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Trade, Economic Structure and the Great Recession: The Example of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe

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As measured by the most recent monthly data, the trade collapse that had started in late 2008 has shifted into a rapid recovery phase. The simplest explanation that fits the facts is that trade has followed the sectoral composition of the recession. The recession has caused particularly strong declines of trade flows in heavy manufacturing, i.e. machinery, vehicles and related raw materials. This has translated into a deep manufacturing recession and an even stronger drop in trade. In particular, for CESEE countries these sectors are far more important in the composition of trade than they are in the composition of GDP.

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  • Joseph F. Francois & Julia Wörz, 2010. "Trade, Economic Structure and the Great Recession: The Example of Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 67-72.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2010:i:1:b:4
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade collapse; industrial structure; Central; Eastern and Southeastern Europe;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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