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Non-parametric determination of real-time lag structure between two time series: the 'optimal thermal causal path' method
Citations
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Cited by:
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Guo-Hua Mu & Si-Wei Chen & Didier Sornette, "undated".
"Strategies used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts,"
Working Papers
ETH-RC-11-005, ETH Zurich, Chair of Systems Design.
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Guo-Hua Mu & Wei Chen & Didier Sornette, 2011. "Strategies used as spectroscopy of financial markets reveal new stylized facts," Papers 1104.3616, arXiv.org.
- Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2007.
"Lead-lag cross-sectional structure and detection of correlated–anticorrelated regime shifts: Application to the volatilities of inflation and economic growth rates,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 380(C), pages 287-296.
- Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2006. "Lead-lag cross-sectional structure and detection of correlated-anticorrelated regime shifts: Application to the volatilities of inflation and economic growth rates," Papers physics/0607197, arXiv.org.
- Yao, Can-Zhong & Lin, Ji-Nan & Lin, Qing-Wen & Zheng, Xu-Zhou & Liu, Xiao-Feng, 2016. "A study of causality structure and dynamics in industrial electricity consumption based on Granger network," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 297-320.
- Yang, Yan-Hong & Shao, Ying-Hui, 2020. "Time-dependent lead-lag relationships between the VIX and VIX futures markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
- Liu, Wenwen & Gui, Yiming & Qiao, Gaoxiu, 2022. "Dynamics lead-lag relationship of jumps among Chinese stock index and futures market during the Covid-19 epidemic," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
- Kun Guo & Wei-Xing Zhou & Si-Wei Cheng & Didier Sornette, 2011.
"The US Stock Market Leads the Federal Funds Rate and Treasury Bond Yields,"
PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 6(8), pages 1-9, August.
- Kun GUO & Wei-Xing ZHOU & Si-Wei CHENG & Didier SORNETTE, 2011. "The US stock market leads the Federal funds rate and Treasury bond yields," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 11-05, Swiss Finance Institute.
- Kun Guo & Wei-Xing Zhou & Si-Wei Cheng & Didier Sornette, 2011. "The US stock market leads the Federal funds rate and Treasury bond yields," Papers 1102.2138, arXiv.org.
- Hao Meng & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2017.
"Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies,"
Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(6), pages 959-977, June.
- Hao MENG & Wei-Xing ZHOU & Didier SORNETTE, 2014. "Symmetric Thermal Optimal Path and Time-Dependent Lead-Lag Relationship: Novel Statistical Tests and Application to UK and US Real-Estate and Monetary Policies," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 14-57, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Nov 2014.
- Hao Meng & Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2014. "Symmetric thermal optimal path and time-dependent lead-lag relationship: Novel statistical tests and application to UK and US real-estate and monetary policies," Papers 1408.5618, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2018.
- Lai, Lin & Guo, Kun, 2017. "The performance of one belt and one road exchange rate: Based on improved singular spectrum analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 483(C), pages 299-308.
- Zhang, Yongjie & Zhang, Zuochao & Liu, Lanbiao & Shen, Dehua, 2017. "The interaction of financial news between mass media and new media: Evidence from news on Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 535-541.
- Xu, Hai-Chuan & Zhou, Wei-Xing & Sornette, Didier, 2017.
"Time-dependent lead-lag relationship between the onshore and offshore Renminbi exchange rates,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 173-183.
- Hai-Chuan Xu & Wei-Xing Zhou & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Time-dependent lead-lag relationship between the onshore and offshore Renminbi exchange rates," Papers 1803.09432, arXiv.org.
- Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Shao, Hao-Lin & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2019. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between the crude oil spot and futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 723-733.
- Shao, Ying-Hui & Yang, Yan-Hong & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022.
"How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method,"
Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 604(C).
- Ying-Hui Shao & Yan-Hong Yang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2021. "How does economic policy uncertainty comove with stock markets: New evidence from symmetric thermal optimal path method," Papers 2106.04421, arXiv.org, revised May 2022.
- Peng Yue & Yaodong Fan & Jonathan A. Batten & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2020. "Information transfer between stock market sectors: A comparison between the USA and China," Papers 2004.07612, arXiv.org.
- Yuan, Xianghui & Jin, Liwei & Lian, Feng, 2021. "The lead–lag relationship between Chinese mainland and Hong Kong stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 574(C).
- Yousra Trichilli & Mouna Abdelhédi & Mouna Boujelbène Abbes, 2020. "The thermal optimal path model: Does Google search queries help to predict dynamic relationship between investor’s sentiment and indexes returns?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(3), pages 261-279, May.
- Jia, Rui-Lin & Wang, Dong-Hua & Tu, Jing-Qing & Li, Sai-Ping, 2016. "Correlation between agricultural markets in dynamic perspective—Evidence from China and the US futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 464(C), pages 83-92.
- Paul Gaskell & Frank McGroarty & Thanassis Tiropanis, 2014. "Signal Diffusion Mapping: Optimal Forecasting with Time Varying Lags," Papers 1409.6443, arXiv.org.
- Stübinger, Johannes, 2018. "Statistical arbitrage with optimal causal paths on high-frequencydata of the S&P 500," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 01/2018, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
- Zhicheng Liang & Junwei Wang & Kin Keung Lai, 2020. "Dependence Structure Analysis and VaR Estimation Based on China’s and International Gold Price: A Copula Approach," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(01), pages 169-193, February.
- Gao, Yang & Zhao, Kun & Wang, Chao & Liu, Chao, 2020. "The dynamic relationship between internet attention and stock market liquidity: A thermal optimal path method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).
- Fei Ren & Mei-Ling Cai & Sai-Ping Li & Xiong Xiong & Zhang-HangJian Chen, 2023. "A Multi-market Comparison of the Intraday Lead–Lag Relations Among Stock Index-Based Spot, Futures and Options," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(1), pages 1-28, June.
- Guo, Kun & Sun, Yi & Qian, Xin, 2017. "Can investor sentiment be used to predict the stock price? Dynamic analysis based on China stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 390-396.
- Wang, Xuan & Guo, Kun & Lu, Xiaolin, 2016. "The long-run dynamic relationship between exchange rate and its attention index: Based on DCCA and TOP method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 108-115.
- Chen, Zhang-HangJian & Ren, Fei & Yang, Ming-Yuan & Lu, Feng-Zhi & Li, Sai-Ping, 2023. "Dynamic lead–lag relationship between Chinese carbon emission trading and stock markets under exogenous shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 295-305.
- Liwei Jin & Xianghui Yuan & Jun Long & Xiang Li & Feng Lian, 2022. "Price discovery in the CSI 300 Index derivatives markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1352-1368, July.
- Yan-Hong Yang & Ying-Hui Shao, 2019. "Time-dependent lead-lag relationships between the VIX and VIX futures markets," Papers 1910.13729, arXiv.org.
- Yao, Can-Zhong & Li, Hong-Yu, 2020. "Time-varying lead–lag structure between investor sentiment and stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
- Jiang, Tao & Bao, Si & Li, Long, 2019. "The linear and nonlinear lead–lag relationship among three SSE 50 Index markets: The index futures, 50ETF spot and options markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 878-893.
- Stefanos Bennett & Mihai Cucuringu & Gesine Reinert, 2022. "Lead-lag detection and network clustering for multivariate time series with an application to the US equity market," Papers 2201.08283, arXiv.org.
- Ren, Fei & Ji, Shen-Dan & Cai, Mei-Ling & Li, Sai-Ping & Jiang, Xiong-Fei, 2019. "Dynamic lead–lag relationship between stock indices and their derivatives: A comparative study between Chinese mainland, Hong Kong and US stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 709-723.
- Gong, Chen-Chen & Ji, Shen-Dan & Su, Li-Ling & Li, Sai-Ping & Ren, Fei, 2016. "The lead–lag relationship between stock index and stock index futures: A thermal optimal path method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 444(C), pages 63-72.