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Measuring the determinants of pork consumption in Bloemfontein, Central South Africa

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  • Oyewumi, Olubukola Ayodeju
  • Jooste, Andre

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to investigate the determinants of households' pork consumption using a logistic regression procedure. The model was initially fitted with ten variables, selected from factors identified by precious studies, that affect meat consumption in South Africa. Six of these variables were found to be significant at the 10 per cent significance level and all had the expected signs. These include household monthly income, current household monthly expenditure on meat, relative price of pork, preference for value-added pork products, prices of substitutes (the most preferred household meat type), and response of household to change in pork quality. The result obtained was further analyzed to compute partial effects and to conduct simulations for significant factors. Analysis of partial effects revealed that quality assurance and value-adding lead to much greater probability of pork consumption by households. Simulation conducted on the base category of pork-consuming households revealed that quality assurance and value-adding have relatively high potential to almost double and more than double household pork consumption respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Oyewumi, Olubukola Ayodeju & Jooste, Andre, 2006. "Measuring the determinants of pork consumption in Bloemfontein, Central South Africa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 45(2), pages 1-13, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:agreko:31711
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.31711
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. van Heereden, A. F. & van Zyl, J. & Vivier, F. L., 1989. "Price Inter-Relationships In The South African Meat Market Ii: An Empirical Application," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 28(1), February.
    2. Goldsmith, Peter D. & Gow, Hamish R., 2005. "Strategic Positioning Under Agricultural Structural Change: A Critique of Long Jump Co-operative Ventures," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 8(2), pages 1-21.
    3. David Dickinson & Jill Hobbs & DeeVon Bailey, 2003. "A Comparison of US and Canadian Consumers’ Willingness To Pay for Red-Meat Traceability," Working Papers 2003-06, Utah State University, Department of Economics.
    4. Rantho, Lillian, 2003. "Demographics of South African Households - 1995," Background Paper Series 15608, PROVIDE Project.
    5. Conrado M. Gempesaw & Richard Bacon & Cathy R. Wessells & Alberto Manalo, 1995. "Consumer Perceptions of Aquaculture Products," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 77(5), pages 1306-1312.
    6. McGuigan, S.M. & Nieuwoudt, W.L., 2002. "The Expected Consumption Of Protein Feed In South Africa By 2020," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 41(1).
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    Cited by:

    1. Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy, 2013. "Evaluating the South African Pork Value Chain," BFAP Reports 279773, Bureau for Food and Agricultural Policy (BFAP), BFAP Reports.

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