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Quantifying impacts of heat waves on power grid operation

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  • Ke, Xinda
  • Wu, Di
  • Rice, Jennie
  • Kintner-Meyer, Michael
  • Lu, Ning

Abstract

Climate change is projected to cause an increase in the severity and frequency of extreme weather events such as heat waves and droughts. Such changes present planning and operating challenges and risks to many economic sectors. In the electricity sector, statistics of extreme events in the past have been used to help plan for future peak loads, determine associated infrastructure requirements, and evaluate operational risks, but industry-standard planning tools have yet to be coupled with or informed by temperature models to explore the impacts of the “new normal” on planning studies. For example, high ambient temperatures during heat waves reduce the output capacity and efficiency of gas-fired combustion turbines just when they are needed most to meet peak demands. This paper describes the development and application of a production cost and unit commitment model coupled to high resolution, hourly temperature data and a temperature-dependent load model. The coupled system has the ability to represent the impacts of hourly temperature on load conditions and available capacity and efficiency of combustion turbines, and therefore capture the potential impacts on system reserve and production cost. Ongoing work expands this capability to address the impacts of water availability and temperature on power grid operation.

Suggested Citation

  • Ke, Xinda & Wu, Di & Rice, Jennie & Kintner-Meyer, Michael & Lu, Ning, 2016. "Quantifying impacts of heat waves on power grid operation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 504-512.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:183:y:2016:i:c:p:504-512
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.08.188
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    9. Oikonomou, Konstantinos & Tarroja, Brian & Kern, Jordan & Voisin, Nathalie, 2022. "Core process representation in power system operational models: Gaps, challenges, and opportunities for multisector dynamics research," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    10. Dawei Xia & Weien Xie & Jialiang Guo & Yukai Zou & Zhuotong Wu & Yini Fan, 2023. "Building Thermal and Energy Performance of Subtropical Terraced Houses under Future Climate Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-22, August.
    11. Anaïs Machard & Christian Inard & Jean-Marie Alessandrini & Charles Pelé & Jacques Ribéron, 2020. "A Methodology for Assembling Future Weather Files Including Heatwaves for Building Thermal Simulations from the European Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (EURO-CORDEX) Climate Data," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-36, July.
    12. Abdin, I.F. & Fang, Y.-P. & Zio, E., 2019. "A modeling and optimization framework for power systems design with operational flexibility and resilience against extreme heat waves and drought events," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 706-719.

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