IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/jlaare/304769.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Packer Procurement, Structural Change, and Moving Average Basis Forecasts: Lessons from the Fed Dairy Cattle Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Pudenz, Christopher C.
  • Schulz, Lee L.

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Pudenz, Christopher C. & Schulz, Lee L., 2021. "Packer Procurement, Structural Change, and Moving Average Basis Forecasts: Lessons from the Fed Dairy Cattle Industry," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 46(3), September.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:304769
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.304769
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/304769/files/JARE46.3Pudenz425-446.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.304769?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. White, Halbert, 2006. "Time-series estimation of the effects of natural experiments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 527-566.
    2. Jushan Bai & Pierre Perron, 1998. "Estimating and Testing Linear Models with Multiple Structural Changes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 66(1), pages 47-78, January.
    3. Hatchett, Robert B. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B., 2010. "Optimal Length of Moving Average to Forecast Futures Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 35(1), pages 1-16.
    4. Feuz, Dillon M. & Harris, Chad & Bailey, DeeVon & Halverson, Gary, 2008. "Transportation and Quality Adjusted Basis: Does the Law of One Price Hold for Feeder Cattle?," 2008 Annual Meeting, June 23-24, 2008, Big Sky, Montana 42311, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    5. White, Halbert, 1980. "A Heteroskedasticity-Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimator and a Direct Test for Heteroskedasticity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(4), pages 817-838, May.
    6. Conner Mullally & Jayson L Lusk, 2018. "The Impact of Farm Animal Housing Restrictions on Egg Prices, Consumer Welfare, and Production in California," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(3), pages 649-669.
    7. Maples, Joshua G. & Lusk, Jayson L. & Peel, Derrell S., 2018. "Unintended consequences of the quest for increased efficiency in beef cattle: When bigger isn’t better," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 65-73.
    8. Yao, Yi-Ching, 1988. "Estimating the number of change-points via Schwarz' criterion," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 6(3), pages 181-189, February.
    9. DeeVon Bailey & B. Wade Brorsen & Chris Fawson, 1993. "Buyer Concentration at Feeder Cattle Auctions," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 15(1), pages 103-119.
    10. Tonsor, Glynn T. & Mollohan, Emily, 2017. "Price Relationships between Calves and Yearlings: An Updated Structural Change Assessment," Journal of Applied Farm Economics, Purdue University, vol. 1(1).
    11. Brian L. Buhr, 1996. "Hedging Holstein Steers in the Live Cattle Futures Market," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 18(1), pages 103-114.
    12. Andrews, Donald W K, 1993. "Tests for Parameter Instability and Structural Change with Unknown Change Point," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 821-856, July.
    13. Edgar E. Twine & James Rude & Jim Unterschultz, 2016. "Country of Origin Labeling and Structural Change in U.S. Imports of Canadian Cattle and Beef," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 64(3), pages 545-563, September.
    14. Parcell, Joe L. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 2000. "Factors Affecting Live Cattle Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 32(3), pages 531-541, December.
    15. Taylor, Mykel R. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Kastens, Terry L., 2006. "Forecasting Crop Basis Using Historical Averages Supplemented with Current Market Information," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 31(3), pages 1-19, December.
    16. Schulz, Lee L. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Ward, Clement E., 2011. "Trade-Related Policy and Canadian-U.S. Fed Cattle Transactions Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(2), pages 1-13, August.
    17. Shi‐Miin Liu & B. Wade Brorsen & Charles M. Oellermann & Apul L. Farris, 1994. "Forecasting the nearby basis of live cattle," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(3), pages 259-273, May.
    18. Schulz, Lee L. & Boetel, Brenda L. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 2018. "Price-Weight Relationship for Feeder Cattle: An Updated Dairy-Beef Assessment," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(2), December.
    19. Tonsor, Glynn T. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C. & Mintert, James R., 2004. "Improving Cattle Basis Forecasting," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 29(2), pages 1-14, August.
    20. James Rude & Marie‐Hélène Felt & Edgar Twine, 2016. "Detecting COOL Impacts on United States–Canada Bilateral Hog and Pork Trade Flows," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 272-288, April.
    21. Godfrey, Leslie G, 1978. "Testing against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1293-1301, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Christopher C. Pudenz & Lee L. Schulz, 2024. "Multi‐plant coordination in the U.S. beef packing industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(1), pages 382-415, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pudenz, Christopher C. & Schulz, Lee L, 2020. "Quantifying the U.S. Market Response to the African Swine Fever Outbreak in China," ISU General Staff Papers 202001010800001055, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    2. Elena Andreou & Eric Ghysels, 2002. "Detecting multiple breaks in financial market volatility dynamics," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 17(5), pages 579-600.
    3. James Rude & Marie‐Hélène Felt & Edgar Twine, 2016. "Detecting COOL Impacts on United States–Canada Bilateral Hog and Pork Trade Flows," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(2), pages 272-288, April.
    4. Hayley Jang & Young Hoon Lee & Rodney Fort, 2019. "Winning In Professional Team Sports: Historical Moments," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 57(1), pages 103-120, January.
    5. Devi, P. Indira & Shanmugam, K.R. & Jayasree, M.G., 2012. "Compensating Wages for Occupational Risks of Farm Workers in India," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 67(2), pages 1-12.
    6. Boldea, Otilia & Hall, Alastair R., 2013. "Estimation and inference in unstable nonlinear least squares models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 158-167.
    7. Hervé Le Bihan, 2004. "Tests de ruptures : une application au PIB tendanciel français," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 163(2), pages 133-154.
    8. Conner Mullally & Jayson L Lusk, 2018. "The Impact of Farm Animal Housing Restrictions on Egg Prices, Consumer Welfare, and Production in California," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(3), pages 649-669.
    9. Mohitosh Kejriwal, 2020. "A Robust Sequential Procedure for Estimating the Number of Structural Changes in Persistence," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 669-685, June.
    10. Perron, Pierre, 2020. "L'estimation de modèles avec changements structurels multiples," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 96(4), pages 789-837, Décembre.
    11. Kurozumi, Eiji & Tuvaandorj, Purevdorj, 2011. "Model selection criteria in multivariate models with multiple structural changes," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 164(2), pages 218-238, October.
    12. Yohei Yamamoto & Pierre Perron, 2013. "Estimating and testing multiple structural changes in linear models using band spectral regressions," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 16(3), pages 400-429, October.
    13. Hui Hong & Zhicun Bian & Chien-Chiang Lee, 2021. "COVID-19 and instability of stock market performance: evidence from the U.S," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 7(1), pages 1-18, December.
    14. White, Halbert & Pettenuzzo, Davide, 2014. "Granger causality, exogeneity, cointegration, and economic policy analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P2), pages 316-330.
    15. Bajo-Rubio, Oscar & Diaz-Roldan, Carmen & Esteve, Vicente, 2007. "Change of regime and Phillips curve stability: The case of Spain, 1964-2002," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 453-462.
    16. Gonzalo, Jesus & Pitarakis, Jean-Yves, 2002. "Estimation and model selection based inference in single and multiple threshold models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 110(2), pages 319-352, October.
    17. Giorgio Canarella & Rangan Gupta & Stephen M. Miller & Stephen K. Pollard, 2019. "Unemployment rate hysteresis and the great recession: exploring the metropolitan evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 61-79, January.
    18. Neil Kellard & Denise Osborn & Jerry Coakley & Alastair R. Hall & Denise R. Osborn & Nikolaos Sakkas, 2015. "Structural Break Inference Using Information Criteria in Models Estimated by Two-Stage Least Squares," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(5), pages 741-762, September.
    19. Francis Declerck & Jean-Pierre Indjehagopian & Frédéric Lantz, 2020. "Dynamics of biofuel prices on the European market: Impact of the EU environmental policy on the resources markets," Working Papers hal-02487491, HAL.
    20. Chulwoo Han & Abderrahim Taamouti, 2017. "Partial Structural Break Identification," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(2), pages 145-164, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:jlaare:304769. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/waeaaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.