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International Trade And Foreign Direct Investment: Substitutes Or Complements?

Author

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  • Marchant, Mary A.
  • Cornell, Dyana N.
  • Koo, Won W.

Abstract

International agricultural trade has evolved over time. Processed foods and developing countries have become major growth markets for U.S. agricultural exports, and foreign direct investment (FDI) has become even more important than exports as a means of accessing foreign markets. The critical question is whether FDI is a substitute for or a complement of exports. This research builds upon an existing theoretical FDI model and contributes to the literature through the development of a simultaneous equation system for FDI and exports, which is estimated using two-stage least squares. Empirical analyses were used to examine the relationship between U.S. FDI and exports of processed foods into East Asian countries - China, Japan, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan - from 1989 to 1998. The results indicated that a complementary relationship between FDI and exports. Additionally, these results indicated that interest rates, exchange rates, gross domestic product (GDP), and compensation rates are important variables that influence U.S. FDI in East Asian countries, while GDP, exchange rates, and export prices are important export determinants.

Suggested Citation

  • Marchant, Mary A. & Cornell, Dyana N. & Koo, Won W., 2002. "International Trade And Foreign Direct Investment: Substitutes Or Complements?," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 34(2), pages 1-14, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:joaaec:15471
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.15471
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    1. Munisamy Gopinath & Daniel Pick & Utpal Vasavada, 1999. "The Economics of Foreign Direct Investment and Trade with an Application to the U.S. Food Processing Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(2), pages 442-452.
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    5. Munisamy Gopinath & Daniel Pick & Utpal Vasavada, 1998. "Exchange Rate Effects on the Relationship between FDI and Trade in the U.S. Food Processing Industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 80(5), pages 1073-1079.
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    Cited by:

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    4. Asgari, Mahdi, 2016. "U.S. Food Manufacturing Industry: The Choice of Exports vs. FDI," 2016 Annual Meeting, February 6-9, 2016, San Antonio, Texas 230135, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. Cuyvers, Ludo & Soeng, Reth & Plasmans, Joseph & Van Den Bulcke, Daniel, 2011. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in Cambodia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 222-234, June.
    6. Amadou Maiga Ousseini & Oumarou Issoufou & Coulibaly Salifou Kigbajah, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment and International Trade in WAEMU- Panel Causality and Long-term Relationship Analysis," Review of Economics, De Gruyter, vol. 70(2), pages 193-212, August.
    7. Karl Aiginger & Stefan Ederer & Jakob Prammer & Susanne Bärenthaler-Sieber, 2010. "Österreichs außenwirtschaftliche Beziehungen zur Schwarzmeerregion und deren wirtschaftliche Perspektiven," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 39891.
    8. Raphaël Chiappini, 2016. "Do overseas investments create or replace trade? New insights from a macro-sectoral study on Japan," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(3), pages 403-425, June.
    9. Garcia-Fuentes, Pablo A. & Kennedy, P. Lynn & Ferreira, Gustavo F.C., 2013. "U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America and the Caribbean: A case of Remittances and Market Size," 2013 Annual Meeting, February 2-5, 2013, Orlando, Florida 142985, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Bolling, H. Christine & Shane, Mathew & Roe, Terry L., 2007. "Exchange Rates and U.S. Foreign Direct Investment in the Global Processed Food Industry," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 36(2), pages 1-9, October.
    11. CUYVERS, Ludo & PLASMANS, Joseph & SOENG, Reth & VAN DEN BULCKE, Daniël, 2008. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in Cambodia: Country-specific factor differentials," Working Papers 2008003, University of Antwerp, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    12. Furtan, William Hartley & Holzman, J.J., 2004. "The Effect of FDI on Agriculture and Food Trade: An Empirical Analysis 1987-2001," Agriculture and Rural Working Paper Series 28037, Statistics Canada.
    13. Shinichi Furuzawa & Lily Kiminami, 2017. "Changes in the international specialization of food manufacturing industry in East Asia," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 359-378, October.
    14. Jonas Gamso & Robert Grosse, 2021. "Trade agreement depth, foreign direct investment, and the moderating role of property rights," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 4(2), pages 308-325, June.
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    21. Gooch, Elizabeth & Gale, Fred, 2018. "China’s Foreign Agriculture Investments," Economic Information Bulletin 276237, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    22. Luljeta Hajderllari & Kostas Karantininis & Lartey G. Lawson, 2012. "FDI as an Export-Platform: A Gravity Model for the Danish Agri-Food Industry," IFRO Working Paper 2012/7, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Relations/Trade;

    JEL classification:

    • F47 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation

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