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Cohort fertility patterns and breast cancer mortality among U.S. women, 1948-2003

Author

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  • Patrick M. Krueger

    (University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston)

  • Samuel Preston

    (University of Pennsylvania)

Abstract

Epidemiological research has shown that women who have early and numerous births have reduced risks of being diagnosed with breast cancer. We use U.S. Vital Statistics and Census data and age-period-cohort models to examine whether cohort fertility patterns are associated with breast cancer mortality rates among women aged 40 and older in 1948-2003. Cohorts marked by higher proportions childless at ages 15-24 and lower cumulative second birth rates at ages 15-29 have higher rates of breast cancer mortality. This is the first demonstration that cohort fertility patterns have left a clear imprint on trends in U.S. breast cancer mortality rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick M. Krueger & Samuel Preston, 2008. "Cohort fertility patterns and breast cancer mortality among U.S. women, 1948-2003," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 18(9), pages 263-284.
  • Handle: RePEc:dem:demres:v:18:y:2008:i:9
    DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2008.18.9
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patrick Royston, 2005. "Multiple imputation of missing values: update," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 5(2), pages 188-201, June.
    2. Samuel Preston & Haidong Wang, 2006. "Sex mortality differences in The United States: The role of cohort smoking patterns," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 43(4), pages 631-646, November.
    3. Konstantin Arbeev & Svetlana Ukraintseva & Lyubov S. Arbeeva & Anatoli Yashin, 2005. "Decline in Human Cancer Incidence Rates at Old Ages: Age-Period-Cohort Considerations," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 12(11), pages 273-300.
    4. Patrick Royston, 2005. "Multiple imputation of missing values: Update of ice," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 5(4), pages 527-536, December.
    5. Breen, N. & Kessler, L., 1994. "Changes in the use of screening mammography: Evidence from the 1987 and 1990 National Health Interview Surveys," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 84(1), pages 62-67.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cohort fertility; breast cancer mortality; age-period-cohort models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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