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Has ECB communication been helpful in predicting interest rate decisions? An evaluation of the early years of the Economic and Monetary Union
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Cited by:
- Paul Hubert, 2015.
"ECB Projections as a Tool for Understanding Policy Decisions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 574-587, November.
- Paul Hubert, 2013. "ECB projections as a tool for understanding policy decisions," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "ECB Projections as a tool for understanding policy decisions," Post-Print hal-03399287, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "ECB Projections as a tool for understanding policy decisions," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03399287, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2019.
"Central bank tone and the dispersion of views within monetary policy committees,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03403256, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2019. "Central bank tone and the dispersion of views within monetary policy committees," Working Papers hal-03403256, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2019. "Central bank tone and the dispersion of views within monetary policy committees," Working Papers 2019-08, CRESE.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "Central Bank Tone and the Dispersion of Views within Monetary Policy Committees," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03403074, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "Central Bank Tone and the Dispersion of Views within Monetary Policy Committees," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2020-02, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2020. "Central Bank Tone and the Dispersion of Views within Monetary Policy Committees," Working Papers hal-03403074, HAL.
- Jakob de Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2009. "The communication policy of the European Central Bank: An overview of the first decade," DNB Working Papers 212, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016.
"Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03459227, HAL.
- Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2017. "Central bank sentiment and policy expectations," Bank of England working papers 648, Bank of England.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "Central Bank sentiment and policy expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-29, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations," Working Papers hal-01374710, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations," Working Papers 2016-07, CRESE.
- Fabien Labondance & Paul Hubert, 2017. "Central Bank sentiment and policy expectations," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03457514, HAL.
- Fabien Labondance & Paul Hubert, 2017. "Central Bank sentiment and policy expectations," Working Papers hal-03457514, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations," Working Papers hal-03459227, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016.
"The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on Policy Expectations,"
Working Papers
hal-01394821, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on Policy Expectations," Working Papers 2016-12, CRESE.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "The effect of ECB forward guidance on policy expectations," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03459188, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "The effect of ECB forward guidance on policy expectations," Working Papers hal-03459188, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "The effect of ECB forward guidance on policy expectations," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-30, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2014.
"Disentangling qualitative and quantitative central bank influence,"
Working Papers
hal-01098464, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2014. "Disentangling qualitative and quantitative central bank influence," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01098464, HAL.
- Paul Hubert, 2014. "Disentangling qualitative and quantitative central bank influence," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2014-23, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Picault, Matthieu & Renault, Thomas, 2017.
"Words are not all created equal: A new measure of ECB communication,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 136-156.
- Matthieu Picault & Thomas Renault, 2017. "Words are not all created equal: A new measure of ECB communication," Post-Print hal-03535202, HAL.
- Matthieu Picault & Thomas Renault, 2017. "Words are not all created equal: A new measure of ECB communication," Post-Print hal-03205121, HAL.
- Matthieu Picault & Thomas Renault, 2017. "Words are not all created equal: A new measure of ECB communication," Post-Print hal-03676646, HAL.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2011.
"Canadian Interest Rate Setting: The Information Content of Canadian and U.S. Central Bank Communication,"
Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 78(1), pages 131-148, July.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2009. "Canadian Interest Rate Setting: The Information Content of Canadian and U.S. Central Bank Communication," MAGKS Papers on Economics 200935, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Pongsak Luangaram & Yuthana Sethapramote, 2016. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Thailand," PIER Discussion Papers 20., Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research, revised Feb 2016.
- Jonne Lehtimäki & Marianne Palmu, 2022. "Who Should You Listen to in a Crisis? Differences in Communication of Central Bank Policymakers," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 11(3), pages 33-57.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7mota32nad8aopst8f7d5aebpo is not listed on IDEAS
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018.
"The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on the Term Structure of Interest Rates,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(5), pages 193-222, December.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Post-Print hal-03457846, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Post-Print hal-04329735, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2018. "The Effect of ECB Forward Guidance on the Term Structure of Interest Rates," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03457846, HAL.
- Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2015.
"Central bank communication in the financial crisis: Evidence from a survey of financial market participants,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 166-181.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2014. "Central Bank Communication in the Financial Crisis: Evidence from a Survey of Financial Market Participants," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201404, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2014. "Central Bank Communication in the Financial Crisis: Evidence from a Survey of Financial Market Participants," Research Papers in Economics 2014-01, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Sandra Schmidt & Dieter Nautz, 2012.
"Central Bank Communication and the Perception of Monetary Policy by Financial Market Experts,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(2‐3), pages 323-340, March.
- Sandra Schmidt & Dieter Nautz, 2012. "Central Bank Communication and the Perception of Monetary Policy by Financial Market Experts," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44, pages 323-340, March.
- Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010. "Central bank communication and the perception of monetary policy by financial market experts," Discussion Papers 2010/29, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
- Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010.
"Why do financial market experts misperceive future monetary policy decisions?,"
ZEW Discussion Papers
10-045, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Schmidt, Sandra & Nautz, Dieter, 2010. "Why do financial market experts misperceive future monetary policy decisions?," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2010-036, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Carlo Rosa, 2009.
"Forecasting the Direction of Policy Rate Changes: The Importance of ECB Words,"
Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 38(1‐2), pages 39-66, February.
- ROSA, Carlo, 2009. "Forecasting the direction of policy rate changes : the importance of ECB words," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2009001, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/64veevce0i99oav223j3pkv1hf is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/64veevce0i99oav223j3pkv1hf is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/61ma1iq1299m89uud61kkjcjot is not listed on IDEAS
- Aleksandra Halka, 2016. "How the central bank’s reaction function in small open economies evolved during the crisis," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 47(4), pages 301-318.
- Guillermo Peña, 2020. "Monetary Policy after the Great Moderation," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(3), pages 5-26.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2t6uivimtr9438i2qqu6kgfded is not listed on IDEAS
- Domenico Lombardi & Pierre L. Siklos & Samantha St. Amand, 2019.
"Government Bond Yields At The Effective Lower Bound: International Evidence,"
Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 37(1), pages 102-120, January.
- Domenico Lombardi, Pierre Siklos, Samantha St.Amand, 2017. "Government Bond Yields at the Effective Lower Bound: International Evidence," LCERPA Working Papers 0099, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised 01 Apr 2017.
- Domenico Lombardi & Pierre L. Siklos & Samantha St. Amand, 2017. "Government bond yields at the effective lower bound: International evidence," CAMA Working Papers 2017-32, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Paul Hubert & Fabien Labondance, 2016. "Central Bank Sentiment and Policy Expectations," Working Papers hal-03471878, HAL.
- repec:fce:doctra:13-04 is not listed on IDEAS
- Paul Hubert, 2015.
"ECB Projections as a Tool for Understanding Policy Decisions,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(7), pages 574-587, November.
- Paul Hubert, 2013. "ECB projections as a tool for understanding policy decisions," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2013-04, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Paul Hubert, 2015. "The effect of interest rate and communication shocks on private inflation expectations," Working papers wpaper122, Financialisation, Economy, Society & Sustainable Development (FESSUD) Project.
- M.H. Middeldorp, 2011.
"FOMC Communication Policy and the Accuracy of Fed Funds Futures,"
Working Papers
11-13, Utrecht School of Economics.
- Menno Middeldorp, 2011. "FOMC communication policy and the accuracy of Fed Funds futures," Staff Reports 491, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2018.
"Central Banks' Predictability: An Assessment by Financial Market Participants,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(4), pages 163-185, September.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2016. "Central Banks' Predictability: An Assessment by Financial Market Participants," Research Papers in Economics 2016-02, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2016. "Central Banks’ Predictability: An Assessment by Financial Market Participants," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201619, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Hubert, Paul & Labondance, Fabien, 2021. "The signaling effects of central bank tone," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Mikael Apel & Marianna Blix Grimaldi & Isaiah Hull, 2022.
"How Much Information Do Monetary Policy Committees Disclose? Evidence from the FOMC's Minutes and Transcripts,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(5), pages 1459-1490, August.
- Apel, Mikael & Blix Grimaldi, Marianna & Hull, Isaiah, 2019. "How Much Information Do Monetary Policy Committees Disclose? Evidence from the FOMC's Minutes and Transcripts," Working Paper Series 381, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Pongsak Luangaram & Yuthana Sethapramote, 2016. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Effectiveness: Evidence from Thailand," PIER Discussion Papers 20, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Jung, Alexander, 2016. "Have monetary data releases helped markets to predict the interest rate decisions of the European Central Bank?," Working Paper Series 1926, European Central Bank.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/4evh7bju58uep3gd1frcn5nr9 is not listed on IDEAS
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert, 2018.
"Central bank communication during normal and crisis time,"
Working Papers
hal-03404315, HAL.
- Christophe Blot & Paul Hubert, 2018. "Central bank communication during normal and crisis time," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03404315, HAL.
- Alexander Jung, 2018. "Have money and credit data releases helped markets to predict the interest rate decisions of the European Central Bank?," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 65(1), pages 39-67, February.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7mota32nad8aopst8f7d5aebpo is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7v8fvu0bf08jcoi4epn8cutjm8 is not listed on IDEAS
- Bernd Hayo & Florian Neumeier & Matthias Uhl, 2014. "Topics in Fiscal Policy: Evidence from a Representative Survey of the German Population," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201412, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Hamza Bennani & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017.
"The (home) bias of European central bankers: new evidence based on speeches,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(11), pages 1114-1131, March.
- Hamza Bennani & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2014. "The (Home) Bias of European Central Bankers: New Evidence Based on Speeches," Research Papers in Economics 2014-16, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Hamza Bennani & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2017. "The (Home) Bias of European Central Bankers: New Evidence Based on Speeches," Post-Print hal-01589264, HAL.
- Hamza Bennani & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2016. "The (Home) Bias of European Central Bankers: New Evidence Based on Speeches ," Post-Print hal-04206062, HAL.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2g6qj1trtu8q2r79ee4jp49krd is not listed on IDEAS
- Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2015.
"Self-monitoring or reliance on media reporting: How do financial market participants process central bank news?,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 27-37.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2014. "Self Monitoring or Reliance on Media Reporting: How Do Financial Market Participants Process Central Bank News?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201423, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2014. "Self-Monitoring or Reliance on Media Reporting: How Do Financial Market Participants Process Central Bank News?," Research Papers in Economics 2014-07, University of Trier, Department of Economics.
- Bennani, Hamza & Fanta, Nicolas & Gertler, Pavel & Horvath, Roman, 2020.
"Does central bank communication signal future monetary policy in a (post)-crisis era? The case of the ECB,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
- Hamza Bennani & Nicolas Fanta & Pavel Gertler & Roman Horvath, 2020. "Does Central Bank Communication Signal Future Monetary Policy in a (post)-Crisis Era? The Case of the ECB," Post-Print hal-02486315, HAL.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/52p48pif5099i9i8uilpqhgnt4 is not listed on IDEAS
- Aleš Bulíř & Martin Čihák & Kateřina Šmídková, 2013.
"Writing Clearly: The ECB 's Monetary Policy Communication,"
German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 14(1), pages 50-72, February.
- Bulíř Aleš & Čihák Martin & Šmídkova Kateřina Š, 2013. "Writing Clearly: The ECB’s Monetary Policy Communication," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 14(1), pages 50-72, February.
- Mr. Martin Cihak & Ms. Katerina Smídková & Mr. Aleš Bulíř, 2008. "Writing Clearly: ECB’s Monetary Policy Communication," IMF Working Papers 2008/252, International Monetary Fund.
- Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2010.
"Do Federal Reserve communications help predict federal funds target rate decisions?,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(4), pages 1014-1024, December.
- Bernd Hayo & Matthias Neuenkirch, 2009. "Do Federal Reserve Communications Help Predict Federal Funds Target Rate Decisions?," MAGKS Papers on Economics 200925, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Luis Alberto Delgado-de-la-Garza & Gonzalo Adolfo Garza-RodrÃguez & Daniel Alejandro Jacques-Osuna & Alejandro Múgica-Lara & Carlos Alberto Carrasco, 2021. "Does the use of a big data variable improve monetary policy estimates? Evidence from Mexico," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 10(4), pages 383-393.
- Ales Bulir & Martin Cihak & David-Jan Jansen, 2018. "Does the Clarity of Monetary Policy Reports Reduce Volatility in Financial Markets?," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 68(1), pages 2-17, February.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/3mgbd73vkp9f9oje7utooe7vpg is not listed on IDEAS
- Paweł Baranowski & Hamza Bennani & Wirginia Doryń, 2020. "Do ECB introductory statements help to predict monetary policy: evidence from tone analysis," NBP Working Papers 323, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- Alexander Jung & Patrick Kuehl, 2021.
"Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations?,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(3), pages 298-321, July.
- Jung, Alexander & Kühl, Patrick, 2021. "Can central bank communication help to stabilise inflation expectations?," Working Paper Series 2547, European Central Bank.
- M. Middeldorp, 2011.
"Central Bank Transparency, the Accuracy of Professional Forecasts, and Interest Rate Volatility,"
Working Papers
11-12, Utrecht School of Economics.
- Menno Middeldorp, 2011. "Central bank transparency, the accuracy of professional forecasts, and interest rate volatility," Staff Reports 496, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/7v8fvu0bf08jcoi4epn8cutjm8 is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2g6qj1trtu8q2r79ee4jp49krd is not listed on IDEAS
- Fender, Ingo & Hayo, Bernd & Neuenkirch, Matthias, 2012. "Daily pricing of emerging market sovereign CDS before and during the global financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2786-2794.
- Aleksandra Halka, 2015. "Lessons from the crisis.Did central banks do their homework?," NBP Working Papers 224, Narodowy Bank Polski.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2t6uivimtr9438i2qqu6kgfded is not listed on IDEAS
- Jonne O. Lehtimäki & Marianne Palmu, 2019. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Predictability under Uncertain Economic Conditions," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 8(2), pages 5-32.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/3mgbd73vkp9f9oje7utooe7vpg is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/61ma1iq1299m89uud61kkjcjot is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4evh7bju58uep3gd1frcn5nr9 is not listed on IDEAS
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/52p48pif5099i9i8uilpqhgnt4 is not listed on IDEAS
- Jef Boeckx, 2011. "Estimating monetary policy reaction functions : A discrete choice approach," Working Paper Research 210, National Bank of Belgium.