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Head coach change and team performance in the French men's football Ligue 1, 2000-2016

Author

Listed:
  • Nicolas Scelles

    (Manchester Metropolitan University)

  • Matthieu Llorca

    (Université of Bourgogne Franche-comté)

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyse the impact of a head coach change on team performance in men's football. Its originalities are twofold: its focus on the French Ligue 1 over the 2000-2016 period; and the fact to consider the aforementioned impact in relation to expected performance as measured by betting companies. The method is based on regressions with fixed effects for team-season. The numbers of observations is 3,600 games (94 team-seasons). Team performance is alternatively measured by the number of points, whether the game was won or not, and the goal difference. The independent variables are home advantage, the positions of both teams prior to the game, the position of the opponent at the end of the previous season, a head coach change for team i and a control group, i.e. no coach change for the same team in another season despite a quite similar performance. Results show that both a head coach change for team i and its control group have a significant positive impact. They do not enable to conclude to a better impact of one of these two variables over the other. When controlling for expected performance before and after a head coach change and its control group, the dummy associated to the control group has no significant impact anymore. Since the paper provides some evidence that a head coach change may have a positive impact on team performance, it supports the idea of considering this option when looking for some ways to improve performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Scelles & Matthieu Llorca, 2. "Head coach change and team performance in the French men's football Ligue 1, 2000-2016," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(2), pages 920-937020.
    • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-20-00030
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    File URL: http://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2020/Volume40/EB-20-V40-I2-P79.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kaori Narita & J.D. Tena & Babatunde Buraimo, 2022. "Causal and Consequences of Multiple Dismissals: Evidence from Italian Football League," Working Papers 202226, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    2. Yvon Rocaboy & Marek Pavlik, 2020. "Performance Expectations of Professional Sport Teams and In-Season Head Coach Dismissals—Evidence from the English and French Men’s Football First Divisions," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-20, October.
    3. Nicolas Scelles & Matthieu Llorca, 2021. "Leader Dismissal or Continuity, President Longevity, Geographic Orientation of Owners and Team Performance: Insights from French Men’s Football, 1994–2016," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-17, September.
    4. Kaori Naritaa & J .D. Tenaa & Claudio Detottoc, 2020. "What Makes the Ideal Profile of a New Manager in Times of Adversity? Evidence from Italian Serie A," Working Papers 202031, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    5. Nicolas Scelles & Matthieu Llorca, 2021. "Leader Dismissal or Continuity, President Longevity, Geographic Orientation of Owners and Team Performance: Insights from French Men’s Football, 1994–2016," Post-Print hal-04704531, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    head coach change; team performance; expected performance; men's football; French Ligue 1;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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