IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agiwat/v262y2022ics0378377421007113.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A framework based on high-resolution imagery datasets and MCS for forecasting evaporation loss from small reservoirs in groundwater-based agriculture

Author

Listed:
  • El Bilali, Ali
  • Taghi, Youssef
  • Briouel, Omar
  • Taleb, Abdeslam
  • Brouziyne, Youssef

Abstract

In arid and semi-arid regions, evaporation from small irrigation reservoirs can be a significant source of water loss. Since groundwater is a major source of water supply for irrigation, evaporation losses from irrigation water reservoirs represent a challenging aspect in aquifers governance in such limited-water areas. Estimating these losses is crucial for water resource managers to regulate irrigation reservoirs development and to implement appropriate mitigation measures. Several practical challenges make the individual inventory and monitoring of small irrigation reservoirs unfeasible, especially in large irrigation perimeters with dynamic irrigated surfaces. Thus, significant uncertainty is generally associated with the determinist estimation of evaporation from small irrigation reservoirs. This study is an attempt to develop remote sensing and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS)-based framework to estimate the evaporation loss from small irrigation water reservoirs used for storing groundwater pumped from the Berrechid aquifer, in Morocco. To that end, remote sensing datasets were validated using data of 49 known reservoirs to identify small reservoirs and their surface area over the growing season. An Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) of the remotely sensed results was conducted to process the outlier values. Meanwhile, MCS was implemented using 20000 iterations for developing a probabilistic model to estimate the annual evaporation loss associated with exceedance probabilities. The results showed that for an exceedance probability of 90% the associated annual evaporation loss is about 1.50 Mm3·yr−1 with a median of about 1.84 Mm3·yr−1. A sensitivity analysis (SA) of the model was conducted which revealed that the model is more sensitive to the pan coefficient (Cp) followed by reservoir area, and pan evaporation (EVP) for dry months. As for wet months, the SA showed that the model is more sensitive to the daily EVP. Overall, the study provides a new insight for forecasting evaporation loss from small reservoirs and, therefore, will help decision-makers to consider the uncertainty in evaluating the economic viability of mitigation measures. Furthermore, the methodology developed could be valuable in estimating the evaporation loss from the reservoirs in poorly monitored zones.

Suggested Citation

  • El Bilali, Ali & Taghi, Youssef & Briouel, Omar & Taleb, Abdeslam & Brouziyne, Youssef, 2022. "A framework based on high-resolution imagery datasets and MCS for forecasting evaporation loss from small reservoirs in groundwater-based agriculture," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:262:y:2022:i:c:s0378377421007113
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107434
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378377421007113
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agwat.2021.107434?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James Charalambous & Ataur Rahman & Don Carroll, 2013. "Application of Monte Carlo Simulation Technique to Design Flood Estimation: A Case Study for North Johnstone River in Queensland, Australia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 4099-4111, September.
    2. Victoria Cox, 2017. "Translating Statistics to Make Decisions," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-1-4842-2256-0, July.
    3. Molle, François & Tanouti, Oumaima, 2017. "Squaring the circle: Agricultural intensification vs. water conservation in Morocco," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 170-179.
    4. Martinez Alvarez, V. & González-Real, M.M. & Baille, A. & Maestre Valero, J.F. & Gallego Elvira, B., 2008. "Regional assessment of evaporation from agricultural irrigation reservoirs in a semiarid climate," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 95(9), pages 1056-1066, September.
    5. Martínez Alvarez, V. & Leyva, J. Calatrava & Maestre Valero, J.F. & Górriz, B. Martín, 2009. "Economic assessment of shade-cloth covers for agricultural irrigation reservoirs in a semi-arid climate," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(9), pages 1351-1359, September.
    6. Han, Ke-Wu & Shi, Ke-Bin & Yan, Xin-Jun, 2020. "Evaporation loss and energy balance of agricultural reservoirs covered with counterweighted spheres in arid region," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    7. Alvarez, V. Martinez & Gonzalez-Real, M.M. & Baille, A. & Martinez, J.M. Molina, 2007. "A novel approach for estimating the pan coefficient of irrigation water reservoirs: Application to South Eastern Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 92(1-2), pages 29-40, August.
    8. David Martínez-Granados & José Maestre-Valero & Javier Calatrava & Victoriano Martínez-Alvarez, 2011. "The Economic Impact of Water Evaporation Losses from Water Reservoirs in the Segura Basin, SE Spain," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3153-3175, October.
    9. Ali Mozafari & Bozorgmehr Mansouri & S. Farshid Chini, 2019. "Effect of Wind Flow and Solar Radiation on Functionality of Water Evaporation Suppression Monolayers," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(10), pages 3513-3522, August.
    10. Redón Santafé, Miguel & Torregrosa Soler, Juan Bautista & Sánchez Romero, Francisco Javier & Ferrer Gisbert, Pablo S. & Ferrán Gozálvez, José Javier & Ferrer Gisbert, Carlos M., 2014. "Theoretical and experimental analysis of a floating photovoltaic cover for water irrigation reservoirs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 246-255.
    11. Taboada, M.E. & Cáceres, L. & Graber, T.A. & Galleguillos, H.R. & Cabeza, L.F. & Rojas, R., 2017. "Solar water heating system and photovoltaic floating cover to reduce evaporation: Experimental results and modeling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 601-615.
    12. Maestre-Valero, J.F. & Martínez-Alvarez, V. & Gallego-Elvira, B. & Pittaway, P., 2011. "Effects of a suspended shade cloth cover on water quality of an agricultural reservoir for irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 70-75.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reca, Juan & García-Manzano, Alfonso & Martínez, Juan, 2015. "Optimal pumping scheduling model considering reservoir evaporation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 250-257.
    2. Maestre-Valero, J.F. & Martínez-Alvarez, V. & Nicolas, E., 2013. "Physical, chemical and microbiological effects of suspended shade cloth covers on stored water for irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 70-78.
    3. Hao, Guochen & Han, Kewu & Shi, Kebin, 2023. "Effect of floating balls on evaporation inhibition, surface energy balance and biological water quality parameters at different coverage fractions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    4. J. Maestre-Valero & D. Martínez-Granados & V. Martínez-Alvarez & J. Calatrava, 2013. "Socio-Economic Impact of Evaporation Losses from Reservoirs Under Past, Current and Future Water Availability Scenarios in the Semi-Arid Segura Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(5), pages 1411-1426, March.
    5. Soto-García, M. & Martínez-Alvarez, V. & García-Bastida, P.A. & Alcon, F. & Martin-Gorriz, B., 2013. "Effect of water scarcity and modernisation on the performance of irrigation districts in south-eastern Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 11-19.
    6. Carvajal, F. & Agüera, F. & Sánchez-Hermosilla, J., 2014. "Water balance in artificial on-farm agricultural water reservoirs for the irrigation of intensive greenhouse crops," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 146-155.
    7. David Martínez-Granados & José Maestre-Valero & Javier Calatrava & Victoriano Martínez-Alvarez, 2011. "The Economic Impact of Water Evaporation Losses from Water Reservoirs in the Segura Basin, SE Spain," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3153-3175, October.
    8. Vivar, M. & H, Sharon & Fuentes, M., 2024. "Photovoltaic system adoption in water related technologies – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 189(PB).
    9. Han, Ke-Wu & Shi, Ke-Bin & Yan, Xin-Jun & Ouyang, Jun & Lei, Peng & Hao, Guo-Chen, 2022. "Comparison of evaporation estimation methods for water surface under floating coverage in arid areas," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    10. Han, Ke-Wu & Shi, Ke-Bin & Yan, Xin-Jun, 2020. "Evaporation loss and energy balance of agricultural reservoirs covered with counterweighted spheres in arid region," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 238(C).
    11. Exley, G. & Hernandez, R.R. & Page, T. & Chipps, M. & Gambro, S. & Hersey, M. & Lake, R. & Zoannou, K.-S. & Armstrong, A., 2021. "Scientific and stakeholder evidence-based assessment: Ecosystem response to floating solar photovoltaics and implications for sustainability," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
    12. Soto-García, M. & Martin-Gorriz, B. & García-Bastida, P.A. & Alcon, F. & Martínez-Alvarez, V., 2013. "Energy consumption for crop irrigation in a semiarid climate (south-eastern Spain)," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1084-1093.
    13. Martínez Alvarez, V. & Leyva, J. Calatrava & Maestre Valero, J.F. & Górriz, B. Martín, 2009. "Economic assessment of shade-cloth covers for agricultural irrigation reservoirs in a semi-arid climate," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 96(9), pages 1351-1359, September.
    14. Maestre-Valero, J.F. & Martínez-Alvarez, V., 2010. "Effects of drip irrigation systems on the recovery of dissolved oxygen from hypoxic water," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 97(11), pages 1806-1812, November.
    15. Belen Gallego-Elvira & Victoriano Martínez-Alvarez & Pamela Pittaway & Gavin Brink & Bernardo Martín-Gorriz, 2013. "Impact of Micrometeorological Conditions on the Efficiency of Artificial Monolayers in Reducing Evaporation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2251-2266, May.
    16. Maestre-Valero, J.F. & Martínez-Alvarez, V. & Gallego-Elvira, B. & Pittaway, P., 2011. "Effects of a suspended shade cloth cover on water quality of an agricultural reservoir for irrigation," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 100(1), pages 70-75.
    17. Redón Santafé, Miguel & Torregrosa Soler, Juan Bautista & Sánchez Romero, Francisco Javier & Ferrer Gisbert, Pablo S. & Ferrán Gozálvez, José Javier & Ferrer Gisbert, Carlos M., 2014. "Theoretical and experimental analysis of a floating photovoltaic cover for water irrigation reservoirs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 246-255.
    18. Sika Gadzanku & Heather Mirletz & Nathan Lee & Jennifer Daw & Adam Warren, 2021. "Benefits and Critical Knowledge Gaps in Determining the Role of Floating Photovoltaics in the Energy-Water-Food Nexus," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-17, April.
    19. Evgeny Solomin & Evgeny Sirotkin & Erdem Cuce & Shanmuga Priya Selvanathan & Sudhakar Kumarasamy, 2021. "Hybrid Floating Solar Plant Designs: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-25, May.
    20. Tercan, Emre & Dereli, Mehmet Ali & Saracoglu, Burak Omer, 2022. "Location alternatives generation and elimination of floatovoltaics with virtual power plant designs," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 1150-1163.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agiwat:v:262:y:2022:i:c:s0378377421007113. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agwat .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.