IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/arerjl/31552.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The U.S. Apple Industry: Econometric Model And Projections

Author

Listed:
  • Willett, Lois Schertz

Abstract

A dynamic model of the U.S. apple industry, including relationships for bearing acres, production, utilization, and allocation to the fresh, canned, frozen, juice, dried and other markets, is specified. Demands for each of these markets are modeled. Model coefficients are obtained using Zellner's seemingly unrelated regression procedure and data from 1971 through 1990. Elasticities and flexibilities are compared with other studies. Projections indicate that price fluctuations will continue in the industry when acreage is held at 1990 levels. A ten percent increase in fresh exports strengthens all apple prices. However, a ten percent decrease in the price of juice imports mitigates some of this effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Willett, Lois Schertz, 1993. "The U.S. Apple Industry: Econometric Model And Projections," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 22(2), pages 1-13, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:31552
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.31552
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/31552/files/22020137.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.31552?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hayward, Russel A. & Criner, George K. & Skinner, Steven P., 1984. "Apple Price And Production Forecasts For Maine And The United States," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 13(2), pages 1-9, October.
    2. Unknown, 1968. "Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States December 1968," Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States (FATUS) 164114, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Ben C. French & Jim L. Matthews, 1971. "A Supply Response Model for Perennial Crops," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 53(3), pages 478-490.
    4. Huang, Kuo S., 1985. "U.S. Demand for Food: A Complete System of Price and Income Effects," Technical Bulletins 157014, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    5. Unknown, 1975. "Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States July 1975," Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States (FATUS) 164251, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    6. Unknown, 1975. "Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States March 1975," Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States (FATUS) 164253, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. Unknown, 1968. "Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States July 1968," Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States (FATUS) 164119, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    8. Unknown, 1975. "Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States April 1975," Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States (FATUS) 164246, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    9. Unknown, 1968. "Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States September 1968," Foreign Agricultural Trade of the United States (FATUS) 164124, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tozer, Peter R. & Marsh, Thomas L., 2018. "Dynamic regional model of the US apple industry: Consequences of supply or demand shocks due to pest or disease outbreaks and control," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 252-263.
    2. Wu, Feng & Guan, Zhengfei & Whitaker, Vance, 2015. "Optimizing yield distribution under biological and economic constraints: Florida strawberries as a model for perishable commodities," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 113-120.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Friend, Reed E., 1971. "Use of Wheat for Feed in the European Economic Community, with Projections to 1975," Foreign Agricultural Economic Report (FAER) 145567, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    2. Davies, Yvonne & Trotter, Warren, 1971. "U.S. Peach Industry: Part I. Structure, Trends, and Consumption Projections to 1980," Agricultural Economic Reports 305694, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    3. Phillips, Mark & Hueth, Darrell L. & Just, Richard E., 1989. "Estimating Cost of Banning Agricultural Chemicals: The Case of Maneb and Maneb Alternatives," Working Papers 197631, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    4. Fleskens, Luuk & Graaff, Jan de, 2010. "Conserving natural resources in olive orchards on sloping land: Alternative goal programming approaches towards effective design of cross-compliance and agri-environmental measures," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 103(8), pages 521-534, October.
    5. Marc Nerlove, 1979. "The Dynamics of Supply: Retrospect and Prospect," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 61(5), pages 874-888.
    6. Park, Changwon & Senauer, Benjamin, 1996. "Estimation Of Household Brand-Size Choice Models For Spaghetti Products With Scanner Data," Working Papers 14336, University of Minnesota, The Food Industry Center.
    7. Just, Richard E., 1992. "Discovering Microeconomic Relationships in Agriculture," 1992 Conference (36th), February 10-13, 1992, Canberra, Australia 146530, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society.
    8. Blaylock, James R. & Blisard, William N., 1990. "Effects of Advertising on the Demand for Cheese, January 1982-June 1989," Staff Reports 278346, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    9. Jiarong Qian & Shoichi Ito & Zhijun Zhao, 2020. "The effect of price support policies on food security and farmers’ income in China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1328-1349, October.
    10. Arvind Panagariya & Maurice Schiff, 1991. "Política Comercial, Exportaciones de Productos Básicos y Bienestar: Teoría y Aplicación al Cacao," Latin American Journal of Economics-formerly Cuadernos de Economía, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 28(84), pages 249-270.
    11. Jean-Paul Chavas, 2008. "On Storage Behavior Under Imperfect Competition, with Application to the American Cheese Market," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 33(4), pages 325-339, December.
    12. Rickard, Bradley J. & Gonsalves, Jana L., 2008. "How would compliance with dietary recommendations affect revenues for agricultural producers?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 422-433, October.
    13. Folwell, Raymond J. & Mittelhammer, Ronald C. & Wang, Q., 1998. "An Empirical Bargaining Model Of Price Discovery: An Application To The Washington/Oregon Asparagus Industry," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 1(4), pages 1-13.
    14. Just, Richard E., 2000. "Some Guiding Principles for Empirical Production Research in Agriculture," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 29(2), pages 138-158, October.
    15. Elnagheeb, Abdelmoneim H. & Florkowski, Wojciech J., 1993. "Modeling Perennial Crop Supply: An Illustration From The Pecan Industry," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 25(1), pages 1-10, July.
    16. Benaissa Chidmi & Rigoberto A. Lopez & Ronald W. Cotterill, 2005. "Retail oligopoly power, dairy compact, and Boston milk prices," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(4), pages 477-491.
    17. Chambers, Robert G. & Pope, Rulon D., 1991. "Engel's Law and Linear in Moments Aggregation," Working Papers 197757, University of Maryland, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    18. Eugene Jones, 1997. "Consumer demand for carbohydrates: A look across products and income classes," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(6), pages 599-612.
    19. Unknown, 1992. "The Economic Benefits of Fungicides in Canadian Horticulture," Working Papers 244120, Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada.
    20. Sun, Theresa Y. & Blaylock, James R., 1993. "An Evaluation of Fluid Milk and Cheese Advertising," Technical Bulletins 157039, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crop Production/Industries;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:31552. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/nareaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.