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Cash And Futures Price Relationships For Nonstorable Commodities: An Empirical Analysis Using A General Theory

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  • Naik, Gopal
  • Leuthold, Raymond M.

Abstract

Empirical analysis examines the presence of basis risk, speculative component, and expected maturity basis component in basis relationships for nonstorable commodities. The results indicate that all three above components exist in both cattle and hog markets. The basis risk and speculative components vary across contracts. Hog markets showed seasonality, which helps explain the hog basis more accurately. Flexibility in making the marketing decision strengthens the explanation of intertemporal price relationships for both cattle and hogs beyond that previously attributed to only feed prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Naik, Gopal & Leuthold, Raymond M., 1988. "Cash And Futures Price Relationships For Nonstorable Commodities: An Empirical Analysis Using A General Theory," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 13(2), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32106
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.32106
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul, Allen B. & Wesson, William T., 1967. "Pricing Feedlot Services Through Cattle Futures," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, vol. 19(2), pages 1-13, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sanders, Dwight R. & Manfredo, Mark R., 2006. "Forecasting Basis Levels in the Soybean Complex: A Comparison of Time Series Methods," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(3), pages 513-523, December.
    2. Covey, Ted & Bessler, David A., 1991. "The Role of Futures in Daily Forward Pricing," 1991 Annual Meeting, August 4-7, Manhattan, Kansas 271282, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    3. Novak, Frank & Bauer, Leonard & Dailly, Sally & Melvin, Richard, 1992. "An Analysis of Risk and Return in Hog Finishing," Project Report Series 232358, University of Alberta, Department of Resource Economics and Environmental Sociology.
    4. Coffey, Brian K. & Tonsor, Glynn T. & Schroeder, Ted C., 2018. "Impacts of Changes in Market Fundamentals and Price Momentum on Hedging Live Cattle," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 43(1), January.
    5. Parcell, Joseph L. & Schroeder, Ted C. & Dhuyvetter, Kevin C., 2000. "Factors Affecting Live Cattle Basis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 32(3), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Zhepeng Hu & Mindy Mallory & Teresa Serra & Philip Garcia, 2020. "Measuring price discovery between nearby and deferred contracts in storable and nonstorable commodity futures markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 51(6), pages 825-840, November.
    7. Blank, Steven C. & Saitone, Tina & Sexton, Richard & Kalotia, Kabir & Forero, Larry & Nader, Glenn, 2011. "Location and distance effects on western calf and yearling prices," 2011 Annual Meeting, June 29-July 1, 2011, Banff, Alberta,Canada 291744, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    8. Manolis Kavussanos & Ilias Visvikis & David Menachof, 2005. "The Unbiasedness Hypothesis in the Freight Forward Market: Evidence from Cointegration Tests," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 7(3), pages 241-266, October.
    9. Schnake, Kristin N. & Karali, Berna & Dorfman, Jeffrey H., 2012. "The Informational Content of Distant-Delivery Futures Contracts," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-15, August.

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    Keywords

    Demand and Price Analysis; Marketing;

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