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Analyzing at-scale distribution grid response to extreme temperatures

Author

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  • Hanif, Sarmad
  • Mukherjee, Monish
  • Poudel, Shiva
  • Yu, Min Gyung
  • Jinsiwale, Rohit A.
  • Hardy, Trevor D.
  • Reeve, Hayden M.

Abstract

Threats against power grids continue to increase, as extreme weather conditions and natural disasters (extreme events) become more frequent. Hence, there is a need for the simulation and modeling of power grids to reflect realistic conditions during extreme events conditions, especially distribution systems. This paper presents a modeling and simulation platform for electric distribution grids which can estimate overall power demand during extreme weather conditions. The presented platform’s efficacy is shown by demonstrating estimation of electrical demand for (1) Electricity Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) during winter storm Uri in 2021, and (2) alternative hypothetical scenarios of integrating Distributed Energy Resources (DERs), weatherization, and load electrification. In comparing to the actual demand served by ERCOT during the winter storm Uri of 2021, the proposed platform estimates approximately 34 GW of peak capacity deficit.11These numbers are consistent with state-of-the-art prediction results published in the literature (Gruber et al., 2022). For the case of the future electrification of heating loads, peak capacity of 78 GW (124% increase) is estimated, which would be reduced to 47 GW (38% increase) with the adoption of efficient heating appliances and improved thermal insulation. Integrating distributed solar PV and storage into the grid causes improvement in the local energy utilization and hence reduces the potential unmet energy by 31% and 40%, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Hanif, Sarmad & Mukherjee, Monish & Poudel, Shiva & Yu, Min Gyung & Jinsiwale, Rohit A. & Hardy, Trevor D. & Reeve, Hayden M., 2023. "Analyzing at-scale distribution grid response to extreme temperatures," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:337:y:2023:i:c:s0306261923002507
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.120886
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Alexis Kwasinski, 2016. "Quantitative Model and Metrics of Electrical Grids’ Resilience Evaluated at a Power Distribution Level," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-27, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul, Shuva & Poudyal, Abodh & Poudel, Shiva & Dubey, Anamika & Wang, Zhaoyu, 2024. "Resilience assessment and planning in power distribution systems: Past and future considerations," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
    2. Yu, Min Gyung & Mukherjee, Monish & Poudel, Shiva & Bender, Sadie R. & Hanif, Sarmad & Hardy, Trevor D. & Reeve, Hayden M., 2024. "A valuation framework for customers impacted by extreme temperature-related outages," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 368(C).
    3. Nan Ma & Ziwen Xu & Yijun Wang & Guowei Liu & Lisheng Xin & Dafu Liu & Ziyu Liu & Jiaju Shi & Chen Chen, 2024. "Strategies for Improving the Resiliency of Distribution Networks in Electric Power Systems during Typhoon and Water-Logging Disasters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-16, March.
    4. Kornelia Banasik, 2024. "Influence of Ambient Temperature on the Reliability of Overhead LV Power Lines with Bare Conductors," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(13), pages 1-10, June.

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