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Developing a nationally appropriate mitigation measure from the greenhouse gas GHG abatement potential from livestock production in the Brazilian Cerrado

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  • de Oliveira Silva, Rafael
  • Barioni, Luis G.
  • Albertini, Tiago Zanett
  • Eory, Vera
  • Topp, Cairistiona F.E.
  • Fernandes, Fernando A.
  • Moran, Dominic

Abstract

Brazil is one of the first major developing countries to commit to a national greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions target that requires a reduction of between 36.1% and 38.9% relative to baseline emissions by 2020. The country intends to submit agricultural emissions reductions as part of this target, with livestock production identified as offering significant abatement potential. Focusing on the Cerrado core (central Brazilian savannah), this paper investigates the cost-effectiveness of this potential, which involves some consideration of both the private and social costs and benefits (e.g. including avoided deforestation) arising from specific mitigation measures that may form part of Brazil's definition of Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Measures (NAMAs). The analysis used an optimisation model to define abatement costs. A baseline projection suggests that beef production in the region will emit 2.6Gt CO2e (CO2 equivalent) from 2010 to 2030, corresponding to 9% of national emissions (including energy, transport, waste, livestock and agriculture). By implementing negative-cost measures identified in a marginal abatement cost curve (MACC) by 2030, the 2.6Gt CO2e could be reduced by around 24%. Pasture restoration, involving avoided deforestation, offers the largest contribution to these results. As the Brazilian Cerrado is seen as a model for transforming other global savannahs, the results offer a significant contribution by identifying alternatives for increasing productivity while minimizing national and global external costs.

Suggested Citation

  • de Oliveira Silva, Rafael & Barioni, Luis G. & Albertini, Tiago Zanett & Eory, Vera & Topp, Cairistiona F.E. & Fernandes, Fernando A. & Moran, Dominic, 2015. "Developing a nationally appropriate mitigation measure from the greenhouse gas GHG abatement potential from livestock production in the Brazilian Cerrado," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 48-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:140:y:2015:i:c:p:48-55
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2015.08.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rada, Nicholas E., 2013. "ASSESSING BRAZIL’s CERRADO AGRICULTURAL MIRACLE: AN UPDATE," Revista de Economia e Agronegócio / Brazilian Review of Economics and Agribusiness, Federal University of Vicosa, Department of Agricultural Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-38.
    2. Dominic Moran & Michael Macleod & Eileen Wall & Vera Eory & Alistair McVittie & Andrew Barnes & Robert Rees & Cairistiona F. E. Topp & Andrew Moxey, 2011. "Marginal Abatement Cost Curves for UK Agricultural Greenhouse Gas Emissions," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(1), pages 93-118, February.
    3. Martha, Geraldo B. & Alves, Eliseu & Contini, Elisio, 2012. "Land-saving approaches and beef production growth in Brazil," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 173-177.
    4. MacLeod, Michael & Moran, Dominic & Eory, Vera & Rees, R.M. & Barnes, Andrew & Topp, Cairistiona F.E. & Ball, Bruce & Hoad, Steve & Wall, Eileen & McVittie, Alistair & Pajot, Guillaume & Matthews, Rob, 2010. "Developing greenhouse gas marginal abatement cost curves for agricultural emissions from crops and soils in the UK," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 103(4), pages 198-209, May.
    5. Rada, Nicholas, 2013. "Assessing Brazil’s Cerrado agricultural miracle," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 146-155.
    6. Mercedes Bustamante & Carlos Nobre & Roberto Smeraldi & Ana Aguiar & Luis Barioni & Laerte Ferreira & Karla Longo & Peter May & Alexandre Pinto & Jean Ometto, 2012. "Estimating greenhouse gas emissions from cattle raising in Brazil," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 115(3), pages 559-577, December.
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    1. De Oliveira Silva, Rafael & Barioni, Luis Gustavo & Queiroz Pellegrino, Giampaolo & Moran, Dominic, 2018. "The role of agricultural intensification in Brazil's Nationally Determined Contribution on emissions mitigation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 102-112.
    2. Bussoni, Adriana & Cubbage, Frederick & Alvarez Giambruno, Jorge, 2021. "Silvopastoral systems and multi-criteria optimization for compatible economic and environmental outcomes," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    3. de Oliveira Silva, Rafael & Barioni, Luis Gustavo & Hall, J. A. Julian & Moretti, Antonio Carlos & Fonseca Veloso, Rui & Alexander, Peter & Crespolini, Mariane & Moran, Dominic, 2017. "Sustainable intensification of Brazilian livestock production through optimized pasture restoration," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 201-211.
    4. David Blandford & Katharine Hassapoyannes, 2018. "The role of agriculture in global GHG mitigation," OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 112, OECD Publishing.
    5. Marques, J.G.O. & de Oliveira Silva, R. & Barioni, L.G. & Hall, J.A.J. & Fossaert, C. & Tedeschi, L.O. & Garcia-Launay, F. & Moran, D., 2022. "Evaluating environmental and economic trade-offs in cattle feed strategies using multiobjective optimization," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).

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