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Strategies of Expansion for Electric Power Systems Based on Hydroelectric Plants in the Context of Climate Change: Case of Analysis of Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • J. Restrepo-Trujillo

    (Universidad Aut noma de Manizales, Manizales, Colombia)

  • Ricardo Moreno-Chuquen

    (Universidad Aut noma de Occidente, Cali, Colombia,)

  • Francy Nelly Jim nez-Garc a

    (Universidad Aut noma de Manizales, Manizales, Colombia)

Abstract

The phenomena of climatic variability such as El Ni o affect the expansion planning of electricity supply systems with hydroelectric power plants due to the uncertainty presented in the variables of rainfall patterns, temperature, wind, solar radiation changes, among others. The El Ni o affects the electricity generation in Colombia, Venezuela and northwestern Brazil due to severe droughts that reduce water flows in rivers and water volume in dams. While in Peru, Paraguay, Bolivia, Uruguay, Argentina and southern Brazil, causes heavy rains that lead to an increase in reservoirs. Recent findings provide sufficient evidence on how climate change modifies the patterns of duration, frequency and intensity of El Ni o and therefore will introduce additional uncertainties to the expansion planning of electricity generation systems in countries that uses predominantly hydroelectric power. The vulnerability of electricity supply systems with a significant participation of hydroelectric power plants in Colombia, Brazil, Ecuador, Peru, Panama, Canada, Norway, Costa Rica and New Zealand is associated with fluctuations in the availability of water resources. This document aims to analyze the current plans for the expansion of electric power generation systems by the aforementioned countries in the context of climate change in medium and long term. Additionally, this document provides a detailed analysis of the situation of electricity supply systems in Colombia.

Suggested Citation

  • J. Restrepo-Trujillo & Ricardo Moreno-Chuquen & Francy Nelly Jim nez-Garc a, 2020. "Strategies of Expansion for Electric Power Systems Based on Hydroelectric Plants in the Context of Climate Change: Case of Analysis of Colombia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(6), pages 66-74.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-06-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. A.M. Ramirez-Tovar & Ricardo Moreno-Chuquen & Renata Moreno-Quintero, 2022. "Land-use in the Electric Colombian System: Hidden Impacts and Risks of Large-scale Renewable Projects," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 127-134, March.
    2. Cristian Alejandro Blanco-Martínez & Andrés Marino Álvarez-Meza & Germán Castellanos-Dominguez & David Augusto Cárdenas-Peña & Álvaro Angel Orozco-Gutiérrez, 2024. "Optimization of Interconnected Natural Gas and Power Systems Using Mathematical Programs with Complementarity Constraints," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-15, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    El Ni o phenomenon; Vulnerability; Colombia; Water Resource. Development Planning.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L94 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Electric Utilities
    • O20 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - General
    • Q4 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy

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