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Asset Return Dynamics under Habits and Bad Environment-Good Environment Fundamentals
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- Robert A Connolly & David Dubofsky & Chris Stivers, 2021. "Economic-State Variation in Uncertainty-Yield Dynamics [Do macro variables, asset markets, or surveys forecast inflation better?]," The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 11(1), pages 60-104.
- Christian Schlag & Michael Semenischev & Julian Thimme, 2021. "Predictability and the Cross-Section of Expected Returns: A Challenge for Asset Pricing Models," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(12), pages 7932-7950, December.
- Dai, Zhifeng & Peng, Yongxin, 2022. "Economic policy uncertainty and stock market sector time-varying spillover effect: Evidence from China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
- Liu, Wei & Garrett, Ian, 2023. "Regime-dependent effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on realized volatility in the U.S. stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
- Delis, Manthos D. & Savva, Christos S. & Theodossiou, Panayiotis, 2021. "The impact of the coronavirus crisis on the market price of risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Leland E. Farmer & Lawrence Schmidt & Allan Timmermann, 2023.
"Pockets of Predictability,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1279-1341, June.
- Timmermann, Allan & Farmer, Leland E. & Schmidt, Lawrence, 2018. "Pockets of Predictability," CEPR Discussion Papers 12885, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Nam, Eun-Young & Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2021. "Macroeconomic uncertainty shocks and households’ consumption choice," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- Dunbar, Kwamie & Owusu-Amoako, Johnson, 2021. "The impact of hedging on risk-averse agents’ output decisions," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2021. "The Global Determinants of International Equity Risk Premiums," International Finance Discussion Papers 1318, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Xu, Nancy R., 2021. "Procyclicality of the comovement between dividend growth and consumption growth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(1), pages 288-312.
- Juan M. Londono & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "Variance Risk Premium Components and International Stock Return Predictability," International Finance Discussion Papers 1247, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Burgess, Matthew G. & Langendorf, Ryan E. & Ippolito, Tara & Pielke, Roger Jr, 2020. "Optimistically biased economic growth forecasts and negatively skewed annual variation," SocArXiv vndqr, Center for Open Science.
- Nam Gang Lee, 2020. "Vulnerable Growth: A Revisit," Working Papers 2020-22, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023.
"What Is Certain about Uncertainty?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2021.
"Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle,"
Cardiff Economics Working Papers
E2021/30, Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School, Economics Section.
- Iseringhausen, Martin & Petrella, Ivan & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2022. "Aggregate Skewness and the Business Cycle," CEPR Discussion Papers 17162, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Martin Iseringhausen & Ivan Petrella & Konstantinos Theodoridis, 2022. "Aggregate skewness and the business cycle," Working Papers 53, European Stability Mechanism.
- Schlag, Christian & Thimme, Julian & Weber, Rüdiger, 2020. "Implied Volatility Duration: A measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution," SAFE Working Paper Series 265, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Faria, Gonçalo & Kosowski, Robert & Wang, Tianyu, 2022.
"The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Kosowski, Robert & Faria, Gonçalo & Wang, Tianyu, 2021. "The Correlation Risk Premium: International Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 16389, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2022.
"The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(6), pages 3975-4004, June.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric C. Engstrom & Nancy R. Xu, 2019. "The Time Variation in Risk Appetite and Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 25673, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Cotter, John & Salvador, Enrique, 2022.
"The non-linear trade-off between return and risk and its determinants,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 100-132.
- John Cotter & Enrique Salvador, 2022. "The non-linear trade-off between return and risk and its determinants," Working Papers 202203, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
- Bekaert, Geert & Engstrom, Eric & Ermolov, Andrey, 2021.
"Macro risks and the term structure of interest rates,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 479-504.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2016. "Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," NBER Working Papers 22839, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2017. "Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-058, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Corsetti, G. & Lipińska, A. & Lombardo, G., 2024. "International Risk Sharing and Wealth Allocation with Higher Order Cumulants," Janeway Institute Working Papers 2422, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2023.
"The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models,"
Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 27(6), pages 1977-2014.
- Geert Bekaert & Eric Engstrom & Andrey Ermolov, 2020. "The Variance Risk Premium in Equilibrium Models," NBER Working Papers 27108, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Borochin, Paul & Zhao, Yanhui, 2019. "Belief heterogeneity in the option markets and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.
- Segal, Gill, 2019. "A tale of two volatilities: Sectoral uncertainty, growth, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 110-140.
- Mete Kilic & Ivan Shaliastovich, 2019. "Good and Bad Variance Premia and Expected Returns," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(6), pages 2522-2544, June.
- Schlag, Christian & Semenischev, Michael & Thimme, Julian, 2020. "Predictability and the cross-section of expected returns: A challenge for asset pricing models," SAFE Working Paper Series 289, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
- Jianlei Han & Martina Linnenluecke & Zhangxin Liu & Zheyao Pan & Tom Smith, 2019. "A general equilibrium approach to pricing volatility risk," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(4), pages 1-18, April.
- Houari, Oussama, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Geert Bekaert & Alexander Popov, 2019.
"On the Link Between the Volatility and Skewness of Growth,"
IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 67(4), pages 746-790, December.
- Geert Bekaert & Alexander Popov, 2012. "On the Link Between the Volatility and Skewness of Growth," NBER Working Papers 18556, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Ermolov, Andrey, 2022. "Time-varying risk of nominal bonds: How important are macroeconomic shocks?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(1), pages 1-28.
- Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae, 2020. "Measuring Chinese consumers’ perceived uncertainty," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 51-70.
- Huang, Yu-Fan & Liao, Wenting & Luo, Sui & Ma, Jun, 2024. "Financial conditions, macroeconomic uncertainty, and macroeconomic tail risks," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
- Goodell, John W. & McGee, Richard J. & McGroarty, Frank, 2020. "Election uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty: A prediction market analysis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
- Guo, Hui & Jiang, Xiaowen, 2021. "Aggregate Distress Risk and Equity Returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Li, Kaifeng & Xia, Bobo & Guo, Zhaoxuan, 2021. "A consumption-based asset pricing model with disappointment aversion and uncertainty shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 235-243.
- Walter I. Boudry & Robert A. Connolly & Eva Steiner, 2022. "What happens during flight to safety: Evidence from public and private real estate markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 147-172, March.
- Cheng, Hang & Guo, Hui & Shi, Yongdong, 2024. "Multifactor conditional equity premium model: Evidence from China's stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
- Bali, Turan G. & Brown, Stephen J. & Tang, Yi, 2017. "Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 471-489.
- Ghaderi, Mohammad & Kilic, Mete & Seo, Sang Byung, 2024. "Why do rational investors like variance at the peak of a crisis? A learning-based explanation," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
- Corsetti, G. & Lipińska, A. & Lombardo, G., 2021.
"Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade,"
Cambridge Working Papers in Economics
2153, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Corsetti, Giancarlo & Lipinska, Anna & Lombardo, Giovanni, 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Pricing and Terms of Trade," CEPR Discussion Papers 16443, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Anna Lipínska & Giovanni Lombardo, 2021. "Sharing asymmetric tail risk smoothing, asset pricing and terms of trade," BIS Working Papers 958, Bank for International Settlements.
- Oussama Houari, 2022. "Uncertainty shocks and business cycles in the US: New insights from the last three decades," Post-Print hal-03723972, HAL.
- Ramos, Henrique Pinto & Righi, Marcelo Brutti, 2020. "Liquidity, implied volatility and tail risk: A comparison of liquidity measures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Aragó, V. & Barreda-Tarrazona, I. & Breaban, A. & Matallín, J.C. & Salvador, E., 2022. "Market risk aversion under volatility shifts: An experimental study," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 552-568.
- Falconio, Andrea & Manganelli, Simone, 2020. "Financial conditions, business cycle fluctuations and growth at risk," Working Paper Series 2470, European Central Bank.
- Elkamhi, Redouane & Jo, Chanik, 2023. "Asset holders’ consumption risk and tests of conditional CCAPM," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(3), pages 220-244.
- Elyasiani, Elyas & Gambarelli, Luca & Muzzioli, Silvia, 2020. "Moment risk premia and the cross-section of stock returns in the European stock market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
- Liu, Mengxi (Maggie) & Chan, Kam Fong & Faff, Robert, 2022. "What can we learn from firm-level jump-induced tail risk around earnings announcements?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
- Bagliano, Fabio C. & Fugazza, Carolina & Nicodano, Giovanna, 2024.
"Life-cycle risk-taking with personal disaster risk,"
International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 378-396.
- Nicodano, Giovanna & Bagliano, Fabio-Cesare & Fugazza, Carolina, 2021. "Life-Cycle Risk-Taking with Personal Disaster Risk," CEPR Discussion Papers 16234, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bagliano, Fabio C. & Fugazza, Carolina & Nicodano, Giovanna, 2021. "Life-cycle risk-taking with personal disaster risk," ESRB Working Paper Series 132, European Systemic Risk Board.
- Pacati, Claudio & Pompa, Gabriele & Renò, Roberto, 2018. "Smiling twice: The Heston++ model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 185-206.
- Yu‐Fan Huang & Sui Luo, 2020. "Can Stock Volatility Be Benign? New Measurements and Macroeconomic Implications," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(4), pages 933-950, June.
- Nam Gang Lee, 2019. "Trend Growth Shocks and Asset Prices," Working Papers 2019-4, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
- Chen, Qi-An & Li, Huashi & Lin, Jianyi & Yan, Youliang, 2023. "Asset pricing with two types of heterogeneous consumption volatilities in mind: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
- Andreou, Panayiotis C. & Kagkadis, Anastasios & Philip, Dennis & Taamouti, Abderrahim, 2019. "The information content of forward moments," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 527-541.
- Ruzhao Gao & Yancai Zhao & Bing Zhang, 2021. "The spillover effects of economic policy uncertainty on the oil, gold, and stock markets: Evidence from China," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2134-2141, April.
- Giancarlo Corsetti & Anna Lipinska & Giovanni Lombardo, 2021. "Sharing Asymmetric Tail Risk: Smoothing, Asset Prices and Terms of Trade," International Finance Discussion Papers 1324, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Schlag, Christian & Thimme, Julian & Weber, Rüdiger, 2021. "Implied volatility duration: A measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 127-144.
- Jaccard, Ivan, 2018. "Stochastic discounting and the transmission of money supply shocks," Working Paper Series 2174, European Central Bank.
- Schüler, Yves S., 2020. "The impact of uncertainty and certainty shocks," Discussion Papers 14/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Kiryoung Lee & Yoontae Jeon & Insik Kim, 2021. "Which economic uncertainty measure matters for households' portfolio decision?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(2), pages 343-369, June.
- Xiangjun Hong & Xian Lin & Laitan Fang & Yuchen Gao & Ruipeng Li, 2022. "Application of Machine Learning Models for Predictions on Cross-Border Merger and Acquisition Decisions with ESG Characteristics from an Ecosystem and Sustainable Development Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-27, February.
- Maio, Paulo & Silva, André C., 2020. "Asset pricing implications of money: New evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
- Li, Yulin & Wald, John K. & Wang, Zijun, 2020. "Sovereign bonds, coskewness, and monetary policy regimes," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
- Irina Zviadadze, 2021.
"Term Structure of Risk in Expected Returns [Stock returns and volatility: Pricing the short-run and long-run components of market risk],"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(12), pages 6032-6086.
- Zviadadze, Irina, 2018. "Term Structure of Risk in Expected Returns," CEPR Discussion Papers 13414, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Lou, Jun & Wong, Tat Wing & Fung, Ka Wai Terence & Shaende, Jonas J. Nazimoff, 2021. "Stock and bond joint pricing, consumption surplus, and inflation news," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
- Kroencke, Tim A., 2022. "Recessions and the stock market," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 61-77.
- Held, Matthias & Kapraun, Julia & Omachel, Marcel & Thimme, Julian, 2020. "Up- and downside variance risk premia in global equity markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).