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 73(1), pages 25-66, January.
    32. Kenneth Rogoff, 1999. "International Institutions for Reducing Global Financial Instability," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(4), pages 21-42, Fall.
    33. David A. Marshall, 1998. "Understanding the Asian crisis: systemic risk as coordination failure," Economic Perspectives, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, vol. 22(Q III), pages 13-38.
    34. Tolga Omay, 2011. "The relationship between inflation, output growth, and their uncertainties: Nonlinear Multivariate GARCH-M evidence," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(4), pages 3006-3015.
    35. Sheng,Andrew, 2009. "From Asian to Global Financial Crisis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521118644, January.
    36. Goh, S. K. & Alias, M. H. & Olekalns, N., 2003. "New evidence on financial openness in Malaysia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 311-325, April.
    37. Grinblatt, Mark & Keloharju, Matti, 2000. "The investment behavior and performance of various investor types: a study of Finland's unique data set," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 43-67, January.
    38. Hasanov, Mübariz & Omay, Tolga, 2008. "Monetary policy rules in practice: Re-examining the case of Turkey," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(16), pages 4309-4318.
    39. Kenneth A. Froot & Tarun Ramadorai, 2008. "Institutional Portfolio Flows and International Investments," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(2), pages 937-971, April.
    40. White, Halbert & Domowitz, Ian, 1984. "Nonlinear Regression with Dependent Observations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(1), pages 143-161, January.
    41. Felix Chan & Michael McAleer, 2002. "Maximum likelihood estimation of STAR and STAR-GARCH models: theory and Monte Carlo evidence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 509-534.
    42. Teräsvirta, Timo, 1996. "Smooth Transition Models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 132, Stockholm School of Economics.
    43. Harald Hau, 2001. "Location Matters: An Examination of Trading Profits," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(5), pages 1959-1983, October.
    44. Barry J. Eichengreen, 1999. "Toward a New International Financial Architecture: A Practical Post-Asia Agenda," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 51, April.
    45. Baek, In-Mee & Jun, Jongbyung, 2011. "Testing contagion of the 1997-98 crisis in Asian stock markets with structural breaks and incubation periods," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 356-368, October.
    46. Peter Blair Henry, 2000. "Stock Market Liberalization, Economic Reform, and Emerging Market Equity Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(2), pages 529-564, April.
    47. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    48. Koop, Gary & Pesaran, M. Hashem & Potter, Simon M., 1996. "Impulse response analysis in nonlinear multivariate models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 74(1), pages 119-147, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Muhammad Usman & Danish Ahmed Siddiqui, 2019. "The Effect of Oil Price on Stock Market Returns with Moderating Effect of Foreign Direct Investment & Foreign Portfolio Investment: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Market," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(2), pages 45-61, June.
    2. Ah Mand, Abdollah & Sifat, Imtiaz, 2021. "Static and regime-dependent herding behavior: An emerging market case study," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    3. Ding, Yibing & Zhang, Xiaojing & Liu, Ziwei, 2021. "Differences in returns to cross-border M&A in the short and long run: Evidence from Chinese listed firms," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    4. Syed Faisal Hasssan Bukhari & Waqar Yasir & Christian Espinosa Méndez & Zia Mustafa, 2023. "Sectoral Comparison of Herding During Global Financial Crisis and Covid-19: Comparative Analysis of Shariah Compliant and Conventional Stocks," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 5(3), pages 202-210.
    5. Ignatius Roni Setyawan & Buddi Wibowo, 2021. "Does Entropy Index Explain the Determinant of Capital Market Integration in ASEAN?," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 29(1), pages 17-39.
    6. Choijil, Enkhbayar & Méndez, Christian Espinosa & Wong, Wing-Keung & Vieito, João Paulo & Batmunkh, Munkh-Ulzii, 2022. "Thirty years of herd behavior in financial markets: A bibliometric analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    7. Wang, Xiaosong & Wu, Huan & Woo, Wing Thye & Xie, Shenxiang, 2021. "OFDI and stock returns: Evidence from manufacturing firms listed on the Chinese A-shares market," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Peter Henry, 2007. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation," Discussion Papers 07-004, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research.
    2. Bae, Kee-Hong & Ozoguz, Arzu & Tan, Hongping & Wirjanto, Tony S., 2012. "Do foreigners facilitate information transmission in emerging markets?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 209-227.
    3. Peter Blair Henry, 2007. "Capital Account Liberalization: Theory, Evidence, and Speculation," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 45(4), pages 887-935, December.
    4. Boubekeur Baba & Güven Sevil, 2021. "Bayesian analysis of time-varying interactions between stock returns and foreign equity flows," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, December.
    5. Kim, Jaemin & Landi, James & Yoo, Sean Sehyun, 2009. "Inter-temporal examination of the trading activities of foreign investors in the Korean stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 243-256, April.
    6. Liew, Ping-Xin & Lim, Kian-Ping & Goh, Kim-Leng, 2018. "Foreign equity flows: Boon or bane to the liquidity of Malaysian stock market?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 161-181.
    7. Gonçalves, Walter & Eid, William, 2017. "Sophistication and price impact of foreign investors in the Brazilian stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 102-139.
    8. Tri Minh Nguyen, 2017. "The Impact of Foreign Investor Trading Activity on Vietnamese Stock Market," International Journal of Marketing Studies, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 9(1), pages 109-118, February.
    9. Diego Alonso Agudelo Rueda & Milena Castaño, 2011. "Do foreign portfolio flows increase risk in emerging stock markets? Evidence from six Latin American countries 1999 -2008," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10663, Universidad EAFIT.
    10. Dahlquist, Magnus & Robertsson, Goran, 2004. "A note on foreigners' trading and price effects across firms," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(3), pages 615-632, March.
    11. Bai, Min & Qin, Yafeng & Zhang, Huiping, 2021. "Stock price crashes in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 466-482.
    12. Umutlu, Mehmet & Akdeniz, Levent & Altay-Salih, Aslihan, 2010. "The degree of financial liberalization and aggregated stock-return volatility in emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 509-521, March.
    13. Andrade, Sandro C. & Kohlscheen, Emanuel, 2010. "Pessimistic Foreign Investors and Turmoil in Emerging Markets : The Case of Brazil in 2002," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 926, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
    14. Lin, Anchor Y., 2006. "Has the Asian crisis changed the role of foreign investors in emerging equity markets: Taiwan's experience," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 364-382.
    15. Park, Haehean & Lee, Po-sang & Park, Yun W., 2020. "Information asymmetry and the effect of financial openness on firm growth and wage in emerging markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 901-916.
    16. Pantisa Pavabutr & Hong Yan, 2007. "The Impact of Foreign Portfolio Flows on Emerging Market Volatility: Evidence from Thailand," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 32(2), pages 345-368, December.
    17. Bian, Jiangze & Chan, Kalok & Han, Bing & Shi, Donghui, 2023. "Cross-border equity flows and information transmission: Evidence from Chinese stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    18. Fernandes, Nuno, 2009. "Market liberalizations at the firm level: Spillovers fromADRs and implications for local markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 293-321, March.
    19. Christoffersen, Peter & Chung, Hyunchul & Errunza, Vihang, 2006. "Size matters: The impact of financial liberalization on individual firms," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(8), pages 1296-1318, December.
    20. Ülkü, Numan & Karpova, Yekaterina, 2014. "Do international equity investors rebalance to manage currency exposure? A study of Greece foreign investor flows data," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 150-169.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    STAR-STGARCH; Generalized impulse response function; 1997 Asian crisis; 2008 global financial crisis; Malaysian stock exchange; Foreign investors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:60:y:2019:i:c:p:85-100. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/asieco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.