- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Significance tests harm progress in forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 321-327.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Jason W. Beckstead, 2007.
"A note on determining the number of cues used in judgment analysis studies: The issue of type II error,"
Judgment and Decision Making,
Society for Judgment and Decision Making, vol. 2, pages 317-325, October.
[Downloadable!]
- Berger, Helge & Österholm, Pär, 2007.
"Does Money Growth Granger-Cause Inflation in the Euro Area? Evidence from Out-of-Sample Forecasts Using Bayesian VARs,"
Working Paper Series
2007:30, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Structured analogies for forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 365-376.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2006.
"Findings from evidence-based forecasting: Methods for reducing forecast error,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 583-598.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Green, Kesten C. & Armstrong, J. Scott, 2007.
"Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts,"
MPRA Paper
4361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 2003.
"Discovery and communication of important marketing findings: Evidence and proposals,"
Journal of Business Research,
Elsevier, vol. 56(1), pages 69-84, January.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Adya, Monica & Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott & Kennedy, Miles, 2001.
"Automatic identification of time series features for rule-based forecasting,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 143-157.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412023, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Fildes, Robert & Madden, Gary & Tan, Joachim, 2007.
"Optimal forecasting model selection and data characteristics,"
MPRA Paper
10819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Armstrong, J Scott & Collopy, Fred, 2001.
"Identification of Asymmetric Prediction Intervals through Causal Forces,"
Journal of Forecasting,
John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(4), pages 273-83, July.
Cited by:
- J. S. Armstrong & R. Brodie, 2005.
"Forecasting for Marketing,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502018, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2005.
"Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
24/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
[Downloadable!]
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502015, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Morwitz, Vicki G. & Kumar, V., 2000.
"Sales forecasts for existing consumer products and services: Do purchase intentions contribute to accuracy?,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 383-397.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2005.
"Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
24/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
[Downloadable!]
- Yokuma, J. Thomas & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1995.
"Beyond accuracy: Comparison of criteria used to select forecasting methods,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 591-597, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412023, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Khim-Sen Liew & Kian-Ping Lim & Chee-Keong Choong, 2003.
"On The Forecastability Of Asean-5 Stock Markets Returns Using Time Series Models,"
Finance
0307012, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004.
"Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412024, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Collopy, Fred & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1992.
"Expert opinions about extrapolation and the mystery of the overlooked discontinuities,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 575-582, December.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Forecasting for Environmental Decision Making,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412023, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Moniz, António & Paulos, Margarida Ramires, 2008.
"Futures of automobile industry and challenges on sustainable development and mobility,"
MPRA Paper
9022, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2008.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004.
"Integration of Statistical Methods and Judgment for Time Series,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412024, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Armstrong, J. Scott & Collopy, Fred, 1992.
"Error measures for generalizing about forecasting methods: Empirical comparisons,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 69-80, June.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- Souza, Leonardo Rocha & Soares, Lacir Jorge, 2003.
"Forecasting Electricity Demand Using Generalized Long Memory,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
486, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Madden, Gary G & Coble-Neal, Grant, 2005.
"Forecasting international bandwidth capability,"
MPRA Paper
10822, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- J. S. Armstrong & R. Brodie, 2005.
"Forecasting for Marketing,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502018, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Goodwin, Paul, 2000.
"Correct or combine? Mechanically integrating judgmental forecasts with statistical methods,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 261-275.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- J. Scott Armstrong & Kesten C. Green, 2005.
"Demand Forecasting: Evidence-based Methods,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
24/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
[Downloadable!]
- Wagatha, Matthias, 2007.
"Integration, Kointegration und die Langzeitprognose von Kreditausfallzyklen
[Integration, Cointegration and Long-Horizont Forecasting of Credit-Default-Cycles],"
MPRA Paper
8602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- David E. Bloom & David Canning & Guenther Fink & Jocelyn E. Finlay, 2007.
"Does Age Structure Forecast Economic Growth?,"
NBER Working Papers
13221, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:- Bloom, David E. & Canning, David & Fink, Gunther & Finlay, Jocelyn E., 2007.
"Does age structure forecast economic growth?,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 569-585.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- David E. Bloom & David Canning & Günther Fink & Jocelyn Finlay, 2006.
"Does Age Structure Forecast Economic Growth?,"
PGDA Working Papers
2006, Program on the Global Demography of Aging.
[Downloadable!]
- Soares, Lacir Jorge & Souza, Leonardo Rocha, 2003.
"Forecasting Electricity Load Demand: Analysis of the 2001 Rationing Period in Brazil,"
Economics Working Papers (Ensaios Economicos da EPGE)
491, Graduate School of Economics, Getulio Vargas Foundation (Brazil).
[Downloadable!]
- JS Armstrong & Fred Collopy, 2004.
"Causal Forces: Structuring Knowledge for Time-series Extrapolation,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412003, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Madden, Gary G & Coble-Neal, Grant, 2004.
"Internet traffic dynamics,"
MPRA Paper
10827, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Fred Collopy & JS Armstrong, 2004.
"Rule-Based Forecasting: Development and Validation of an Expert Systems Approach to Combining Time Series Extrapolations,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412004, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502015, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Hyndman, R.J. & Koehler, A.B. & Snyder, R.D. & Grose, S., 2000.
"A State Space Framework for Automatic Forecasting Using Exponential Smoothing Methods,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
9/2000, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Rob J. Hyndman & Anne B. Koehler, 2005.
"Another Look at Measures of Forecast Accuracy,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
13/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - Malmberg, Bo & Lindh, Thomas, 2004.
"Demographically based global income forecasts up to the year 2050,"
Arbetsrapport
2004:7, Institute for Futures Studies.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions: - NUÑEZ AMORTEGUI, Héctor Mauricio, 2005.
"Una evaluación de los pronósticos de inflación en Colombia bajo el esquema de inflación objetivo,"
REVISTA DE ECONOMÍA DEL ROSARIO,
UNIVERSIDAD DEL ROSARIO - FACULTAD DE ECONOMÍA.
[Downloadable!]
- JS Armstrong & Robert Fildes, 2004.
"Correspondence On the Selection of Error Measures for Comparisons Among Forecasting Methods,"
General Economics and Teaching
0412002, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Fildes, Robert & Madden, Gary & Tan, Joachim, 2007.
"Optimal forecasting model selection and data characteristics,"
MPRA Paper
10819, University Library of Munich, Germany.
[Downloadable!]
- Bharat Barot, 2005.
"How Accurate Are The Swedish Forecasters On Gdp-Growth,Cpi- Inflation And Unemployment? (1993-2001),"
Macroeconomics
0510017, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1991.
"Prediction of Consumer Behavior by Experts and Novices,"
Journal of Consumer Research: An Interdisciplinary Quarterly,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 18(2), pages 251-56, September.
Cited by:
- JS Armstrong, 2005.
"Quality Control Versus Innovation in Research on Marketing,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502050, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1989.
"Combining forecasts: The end of the beginning or the beginning of the end?,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 5(4), pages 585-588.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- David, DE LA CROIX & Bo, MALMBERG, 2006.
"Growth and Longevity from the Industrial Revolution to the Future of an Aging Society,"
Discussion Papers
2006037, Université catholique de Louvain, Département des Sciences Economiques.
[Downloadable!]
Other versions:- DE LA CROIX, David & LINDH, Thomas & MALMBERG, Bo, 2006.
"Growth and longevity from the industrial revolution to the future of an aging society,"
CORE Discussion Papers
2006064, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
[Downloadable!]
- de la Croix, David & Lindh, Thomas & Malmberg, Bo, 2006.
"Growth and Longevity from the Industrial Revolution to the Future of an Aging Society,"
Arbetsrapport
2006:9, Institute for Futures Studies.
[Downloadable!]
- Timmermann, Allan G, 2005.
"Forecast Combinations,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5361, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Keunkwan Ryu & Kuo-yuan Liang, 1992.
"Relationship of Forecast Encompassing to Composite Forecasts with Simulations and an Application,"
UCLA Economics Working Papers
668, UCLA Department of Economics.
[Downloadable!]
- Dakin, Stephen & Armstrong, J. Scott, 1989.
"Predicting job performance: A comparison of expert opinion and research findings,"
International Journal of Forecasting,
Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 187-194.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.
- Armstrong, J Scott, 1978.
"Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore versus Fact,"
Journal of Business,
University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 549-64, October.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by:
- JS Armstrong, 2005.
"Strategic Planning And Forecasting Fundamentals,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502066, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Scott Moss & Bruce Edmonds & Steve Wallis, 1997.
"Validation and Verification of Computational Models with Multiple Cognitive Agents,"
Discussion Papers
97-25, Manchester Metropolitan University, Centre for Policy Modelling.
[Downloadable!]
- J. S. Armstrong, 2005.
"Forecasting by Extrapolation: Conclusions from 25 Years of Research,"
General Economics and Teaching
0502025, EconWPA.
[Downloadable!]
- Goh Bee Hua, Teo Ho Pin, 2000.
"Forecasting construction industry demand, price and productivity in Singapore: the BoxJenkins approach,"
Construction Management & Economics,
Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 18(5), pages 607-618, July.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Armstrong, J. Scott, 1977.
"Social irresponsibility in management,"
Journal of Business Research,
Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 185-213, September.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions: See citations under working paper version above.