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Comparison and Validation of Statistical Methods for Predicting Power Outage Durations in the Event of Hurricanes

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Cited by:

  1. Hou, Hui & Liu, Chao & Wei, Ruizeng & He, Huan & Wang, Lei & Li, Weibo, 2023. "Outage duration prediction under typhoon disaster with stacking ensemble learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
  2. Jennifer S Dargin & Ali Mostafavi, 2020. "Human-centric infrastructure resilience: Uncovering well-being risk disparity due to infrastructure disruptions in disasters," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(6), pages 1-29, June.
  3. Jingjing Kong & Slobodan P. Simonovic, 2019. "Probabilistic Multiple Hazard Resilience Model of an Interdependent Infrastructure System," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(8), pages 1843-1863, August.
  4. Hao Wu & Xiangyi Meng & Michael M. Danziger & Sean P. Cornelius & Hui Tian & Albert-László Barabási, 2022. "Fragmentation of outage clusters during the recovery of power distribution grids," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-7, December.
  5. Hui Hou & Hao Geng & Yong Huang & Hao Wu & Xixiu Wu & Shiwen Yu, 2019. "Damage Probability Assessment of Transmission Line-Tower System Under Typhoon Disaster, Based on Model-Driven and Data-Driven Views," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-17, April.
  6. Roshanak Nateghi & Seth D. Guikema & Yue (Grace) Wu & C. Bayan Bruss, 2016. "Critical Assessment of the Foundations of Power Transmission and Distribution Reliability Metrics and Standards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(1), pages 4-15, January.
  7. Diana Mitsova & Monica Escaleras & Alka Sapat & Ann-Margaret Esnard & Alberto J. Lamadrid, 2019. "The Effects of Infrastructure Service Disruptions and Socio-Economic Vulnerability on Hurricane Recovery," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-16, January.
  8. Christine L. Berner & Andrea Staid & Roger Flage & Seth D. Guikema, 2017. "The Use of Simulation to Reduce the Domain of “Black Swans” with Application to Hurricane Impacts to Power Systems," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1879-1897, October.
  9. Andrew Deelstra & David N. Bristow, 2023. "Methods for representing regional disaster recovery estimates: modeling approaches and assessment tools for improving emergency planning and preparedness," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 117(1), pages 779-802, May.
  10. Jin‐Hua Chen & Chun‐Shu Chen & Meng‐Fan Huang & Hung‐Chih Lin, 2016. "Estimating the Probability of Rare Events Occurring Using a Local Model Averaging," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 36(10), pages 1855-1870, October.
  11. Dennis Wagenaar & Tiaravanni Hermawan & Marc J. C. van den Homberg & Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts & Heidi Kreibich & Hans de Moel & Laurens M. Bouwer, 2021. "Improved Transferability of Data‐Driven Damage Models Through Sample Selection Bias Correction," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 41(1), pages 37-55, January.
  12. Hughes, William & Zhang, Wei & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios C. & Wanik, David & Pensado, Osvaldo & Yuan, Hao & Zhang, Jintao, 2021. "Damage modeling framework for resilience hardening strategy for overhead power distribution systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
  13. Feifei Yang & Diego Cerrai & Emmanouil N. Anagnostou, 2021. "The Effect of Lead-Time Weather Forecast Uncertainty on Outage Prediction Modeling," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-16, July.
  14. Hughes, William & Zhang, Wei & Cerrai, Diego & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios & Wanik, David & Anagnostou, Emmanouil, 2022. "A Hybrid Physics-Based and Data-Driven Model for Power Distribution System Infrastructure Hardening and Outage Simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
  15. Martin, Gael M. & Frazier, David T. & Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Loaiza-Maya, Rubén & Huber, Florian & Koop, Gary & Maheu, John & Nibbering, Didier & Panagiotelis, Anastasios, 2024. "Bayesian forecasting in economics and finance: A modern review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 811-839.
  16. Monsalve, Mauricio & de la Llera, Juan Carlos, 2019. "Data-driven estimation of interdependencies and restoration of infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 167-180.
  17. Seung‐Ryong Han & David Rosowsky & Seth Guikema, 2014. "Integrating Models and Data to Estimate the Structural Reliability of Utility Poles During Hurricanes," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 34(6), pages 1079-1094, June.
  18. Hamed Ghaedi & Kelsea Best & Allison Reilly & Deb Niemeier, 2024. "Statistical learning to identify salient factors influencing FEMA public assistance outlays," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(12), pages 10559-10582, September.
  19. Gael M. Martin & David T. Frazier & Ruben Loaiza-Maya & Florian Huber & Gary Koop & John Maheu & Didier Nibbering & Anastasios Panagiotelis, 2023. "Bayesian Forecasting in the 21st Century: A Modern Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 1/23, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  20. Jichao He & David W. Wanik & Brian M. Hartman & Emmanouil N. Anagnostou & Marina Astitha & Maria E. B. Frediani, 2017. "Nonparametric Tree‐Based Predictive Modeling of Storm Outages on an Electric Distribution Network," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(3), pages 441-458, March.
  21. Kairui Feng & Min Ouyang & Ning Lin, 2022. "Tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound hazard resilience in a changing climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
  22. Hossain, Eklas & Roy, Shidhartho & Mohammad, Naeem & Nawar, Nafiu & Dipta, Debopriya Roy, 2021. "Metrics and enhancement strategies for grid resilience and reliability during natural disasters," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
  23. Renee Obringer & Rohini Kumar & Roshanak Nateghi, 2020. "Managing the water–electricity demand nexus in a warming climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 159(2), pages 233-252, March.
  24. Allison C. Reilly & Andrew Samuel & Seth D. Guikema, 2015. "“Gaming the System”: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 12(4), pages 155-172, December.
  25. Rachunok, Benjamin & Nateghi, Roshanak, 2020. "The sensitivity of electric power infrastructure resilience to the spatial distribution of disaster impacts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  26. Hughes, William & Watson, Peter L. & Cerrai, Diego & Zhang, Xinxuan & Bagtzoglou, Amvrossios & Zhang, Wei & Anagnostou, Emmanouil, 2024. "Assessing grid hardening strategies to improve power system performance during storms using a hybrid mechanistic-machine learning outage prediction model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
  27. Jingjing Kong & Slobodan P. Simonovic & Chao Zhang, 2019. "Sequential Hazards Resilience of Interdependent Infrastructure System: A Case Study of Greater Toronto Area Energy Infrastructure System," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(5), pages 1141-1168, May.
  28. Olukunle O. Owolabi & Deborah A. Sunter, 2022. "Bayesian Optimization and Hierarchical Forecasting of Non-Weather-Related Electric Power Outages," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-22, March.
  29. Berk A. Alpay & David Wanik & Peter Watson & Diego Cerrai & Guannan Liang & Emmanouil Anagnostou, 2020. "Dynamic Modeling of Power Outages Caused by Thunderstorms," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 2(2), pages 1-12, May.
  30. Obringer, Renee & Mukherjee, Sayanti & Nateghi, Roshanak, 2020. "Evaluating the climate sensitivity of coupled electricity-natural gas demand using a multivariate framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
  31. Wu, Wei & Tang, Xiaoping & Lv, Jiake & Yang, Chao & Liu, Hongbin, 2021. "Potential of Bayesian additive regression trees for predicting daily global and diffuse solar radiation in arid and humid areas," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 148-163.
  32. Diana Mitsova & Ann-Margaret Esnard & Alka Sapat & Betty S. Lai, 2018. "Socioeconomic vulnerability and electric power restoration timelines in Florida: the case of Hurricane Irma," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(2), pages 689-709, November.
  33. Shen, Lijuan & Tang, Yanlin & Tang, Loon Ching, 2021. "Understanding key factors affecting power systems resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
  34. Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2019. "An adaptive robust framework for the optimization of the resilience of interdependent infrastructures under natural hazards," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 276(3), pages 1119-1136.
  35. Bao, Minglei & Ding, Yi & Sang, Maosheng & Li, Daqing & Shao, Changzheng & Yan, Jinyue, 2020. "Modeling and evaluating nodal resilience of multi-energy systems under windstorms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
  36. Yi‐Ping Fang & Giovanni Sansavini & Enrico Zio, 2019. "An Optimization‐Based Framework for the Identification of Vulnerabilities in Electric Power Grids Exposed to Natural Hazards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1949-1969, September.
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