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Monetary Policy after the Great Moderation

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  • Guillermo Peña

    (Department of Public Economics, University of Zaragoza, Spain)

Abstract

The interferences among some financial, economic and monetary variables are checked as an indicator of economic performance in the long run and for the monetary policy applied between the Great Moderation (GM) of 1987-2001 and the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-2009. For achieving this target, some Granger causality tests are applied to GDP growth, credit growth, and lending interest of 36 countries of the EU and the OECD for the full sample of 1987-2012 and the sub-sample of 2002-2007. Results corroborate the interferences among these variables for the discretionary monetary policy applied immediately after the GM, within the “Ad Hoc Era” or “lax period”, and independence when monetary policy was correctly applied and rules-based.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillermo Peña, 2020. "Monetary Policy after the Great Moderation," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 9(3), pages 5-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:cbk:journl:v:9:y:2020:i:3:p:5-26
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Guillermo Peña, 2021. "The key role of quoted spreads in financial services and transactions," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 208-216.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Economic growth; Financial crises; Great Moderation; Central Banking;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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