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The trade response to global downturns : historical evidence

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Cited by:

  1. Iacovone, Leonardo & Ferro, Esteban & Pereira-López, Mariana & Zavacka, Veronika, 2019. "Banking crises and exports: Lessons from the past," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 192-204.
  2. Auboin, Marc & Borino, Floriana, 2017. "The falling elasticity of global trade to economic activity: Testing the demand channel," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2017-09, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
  3. Ariu, Andrea, 2016. "Crisis-proof services: Why trade in services did not suffer during the 2008–2009 collapse," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 138-149.
  4. Escaith, Hubert & Lindenberg, Nannette & Miroudot, Sébastien, 2010. "International supply chains and trade elasticity in times of global crisis," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2010-08, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
  5. Chen, Natalie & Juvenal, Luciana, 2018. "Quality and the Great Trade Collapse," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 59-76.
  6. Filippo di Mauro & Joseph W. Gruber & Bernd Schnatz & Nico Zorell, 2011. "Where are global and U.S. trade heading in the aftermath of the trade collapse: issues and alternative scenarios," International Finance Discussion Papers 1017, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  7. Hoekman, Bernard & Martin, Will & Mattoo, Aaditya, 2010. "Conclude Doha: it matters!," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(3), pages 505-530, July.
  8. van Bergeijk, P.A.G. & Dao, T.K., 2018. "Global trade finance, trade collapse and trade slowdown: a Granger causality analysis," ISS Working Papers - General Series 634, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
  9. M. Ayhan Kose & Naotaka Sugawara & Marco E. Terrones, 2020. "Global Recessions," Working Papers 162, Peruvian Economic Association.
  10. Evangelos Pastelakos, 2014. "Greek trade during the global financial crisis: a firm-level analysis," DEOS Working Papers 1414, Athens University of Economics and Business.
  11. Marc Auboin & Alisa DiCaprio, 2017. "Why Do Trade Finance Gaps Persist: Does it Matter for Trade and Development?," CESifo Working Paper Series 6425, CESifo.
  12. Hollweg, Claire H. & Lederman, Daniel & Reyes, Jose-Daniel, 2012. "Monitoring export vulnerability to changes in growth rates of major global markets," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6266, The World Bank.
  13. World Bank, 2011. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2011 [Perspectivas economicas mundiales, Enero de 2011 : navegar en aguas peligrosas (Vol. 2)]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 12102.
  14. Dimitri Bellas & Vincent Vicard, 2014. "French Firms' Exports During Downturns: Evidence from Past Crises," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(10), pages 1410-1423, October.
  15. Kristian Behrens & Gregory Corcos & Giordano Mion, 2013. "Trade Crisis? What Trade Crisis?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 95(2), pages 702-709, May.
  16. Goldbach, Stefan & Nitsch, Volker, 2015. "Cutting the credit line: Evidence from Germany," Discussion Papers 25/2015, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  17. Nicholas‐Joseph Lazarou & Andreas Zervas, 2023. "Declining long‐run income elasticities and the rise of cyclicality of trade: Evidence from Greece, 1995–2018," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 46(6), pages 1873-1888, June.
  18. Patrice Ollivaud & Cyrille Schwellnus, 2015. "Does the post-crisis weakness of global trade solely reflect weak demand?," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2015(1), pages 269-267.
  19. Chinn, Menzie D., 2010. "Supply Capacity, Vertical Specialisation andTrade Costs: The Implications for Aggreagate US Trade Flow Equations," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 14, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
  20. Jaime de Melo, 2015. "Trade in a ‘Green Growth’ Development Strategy: Issues and Challenges," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Developing Countries in the World Economy, chapter 22, pages 553-580, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
  21. van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2015. "The heterogeneity of world trade collapses," ISS Working Papers - General Series 606, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
  22. Samrat Roy & Chanchal Chatterjee, 2013. "Dynamics of Trade Potentials in ‘Emerging Asia’ in the Post Financial Crisis Era," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 14(4), pages 639-650, December.
  23. Samuel Carrasco & Diego Gianelli & Carolina Godoy, 2015. "Sensibilidad de las Exportaciones al TCR: Un Análisis Sectorial y por Destino," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 745, Central Bank of Chile.
  24. Joseph F Francois & Julia Worz, 2011. "Structural Components of International Trade Growth 1995–2009," Chapters, in: Ewald Nowotny & Peter Mooslechner & Doris Ritzberger-Grünwald (ed.), Post-Crisis Growth and Integration in Europe, chapter 22, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  25. Cristina Constantinescu & Aaditya Mattoo & Michele Ruta, 2020. "The Global Trade Slowdown: Cyclical or Structural?," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 34(1), pages 121-142.
  26. Fan, Ying, 2011. "Services Policy Reform in the People’s Republic of China: Before and After the Global Financial Crisis," ADBI Working Papers 304, Asian Development Bank Institute.
  27. Felipe Benguria & Alan M. Taylor, 2020. "After the Panic: Are Financial Crises Demand or Supply Shocks? Evidence from International Trade," American Economic Review: Insights, American Economic Association, vol. 2(4), pages 509-526, December.
  28. Anna Watson, 2021. "Trade credit, trade income elasticity and the international transmission of shocks," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 11(4), pages 687-733, December.
  29. Frankel, Jeffrey, 2016. "Globalization and Chinese Growth: Ends of Trends?," Working Paper Series 16-029, Harvard University, John F. Kennedy School of Government.
  30. Chor, Davin & Manova, Kalina, 2012. "Off the cliff and back? Credit conditions and international trade during the global financial crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 117-133.
  31. Türkcan, Kemal, 2014. "Investigating the Role of Extensive Margin, Intensive Margin, Price and Quantity Components on Turkey’s Export Growth during 1998-2011," MPRA Paper 53292, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  32. Constantinescu, Cristina & Mattoo, Aaditya & Ruta, Michele, 2016. "Does the global trade slowdown matter?," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 711-722.
  33. Borin, Alessandro & Di Nino, Virginia & Mancini, Michele & Sbracia, Massimo, 2016. "The Cyclicality of the Income Elasticity of Trade," MPRA Paper 73000, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  34. Mr. Joong S Kang & Mr. Jay C Shambaugh, 2014. "Progress Towards External Adjustment in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics," IMF Working Papers 2014/131, International Monetary Fund.
  35. Accetturo, Antonio & Giunta, Anna, 2018. "Value chains and the great recession: Evidence from Italian and German firms," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 55-68.
  36. Gangnes, Byron S. & Ma, Alyson C. & Van Assche, Ari, 2014. "Global value chains and trade elasticities," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(3), pages 482-486.
  37. Tony Addison & Channing Arndt & Finn Tarp, 2011. "The Triple Crisis and the Global Aid Architecture," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 23(4), pages 461-478, December.
  38. Bédhat Jean-Marc Atsebi & Jean-Louis Combes & Alexandru Minea, 2019. "The trade costs of financial crises," Working Papers halshs-01990335, HAL.
  39. Jutta Günther & Maria Kristalova & Udo Ludwig, 2019. "Structural stability of the research & development sector in European economies despite the economic crisis," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 1415-1432, November.
  40. Konstantin Büchel & Stefan Legge & Vincent Pochon & Philipp Wegmüller, 2020. "Swiss trade during the COVID-19 pandemic: an early appraisal," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Springer;Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics, vol. 156(1), pages 1-15, December.
  41. Silvia Fabiani & Stefano Federico & Alberto Felettigh, 2016. "Adjusting the external adjustment: cyclical factors and the Italian current account," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 346, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  42. Salvador Gil-Pareja & Rafael Llorca-Vivero & José Antonio Martínez-Serrano, 2017. "Does the Degree of Development Matter in the Impact of Banking Crises on International Trade?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 829-848, August.
  43. A. M. M. Shahiduzzaman Quoreshi & Trudy-Ann Stone, 2019. "Do Global Value Chains Make Firms More Vulnerable to Trade Shocks?—Evidence from Manufacturing Firms in Sweden," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-16, September.
  44. Channing Arndt & Azhar Hussain & Sam Jones & Virgulino Nhate & Finn Tarp & James Thurlow, 2011. "Explaining Poverty Evolution: The Case of Mozambique," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2011-017, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
  45. World Bank, 2011. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2011 [Perspectivas economicas mundiales, Enero de 2011 : navegar en aguas peligrosas (Vol. 2)]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 12097.
  46. Marc Auboin & Floriana Borino, 2018. "The Falling Elasticity of Global Trade to Economic Activity: Testing the Demand Channel," CESifo Working Paper Series 7228, CESifo.
  47. Tony Addison & Channing Arndt & Finn Tarp, 2011. "The Triple Crisis and the Global Aid Architecture," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 23(4), pages 461-478.
  48. Olivier J. Blanchard & Mitali Das & Hamid Faruqee, 2010. "The Initial Impact of the Crisis on Emerging Market Countries," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 41(1 (Spring), pages 263-323.
  49. Carlo Altomonte & Filippo Di Mauro & Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano & Armando Rungi & Vincent Vicard, 2012. "Global Value Chains During the Great Trade Collapse: A Bullwhip Effect?," CEP Discussion Papers dp1131, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
  50. Dimitra Petropoulou & Kwok Tong Soo, 2011. "Product Durability and Trade Volatility," Working Paper Series 2811, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
  51. Bernhardt, Thomas, 2014. "How promising is South-South trade as a contributor to economic development in Asia and South America? Insights from estimating income elasticities of import demand," MPRA Paper 56413, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  52. Martin Borowiecki & Bernhard Dachs & Doris Hanzl-Weiss & Steffen Kinkel & Johannes Pöschl & Magdolna Sass & Thomas Christian Schmall & Robert Stehrer & Andrea Szalavetz, 2012. "Global Value Chains and the EU Industry," wiiw Research Reports 383, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
  53. McDonald, Scott. & Jansen, Marion. & Uexküll, Erik von., 2012. "The impact of crisis-related changes in trade flows on employment, incomes, regional and sectoral development in Brazil," ILO Working Papers 994689023402676, International Labour Organization.
  54. Auboin, Marc & DiCaprio, Alisa, 2016. "Why do trade finance gaps persist: Does it matter for trade and development?," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2017-01, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
  55. Naanwaab Cephas B. & Edwards Jeffrey A., 2017. "Analyzing Trade Growth Effects of Deviations from Long-run Economic Growth," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(4), pages 1-11, December.
  56. van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2011. "One is not enough!," ISS Working Papers - General Series 22964, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
  57. Dr. Jae-Sung, Lee, 2012. "A Study on APEC¡¯s Economic Cooperations under WTO," International Journal of Business Administration, International Journal of Business Administration, Sciedu Press, vol. 3(6), pages 55-59, November.
  58. Rudolfs Bems & Robert C Johnson & Kei-Mu Yi, 2010. "Demand Spillovers and the Collapse of Trade in the Global Recession," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 58(2), pages 295-326, December.
  59. Nitsch, Volker & Goldbach, Stefan, 2014. "Bank Credit and Trade: Evidence from Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100534, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  60. Carter Mix & George Alessandria, 2017. "The Global Trade Slowdown: A Dynamic Approach," 2017 Meeting Papers 907, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  61. George Alessandria & Carter Mix, 2019. "Trade Policy is Real News: A quantitative analysis of past, current, and future changes in U.S. trade barriers," 2019 Meeting Papers 545, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  62. Reza Y. Siregar & C.S. Lim, Vincent, 2011. "Real Sector Propagation of the Recent Global Financial Crisis: An Integrative Report," Staff Papers, South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre, number sp83.
  63. Matías Berthelon, 2011. "Chilean Export Performance: the Role of Intensive and Extensive Marginss," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 14(1), pages 25-38, April.
  64. Benjamin Bridgman, 2013. "International Supply Chains And The Volatility Of Trade," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 51(4), pages 2110-2124, October.
  65. Jean-Marc Siroën & Aycil Yucer, 2012. "The impact of MERCOSUR on trade of Brazilian states," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 148(3), pages 553-582, September.
  66. Setyawati, Irma, 2018. "Global financial crisis 2008 and its vulnerability in SAARC countries," Business and Economic Horizons (BEH), Prague Development Center, vol. 14(4), pages 766-776, August.
  67. Bosello, Francesco & Eboli, Fabio & Parrado, Ramiro & Rosa, Renato, 2010. "REDD in the Carbon Market: A general equilibrium analysis," Conference papers 331978, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
  68. Andrei A. Levchenko & Logan Lewis & Linda L. Tesar, 2009. "The Collapse of International Trade During the 2008-2009 Crisis: In Search of the Smoking Gun," Working Papers 592, Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan.
  69. repec:ilo:ilowps:468902 is not listed on IDEAS
  70. Selçuk BALI & Mete GÜLER, 2016. "The IMPACTS of the GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS on LATIN AMERICAN COUNTRIES," Eurasian Business & Economics Journal, Eurasian Academy Of Sciences, vol. 4(4), pages 1-10, January.
  71. Rita Cappariello & Alberto Felettigh, 2015. "How does foreign demand activate domestic value added? A comparison among the largest euro-area economies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1001, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  72. Benguria, Felipe, 2021. "The 2020 trade collapse: Exporters amid the pandemic," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
  73. Tabakis Chrysostomos, 2010. "Customs Unions and Special Protection," The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 10(1), pages 1-40, December.
  74. Joseph F. Francois & Julia Wörz, 2010. "Trade, Economic Structure and the Great Recession: The Example of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 67-72.
  75. repec:wsr:ecbook:2011:i:iii-006 is not listed on IDEAS
  76. Anna Watson, 2019. "Financial Frictions, the Great Trade Collapse and International Trade over the Business Cycle," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 19-64, February.
  77. ROTARU, Livia Maria, 2014. "The Financial Crisis – Explaining The Costs," Journal of Financial and Monetary Economics, Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 1(1), pages 187-193.
  78. Cabrillac, Bruno & Al-Haschimi, Alexander & Babecká Kucharčuková, Oxana & Borin, Alessandro & Bussière, Matthieu & Cezar, Raphael & Derviz, Alexis & Dimitropoulou, Dimitra & Ferrara, Laurent & Gächter, 2016. "Understanding the weakness in global trade - What is the new normal?," Occasional Paper Series 178, European Central Bank.
  79. Anderton, Robert & Tewolde, Tadios, 2011. "The global financial crisis: trying to understand the global trade downturn and recovery," Working Paper Series 1370, European Central Bank.
  80. Nicolas Berman & Philippe Martin, 2012. "The Vulnerability of Sub-Saharan Africa to Financial Crises: the Case of Trade," SciencePo Working papers hal-03461159, HAL.
  81. Joseph F. Francois & Julia Wörz, 2011. "Shifts in International Trade and Value Added from 1995 to 2007: Insights into the Drivers of Growth," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 3, pages 37-56.
  82. Jaime Martínez-Martín, 2016. "Breaking down world trade elasticities: a panel ECM approach," Working Papers 1614, Banco de España.
  83. Marco Giansoldati & Tullio Gregori, 2018. "Trade Collapses and Trade Slowdowns: Evidence from Some Central and Eastern European Countries," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(1 (Spring), pages 3-18.
  84. Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2014. "Global Trade and Specialisation Patterns Over the Next 50 Years," OECD Economic Policy Papers 10, OECD Publishing.
  85. World Bank Group, 2015. "Global Economic Prospects, January 2015 : Having Fiscal Space and Using It," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 20758.
  86. van Bergeijk, P.A.G., 2017. "One is not enough! An economic history perspective on world trade collapses and deglobalization," ISS Working Papers - General Series 98695, International Institute of Social Studies of Erasmus University Rotterdam (ISS), The Hague.
  87. Åsa Johansson & Eduardo Olaberría, 2014. "Long-term Patterns of Trade and Specialisation," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1136, OECD Publishing.
  88. Morales, Eduardo & Sheu, Gloria & Zahler, Andrés, 2011. "Gravity and extended gravity: estimating a structural model of export entry," MPRA Paper 30311, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  89. Peter A.G. van Bergeijk, 2019. "Deglobalization 2.0," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 18560.
  90. Mr. Abdul d Abiad & Petia Topalova & Ms. Prachi Mishra, 2011. "How Does Trade Evolve in the Aftermath of Financial Crises?," IMF Working Papers 2011/003, International Monetary Fund.
  91. Jannsen, Nils, 2014. "Zur Schwäche des Welthandels," Kiel Insight 2014.7, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  92. Zehri, Chokri & Madjd-Sadjadi, Zagros & Saleh Iben Ammar, Latifa, 2024. "Asymmetric impacts of U.S. monetary policy on emerging markets: Contagion and macroeconomic determinants," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
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