IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v275y2023ics0378377422006023.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Relieving water stress by optimizing crop structure is a practicable approach in arid transboundary rivers of Central Asia

Author

Listed:
  • Ruan, Hongwei
  • Yu, Jingjie
  • Wang, Ping
  • Hao, Lingang
  • Wang, Zhenlong

Abstract

With the challenges of arid transboundary river water management among Central Asian countries, it is important to evaluate the water stress and propose practicable climate adaptation strategies. This study used the Syr Darya Basin (SDB) in a Central Asia data scarce region as the study area and, conducted the first quantified analysis of the spatiotemporal characteristics of water supply and requirements at the basin and irrigation district scale; identified its driving mechanisms based on systematic monitoring data concerning reservoir regulation and complex crop structure from 2000 to 2018; and a climate change scenario combined with a crop restructuring scenario was applied to evaluate water conservation effects and propose a climate adaptation strategy from 2019 to 2030. The results showed that runoff increased by 7.45 billion m3 but the water withdrawal decreased by 3.42 billion m3 after reservoir regulation in the basin during 2000–2018. Due to the unified water allocation, it was challenging to conduct and usually exceeded the plan by 0.4–8.5 %. The total crop water requirement (TCWR) mainly derived from cotton (61.5 %), winter wheat (12.1 %) and rice (13.9 %) increased by 3.15 billion m3 (+30.7 %) and the influence of crop area (380 million m3/a) was greater than that of climate (130 million m3/a). The wind speed (27.5 %) and rice area (19.2 %) also significantly contributed to the TCWR variation. The contradiction between water supply and requirement resulted in water scarcity in the basin. From 2019–2030, the water conservation effect of winter wheat (+20 %) under the restructuring scenarios reached 28.7 mm, which helped relieve water stress under the scenario of a 0.51–0.91 °C increase. Thus, priority planting of a winter wheat rotation and low water consuming crops is a practicable approach for coping with water scarcity and adapting to climate change in arid transboundary rivers of Centra Asia.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruan, Hongwei & Yu, Jingjie & Wang, Ping & Hao, Lingang & Wang, Zhenlong, 2023. "Relieving water stress by optimizing crop structure is a practicable approach in arid transboundary rivers of Central Asia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:275:y:2023:i:c:s0378377422006023
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2022.108055
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377422006023
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2022.108055?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Raimund Bleischwitz & Catalina Spataru & Stacy D. VanDeveer & Michael Obersteiner & Ester Voet & Corey Johnson & Philip Andrews-Speed & Tim Boersma & Holger Hoff & Detlef P. Vuuren, 2018. "Resource nexus perspectives towards the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(12), pages 737-743, December.
    2. Lovelli, S. & Perniola, M. & Di Tommaso, T. & Ventrella, D. & Moriondo, M. & Amato, M., 2010. "Effects of rising atmospheric CO2 on crop evapotranspiration in a Mediterranean area," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(9), pages 1287-1292, September.
    3. Annina Sorg & Tobias Bolch & Markus Stoffel & Olga Solomina & Martin Beniston, 2012. "Climate change impacts on glaciers and runoff in Tien Shan (Central Asia)," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(10), pages 725-731, October.
    4. Wegerich, Kai & Van Rooijen, Daniel & Soliev, Ilkhom & Mukhamedova, Nozilakhon, 2015. "Water Security in the Syr Darya Basin," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 7(9), pages 4657-4684.
    5. D. Bocchiola & M. G. Pelosi & A. Soncini, 2017. "Effects of hydrological changes on cooperation in transnational catchments: the case of the Syr Darya," Water International, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(7), pages 852-873, October.
    6. Lobanova, Anastasia & Didovets, Iulii & Menz, Christoph & Umirbekov, Atabek & Babagalieva, Zhanna & Hattermann, Fred & Krysanova, Valentina, 2021. "Rapid assessment of climate risks for irrigated agriculture in two river basins in the Aral Sea Basin," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    7. Gojenko, Boris & Leonhaeuser, I.-U. & Stulina, G., 2013. "Land use, food and nutrition security – case study in rural Uzbekistan," International Conference and Young Researchers Forum - Natural Resource Use in Central Asia: Institutional Challenges and the Contribution of Capacity Building 159125, University of Giessen (JLU Giessen), Center for International Development and Environmental Research.
    8. Xue, Jingyuan & Huo, Zailin & Kisekka, Isaya, 2021. "Assessing impacts of climate variability and changing cropping patterns on regional evapotranspiration, yield and water productivity in California’s San Joaquin watershed," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    9. Wu, Dong & Fang, Shibo & Li, Xuan & He, Di & Zhu, Yongchao & Yang, Zaiqiang & Xu, Jiaxin & Wu, Yingjie, 2019. "Spatial-temporal variation in irrigation water requirement for the winter wheat-summer maize rotation system since the 1980s on the North China Plain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 78-86.
    10. Shan Zou & Abuduwaili Jilili & Weili Duan & Philippe De Maeyer & Tim Van de Voorde, 2019. "Human and Natural Impacts on the Water Resources in the Syr Darya River Basin, Central Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, May.
    11. Luo, Jianmei & Shen, Yanjun & Qi, Yongqing & Zhang, Yucui & Xiao, Dengpan, 2018. "Evaluating water conservation effects due to cropping system optimization on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei plain, China," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 32-41.
    12. Li, Zhi & Fang, Gonghuan & Chen, Yaning & Duan, Weili & Mukanov, Yerbolat, 2020. "Agricultural water demands in Central Asia under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Hui & Li, Xiaojuan & Lu, Hongna & Tong, Ling & Kang, Shaozhong, 2023. "Crop acreage planning for economy- resource- efficiency coordination: Grey information entropy based uncertain model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shan Zou & Abuduwaili Jilili & Weili Duan & Philippe De Maeyer & Tim Van de Voorde, 2019. "Human and Natural Impacts on the Water Resources in the Syr Darya River Basin, Central Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, May.
    2. Tang, Xiaoyu & Huang, Yue & Pan, Xiaohui & Liu, Tie & Ling, Yunan & Peng, Jiabin, 2024. "Managing the water-agriculture-environment-energy nexus: Trade-offs and synergies in an arid area of Northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 295(C).
    3. Feng, Meiqing & Chen, Yaning & Duan, Weili & Fang, Gonghuan & li, Zhi & Jiao, Li & Sun, Fan & Li, Yupeng & Hou, Yifeng, 2022. "Comprehensive evaluation of the water-energy-food nexus in the agricultural management of the Tarim River Basin, Northwest China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).
    4. Hu, Xueyue & Wang, Chunying & Elshkaki, Ayman, 2024. "Material-energy Nexus: A systematic literature review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    5. Dono, Gabriele & Cortignani, Raffaele & Doro, Luca & Giraldo, Luca & Ledda, Luigi & Pasqui, Massimiliano & Roggero, Pier Paolo, 2013. "Adapting to uncertainty associated with short-term climate variability changes in irrigated Mediterranean farming systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 1-12.
    6. Anuarbek Kakabayev & Baurzhan Yessenzholov & Abilzhan Khussainov & Javier Rodrigo-Ilarri & María-Elena Rodrigo-Clavero & Gulmira Kyzdarbekova & Gulzhan Dankina, 2023. "The Impact of Climate Change on the Water Systems of the Yesil River Basin in Northern Kazakhstan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-18, November.
    7. Islam, AFM Tariqul & Islam, AKM Saiful & Islam, GM Tarekul & Bala, Sujit Kumar & Salehin, Mashfiqus & Choudhury, Apurba Kanti & Dey, Nepal C. & Hossain, Akbar, 2022. "Adaptation strategies to increase water productivity of wheat under changing climate," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    8. Marcinkowski, Paweł & Piniewski, Mikołaj, 2024. "Future changes in crop yield over Poland driven by climate change, increasing atmospheric CO2 and nitrogen stress," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    9. Xiaoyan Wang & Tao Yang & Chong-Yu Xu & Lihua Xiong & Pengfei Shi & Zhenya Li, 2020. "The response of runoff components and glacier mass balance to climate change for a glaciated high-mountainous catchment in the Tianshan Mountains," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1239-1258, November.
    10. Li, Zhi & Fang, Gonghuan & Chen, Yaning & Duan, Weili & Mukanov, Yerbolat, 2020. "Agricultural water demands in Central Asia under 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global warming," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    11. Zhang, Y.F. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zhai, X.B. & Ma, Y., 2024. "Improving efficiency and sustainability of water-agriculture-energy nexus in a transboundary river basin under climate change: A double-sided stochastic factional optimization method," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    12. Blankenship, Brian & Aklin, Michaël & Urpelainen, Johannes & Nandan, Vagisha, 2022. "Jobs for a just transition: Evidence on coal job preferences from India," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    13. Rathore, Vijay Singh & Nathawat, Narayan Singh & Bhardwaj, Seema & Yadav, Bhagirath Mal & Santra, Priyabrata & Kumar, Mahesh & Shekhawat, Ravindra Singh & Reager, Madan Lal & Yadav, Shish Ram & Lal, B, 2022. "Alternative cropping systems and optimized management practices for saving groundwater and enhancing economic and environmental sustainability," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    14. Joel O. Botai & Christina M. Botai & Katlego P. Ncongwane & Sylvester Mpandeli & Luxon Nhamo & Muthoni Masinde & Abiodun M. Adeola & Michael G. Mengistu & Henerica Tazvinga & Miriam D. Murambadoro & S, 2021. "A Review of the Water–Energy–Food Nexus Research in Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-26, February.
    15. Nawab, Asim & Liu, Gengyuan & Meng, Fanxin & Hao, Yan & Zhang, Yan, 2019. "Urban energy-water nexus: Spatial and inter-sectoral analysis in a multi-scale economy," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 403(C), pages 44-56.
    16. Christian P. Schneider, 2024. "Implementing the Resource Nexus approach: the contribution of internationalising German businesses," Sustainability Nexus Forum, Springer, vol. 32(1), pages 1-13, December.
    17. Isabella Georgiou & Serena Caucci & Jonathan Clive Morris & Edeltraud Guenther & Peter Krebs, 2023. "Assessing the Potential of Water Reuse Uptake Through a Private–Public Partnership: a Practitioner’s Perspective," Circular Economy and Sustainability, Springer, vol. 3(1), pages 199-220, March.
    18. Zhong, Qiumeng & Zhang, Zhihe & Wang, Heming & Zhang, Xu & Wang, Yao & Wang, Peng & Ma, Fengmei & Yue, Qiang & Du, Tao & Chen, Wei-Qiang & Liang, Sai, 2023. "Incorporating scarcity into footprints reveals diverse supply chain hotspots for global fossil fuel management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 349(C).
    19. Xin, Yongrong & Ajaz, Tahseen & Shahzad, Mohsin & Luo, Jia, 2023. "How productive capacities influence trade-adjusted resources consumption in China: Testing resource-based EKC," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    20. Kedar Mehta & Mathias Ehrenwirth & Christoph Trinkl & Wilfried Zörner & Rick Greenough, 2021. "The Energy Situation in Central Asia: A Comprehensive Energy Review Focusing on Rural Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-27, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:275:y:2023:i:c:s0378377422006023. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.