IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v339y2023ics0306261923003161.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The interaction of wholesale electricity market structures under futures with decarbonization policy goals: A complexity conundrum

Author

Listed:
  • Frew, Bethany
  • Bashar Anwar, Muhammad
  • Dalvi, Sourabh
  • Brooks, Adria

Abstract

Competitive wholesale electricity markets can help facilitate energy system decarbonization by incentivizing investments in clean energy technologies that meet evolving system needs. We explore market structure impacts on generator operations and deployment by risk-averse, heterogeneous investor firms using the Electricity Markets and Investment Suite – Agent-based Simulation (EMIS-AS) model. We apply clean energy targets of 45%–100% by 2035 considering energy, ancillary services, capacity, and clean energy credit products and pricing and eligibility rules. Results highlight a complexity conundrum, whereby finding the “right” market design to achieve decarbonization goals and avoid unintended consequences can be a highly-nuanced, non-incremental challenge. Carefully designed energy-only markets can achieve the same clean energy targets as capacity market structures but with different revenue and profitability outcomes. Operating reserve demand curve-based scarcity pricing can substitute capacity markets for similar deployment outcomes. Carbon pricing alone is most effective at achieving decarbonization levels at low clean energy targets, and clean energy credit markets and carbon pricing are substitutionary at high clean energy targets. Restricting technology participation in capacity and operating reserve markets can impact deployment and operations, even for nonrestricted technologies. Adding an inertia product with fast frequency response yields insufficient provision at high clean energy targets, but work is needed to understand frequency requirements and capabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Frew, Bethany & Bashar Anwar, Muhammad & Dalvi, Sourabh & Brooks, Adria, 2023. "The interaction of wholesale electricity market structures under futures with decarbonization policy goals: A complexity conundrum," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 339(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:339:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923003161
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.120952
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261923003161
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.120952?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Levin, Todd & Botterud, Audun, 2015. "Electricity market design for generator revenue sufficiency with increased variable generation," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 392-406.
    2. Levin, Todd & Kwon, Jonghwan & Botterud, Audun, 2019. "The long-term impacts of carbon and variable renewable energy policies on electricity markets," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 53-71.
    3. Sun, Yinong & Frew, Bethany & Dalvi, Sourabh & Dhulipala, Surya C., 2022. "Insights into methodologies and operational details of resource adequacy assessment: A case study with application to a broader flexibility framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    4. Newbery, David & Pollitt, Michael G. & Ritz, Robert A. & Strielkowski, Wadim, 2018. "Market design for a high-renewables European electricity system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 695-707.
    5. Alexander J. M. Kell & Matthew Forshaw & A. Stephen McGough, 2019. "ElecSim: Monte-Carlo Open-Source Agent-Based Model to Inform Policy for Long-Term Electricity Planning," Papers 1911.01203, arXiv.org.
    6. Frew, Bethany & Brinkman, Greg & Denholm, Paul & Narwade, Vinayak & Stephen, Gord & Bloom, Aaron & Lau, Jessica, 2021. "Impact of operating reserve rules on electricity prices with high penetrations of renewable energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    7. Jacob Mays & David P. Morton & Richard P. O’Neill, 2019. "Asymmetric risk and fuel neutrality in electricity capacity markets," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 4(11), pages 948-956, November.
    8. Djørup, Søren & Thellufsen, Jakob Zinck & Sorknæs, Peter, 2018. "The electricity market in a renewable energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 148-157.
    9. Anwar, Muhammad Bashar & Stephen, Gord & Dalvi, Sourabh & Frew, Bethany & Ericson, Sean & Brown, Maxwell & O’Malley, Mark, 2022. "Modeling investment decisions from heterogeneous firms under imperfect information and risk in wholesale electricity markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    10. Kraan, O. & Kramer, G.J. & Nikolic, I., 2018. "Investment in the future electricity system - An agent-based modelling approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 569-580.
    11. de Sisternes, Fernando J. & Jenkins, Jesse D. & Botterud, Audun, 2016. "The value of energy storage in decarbonizing the electricity sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 368-379.
    12. Frazier, A. Will & Cole, Wesley & Denholm, Paul & Greer, Daniel & Gagnon, Pieter, 2020. "Assessing the potential of battery storage as a peaking capacity resource in the United States," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    13. Tao, Zhenmin & Moncada, Jorge Andrés & Poncelet, Kris & Delarue, Erik, 2021. "Review and analysis of investment decision making algorithms in long-term agent-based electric power system simulation models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    14. Bushnell, James & Chen, Yihsu & Zaragoza-Watkins, Matthew, 2014. "Downstream regulation of CO2 emissions in California's electricity sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 313-323.
    15. Xu, Qingyu & Hobbs, Benjamin F., 2021. "Economic efficiency of alternative border carbon adjustment schemes: A case study of California Carbon Pricing and the Western North American power market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Chen, Huadong & Wang, Can & Cai, Wenjia & Wang, Jianhui, 2018. "Simulating the impact of investment preference on low-carbon transition in power sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C), pages 440-455.
    17. Grimm, Veronika & Rückel, Bastian & Sölch, Christian & Zöttl, Gregor, 2021. "The impact of market design on transmission and generation investment in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jimenez, I. Sanchez & Ribó-Pérez, D. & Cvetkovic, M. & Kochems, J. & Schimeczek, C. & de Vries, L.J., 2024. "Can an energy only market enable resource adequacy in a decarbonized power system? A co-simulation with two agent-based-models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    2. Anwar, Muhammad Bashar & Guo, Nongchao & Sun, Yinong & Frew, Bethany, 2024. "Can wholesale electricity markets achieve resource adequacy and high clean energy generation targets in the presence of self-interested actors?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 359(C).
    3. Wang, Benke & Li, Chunhua & Ban, Yongshuang & Zhao, Zeming & Wang, Zengxu, 2024. "A two-tier bidding model considering a multi-stage offer‑carbon joint incentive clearing mechanism for coupled electricity and carbon markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 368(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anwar, Muhammad Bashar & Stephen, Gord & Dalvi, Sourabh & Frew, Bethany & Ericson, Sean & Brown, Maxwell & O’Malley, Mark, 2022. "Modeling investment decisions from heterogeneous firms under imperfect information and risk in wholesale electricity markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    2. Lebeau, Alexis & Petitet, Marie & Quemin, Simon & Saguan, Marcelo, 2024. "Long-term issues with the Energy-Only Market design in the context of deep decarbonization," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Jimenez, I. Sanchez & Ribó-Pérez, D. & Cvetkovic, M. & Kochems, J. & Schimeczek, C. & de Vries, L.J., 2024. "Can an energy only market enable resource adequacy in a decarbonized power system? A co-simulation with two agent-based-models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 360(C).
    4. Anwar, Muhammad Bashar & Guo, Nongchao & Sun, Yinong & Frew, Bethany, 2024. "Can wholesale electricity markets achieve resource adequacy and high clean energy generation targets in the presence of self-interested actors?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 359(C).
    5. Tao, Zhenmin & Moncada, Jorge Andres & Delarue, Erik, 2023. "Exploring the impact of boundedly rational power plant investment decision-making by applying prospect theory," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Kraan, Oscar & Kramer, Gert Jan & Nikolic, Igor & Chappin, Emile & Koning, Vinzenz, 2019. "Why fully liberalised electricity markets will fail to meet deep decarbonisation targets even with strong carbon pricing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 99-110.
    7. Yang, Jinxi & Johansson, Daniel J.A., 2024. "Adapting to uncertainty: Modeling adaptive investment decisions in the electricity system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    8. Jenkins, J.D. & Zhou, Z. & Ponciroli, R. & Vilim, R.B. & Ganda, F. & de Sisternes, F. & Botterud, A., 2018. "The benefits of nuclear flexibility in power system operations with renewable energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 872-884.
    9. Tan, Qinliang & Han, Jian & Liu, Yuan, 2023. "Examining the synergistic diffusion process of carbon capture and renewable energy generation technologies under market environment: A multi-agent simulation analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    10. Villalobos, Cristian & Negrete-Pincetic, Matías & Figueroa, Nicolás & Lorca, Álvaro & Olivares, Daniel, 2021. "The impact of short-term pricing on flexible generation investments in electricity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    11. Fraunholz, Christoph & Miskiw, Kim K. & Kraft, Emil & Fichtner, Wolf & Weber, Christoph, 2021. "On the role of risk aversion and market design in capacity expansion planning," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 62, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    12. Koltsaklis, Nikolaos E. & Dagoumas, Athanasios S., 2018. "State-of-the-art generation expansion planning: A review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 563-589.
    13. Farhad Billimoria & Filiberto Fele & Iacopo Savelli & Thomas Morstyn & Malcolm McCulloch, 2021. "On the Design of an Insurance Mechanism for Reliability Differentiation in Electricity Markets," Papers 2106.14351, arXiv.org.
    14. Benatia, David, 2022. "Ring the alarm! Electricity markets, renewables, and the pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    15. Frew, Bethany & Brinkman, Greg & Denholm, Paul & Narwade, Vinayak & Stephen, Gord & Bloom, Aaron & Lau, Jessica, 2021. "Impact of operating reserve rules on electricity prices with high penetrations of renewable energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Gao, Xiang & Chan, Ka Wing & Xia, Shiwei & Zhou, Bin & Lu, Xi & Xu, Da, 2019. "Risk-constrained offering strategy for a hybrid power plant consisting of wind power producer and electric vehicle aggregator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 183-191.
    17. Xu, Q. & Hobbs, B., 2020. "Economic Efficiency of Alternative Border Carbon Adjustment Schemes: A Case Study of California Carbon Pricing and the Western North American Power Market," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20109, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    18. Bublitz, Andreas & Keles, Dogan & Zimmermann, Florian & Fraunholz, Christoph & Fichtner, Wolf, 2018. "A survey on electricity market design: Insights from theory and real-world implementations of capacity remuneration mechanisms," Working Paper Series in Production and Energy 27, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Institute for Industrial Production (IIP).
    19. Sorknæs, P. & Lund, Henrik & Skov, I.R. & Djørup, S. & Skytte, K. & Morthorst, P.E. & Fausto, F., 2020. "Smart Energy Markets - Future electricity, gas and heating markets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    20. Wang, Shurui & Huang, Ye & Vorushylo, Inna & Chen, Haisheng & McLarnon, Dominic & MacArtain, Paul & Hewitt, Neil, 2020. "Economic assessment of high renewable energy penetration scenario in 2030 on the interconnected Irish power system," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:339:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923003161. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.