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Forest Product Trade Impacts of an Invasive Species: Modeling Structure and Intervention Trade-Offs

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  • Prestemon, Jeffrey P.
  • Zhu, Shushuai
  • Turner, James A.
  • Buongiorno, Joseph
  • Li, Ruhong

Abstract

Asian gypsy and nun moth introductions into the United States, possibly arriving on imported Siberian coniferous logs, threaten domestic forests and product markets and could have global market consequences. We simulate, using the Global Forest Products Model (a spatial equilibrium model of the world forest sector), the consequences under current policies of a wide-spread, successful pest invasion, and of plausible trading partner responses to the successful invasion. We find that trade liberalization would have a negligible effect on U.S. imports of Siberian logs and, consequently, on the risk of a pest invasion. But, if it happened, possibly through trade in other commodities, a successful and widespread pest invasion would have large effects on producers and consumers over the period 2002 to 2030.

Suggested Citation

  • Prestemon, Jeffrey P. & Zhu, Shushuai & Turner, James A. & Buongiorno, Joseph & Li, Ruhong, 2006. "Forest Product Trade Impacts of an Invasive Species: Modeling Structure and Intervention Trade-Offs," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 35(1), pages 1-16, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:arerjl:10188
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.10188
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Barbier, Edward B., 2001. "A note on the economics of biological invasions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 197-202, November.
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    7. McAusland, Carol & Costello, Christopher, 2004. "Avoiding invasives: trade-related policies for controlling unintentional exotic species introductions," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 48(2), pages 954-977, September.
    8. Powell, Mark, 1997. "Science in Sanitary and Phytosanitary Dispute Resolution," RFF Working Paper Series dp-97-50, Resources for the Future.
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    Cited by:

    1. Strutt, Anna & Turner, James A. & Haack, Robert A. & Olson, Lars, 2013. "Evaluating the impacts of an international phytosanitary standard for wood packaging material: Global and United States trade implications," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 54-64.
    2. Lichtenberg, Erik & Olson, Lars J., 2020. "Tariffs and the risk of invasive pest introductions in commodity imports: Theory and empirical evidence," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Batabyal, Amitrajeet A. & Beladi, Hamid, 2009. "Trade, the damage from alien species, and the effects of protectionism under alternate market structures," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 70(1-2), pages 389-401, May.

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