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Predictability in Financial Markets: What Do Survey Expectations Tell Us?
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Cited by:
- Stillwagon, Josh R., 2015.
"Testing the expectations hypothesis with survey forecasts: The impacts of consumer sentiment and the zero lower bound in an I(2) CVAR,"
Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 85-101.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2014. "Testing the Expectations Hypothesis with Survey Forecasts: The Impacts of Consumer Sentiment and the Zero Lower Bound in an I(2) CVAR," Working Papers 1401, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Michael Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2024.
"Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 173-217, February.
- Bauer, Michael & Chernov, Mikhail, 2021. "Interest rate skewness and biased beliefs," IMFS Working Paper Series 163, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Chernov, Mikhail & Bauer, Michael, 2021. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," CEPR Discussion Papers 16274, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Michael D. Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2021. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," CESifo Working Paper Series 9150, CESifo.
- Michael D. Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2021. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 28954, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018.
"Imperfect Information in Macroeconomics,"
Revue de l'OFCE, Presses de Sciences-Po, vol. 0(3), pages 181-196.
- Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03458122, HAL.
- Paul Hubert & Giovanni Ricco, 2018. "Imperfect information in macroeconomics," Post-Print hal-03458122, HAL.
- Ćorić, Bruno & Pugh, Geoff, 2013. "Foreign direct investment and output growth volatility: A worldwide analysis," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 260-271.
- Markiewicz, Agnieszka & Pick, Andreas, 2014.
"Adaptive learning and survey data,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 685-707.
- Agnieszka Markiewicz & Andreas Pick, 2013. "Adaptive Learning and Survey Data," CDMA Working Paper Series 201305, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Agnieszka Markiewicz & Andreas Pick, 2014. "Adaptive learning and survey data," DNB Working Papers 411, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/7rrg4irjh79549mkjh27en0pos is not listed on IDEAS
- Lansing, Kevin J. & LeRoy, Stephen F. & Ma, Jun, 2022.
"Examining the sources of excess return predictability: Stochastic volatility or market inefficiency?,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 197(C), pages 50-72.
- Kevin J. Lansing & Stephen F. LeRoy & Jun Ma, 2022. "Examining the Sources of Excess Return Predictability: Stochastic Volatility or Market Inefficiency?," Working Paper Series 2018-14, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017. "Exchange rate expectations and economic policy uncertainty," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 148-162.
- Craig Burnside & Bing Han & David Hirshleifer & Tracy Yue Wang, 2011.
"Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Premium Puzzle,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 78(2), pages 523-558.
- Craig Burnside & Bing Han & David Hirshleifer & Tracy Yue Wang, 2010. "Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Premium Puzzle," NBER Working Papers 15866, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- A. Craig Burnside & Bing Han & David A. Hirshleifer & Tracy Yue Wang, 2010. "Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Premium Puzzle," Working Papers 10-46, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Yu-chin Chen & Kwok Ping Tsang & Wen Jen Tsay, 2010. "Home Bias in Currency Forecasts," Working Papers 272010, Hong Kong Institute for Monetary Research.
- Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel & Stephen Utkus, 2021.
"Five Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 111(5), pages 1481-1522, May.
- Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel & Stephen Utkus, 2019. "Five facts about beliefs and portfolios," CESifo Working Paper Series 7666, CESifo.
- Stefano Giglio & Matteo Maggiori & Johannes Stroebel & Stephen Utkus, 2019. "Five Facts about Beliefs and Portfolios," NBER Working Papers 25744, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Maggiori, Matteo & Ströbel, Johannes & Giglio, Stefano & Utkus, Stephen P., 2019. "Five Facts About Beliefs and Portfolios," CEPR Discussion Papers 13657, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2013.
"Macro-expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 58-80.
- Christian D. Dick & Maik Schmeling & Andreas Schrimpf, 2010. "Macro Expectations, Aggregate Uncertainty, and Expected Term Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2010-49, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
- Dick, Christian D. & Schmeling, Maik & Schrimpf, Andreas, 2010. "Macro expectations, aggregate uncertainty, and expected term premia," ZEW Discussion Papers 10-064, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
- Vitale, Paolo & Rime, Dagfinn & Breedon, Francis, 2010.
"A Transaction Data Study of the Forward Bias Puzzle,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
7791, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vital, 2010. "A Transaction Data Study of the Forward Bias Puzzle," Working Paper 2010/26, Norges Bank.
- Sarita Bunsupha, 2018. "Extrapolative Beliefs and Exchange Rate Markets," PIER Discussion Papers 84, Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research.
- Xue-Zhong He & Kai Li & Chuncheng Wang, 2018. "Time-Varying Economic Dominance Through Bistable Dynamics," Research Paper Series 390, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
- Cakici, Nusret & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Recency bias and the cross-section of international stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
- Winkler, Fabian, 2020.
"The role of learning for asset prices and business cycles,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 42-58.
- Fabian Winkler, 2016. "The Role of Learning for Asset Prices and Business Cycles," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2016-019, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2016.
"Expectations and Investment,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 30(1), pages 379-431.
- Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2015. "Expectations and Investment," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Volume 30, pages 379-431, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2015. "Expectations and Investment," NBER Working Papers 21260, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2016. "Expectations and investment," BIS Working Papers 562, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gennaioli, Nicola & Ma, Yueran & Shleifer, Andrei, 2015. "Expectations and Investment," Scholarly Articles 32193497, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Nicola Gennaioli & Yueran Ma & Andrei Shleifer, 2016. "Expectations and Investment," Working Paper 250941, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Sorge Marco M., 2020.
"Computing sunspot solutions to rational expectations models with timing restrictions,"
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 1-10, June.
- Sorge Marco M., 2020. "Computing sunspot solutions to rational expectations models with timing restrictions," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(2), pages 1-10, June.
- Marco M. Sorge, 2018. "Computing Sunspot Solutions to Rational Expectations Models with Timing Restrictions," CSEF Working Papers 514, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
- Yang-Ho Park, 2019. "Information in Yield Spread Trades," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-025, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Nakazono, Yoshiyuki & Koga, Maiko & Sugo, Tomohiro, 2020.
"Private information and analyst coverage: Evidence from firm survey data,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 284-298.
- Yoshiyuki Nakazono & Maiko Koga & Tomohiro Sugo, 2018. "Private Information and Analyst Coverage: Evidence from Firm Survey Data," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-17, Bank of Japan.
- Kellard, Neil & Sarantis, Nicholas, 2008. "Can exchange rate volatility explain persistence in the forward premium?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 714-728, September.
- Giuseppe Ferrero & Andrea Nobili, 2008. "Short-term interest rate futures as monetary policy forecasts," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 681, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Sandro C. Andrade & Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2010.
"Pessimistic Foreign Investors and Turmoil in Emerging Markets: the case of Brazil in 2002,"
Working Papers Series
211, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
- Andrade, Sandro C. & Kohlscheen, Emanuel, 2010. "Pessimistic Foreign Investors and Turmoil in Emerging Markets : The Case of Brazil in 2002," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 926, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Andrade, Sandro C. & Kohlscheen, Emanuel, 2010. "Pessimistic Foreign Investors and Turmoil in Emerging Markets: The Case of Brazil in 2002," Economic Research Papers 271181, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Silvija Vlah Jerić & Mihovil Anđelinović, 2019. "Evaluating Croatian stock index forecasts," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1325-1339, April.
- Philippe Bacchetta & Eric van Wincoop, 2010. "Infrequent Portfolio Decisions: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(3), pages 870-904, June.
- Gonzalo Cortazar & Cristobal Millard & Hector Ortega & Eduardo S. Schwartz, 2016. "Commodity Price Forecasts, Futures Prices and Pricing Models," NBER Working Papers 22991, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Bouaddi, Mohammed & Moutanabbir, Khouzeima, 2023. "Rational distorted beliefs investor; which risk matters?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
- Alfred V Guender, 2015. "International Evidence on the Role of Monetary Policy in the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," Working Papers in Economics 15/15, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
- Camous, Antoine & Van der Ghote, Alejandro, 2022. "Financial cycles under diagnostic beliefs," Working Paper Series 2659, European Central Bank.
- Beber, Alessandro & Breedon, Francis & Buraschi, Andrea, 2010. "Differences in beliefs and currency risk premiums," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(3), pages 415-438, December.
- Dick Dijk & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel Wel & Jonathan H. Wright, 2014.
"Forecasting interest rates with shifting endpoints,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 693-712, August.
- Dick van Dijk & Siem Jan Koopman & Michel van der Wel & Jonathan H. Wright, 2012. "Forecasting Interest Rates with Shifting Endpoints," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 12-076/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Barberis, Nicholas & Greenwood, Robin & Jin, Lawrence & Shleifer, Andrei, 2015.
"X-CAPM: An extrapolative capital asset pricing model,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(1), pages 1-24.
- Nicholas Barberis & Robin Greenwood & Lawrence Jin & Andrei Shleifer, "undated". "X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model," Working Paper 86521, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Nicholas Barberis & Robin Greenwood & Lawrence Jin & Andrei Shleifer, 2013. "X-CAPM: An Extrapolative Capital Asset Pricing Model," NBER Working Papers 19189, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2023.
"Dynamics of subjective risk premia,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(2).
- Nagel, Stefan & Xu, Zhengyang, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CEPR Discussion Papers 17064, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," NBER Working Papers 29803, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stefan Nagel & Zhengyang Xu, 2022. "Dynamics of Subjective Risk Premia," CESifo Working Paper Series 9693, CESifo.
- Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2012.
"Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing,"
NBER Macroeconomics Annual, University of Chicago Press, vol. 26(1), pages 1-48.
- Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2011. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2011, Volume 26, pages 1-48, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andreas Fuster & Benjamin Hebert & David Laibson, 2011. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," NBER Working Papers 17301, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Fuster, Andreas & Herbert, Benjamin & Laibson, David I., 2011. "Natural Expectations, Macroeconomic Dynamics, and Asset Pricing," Scholarly Articles 10140029, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Li, Kai, 2021. "Nonlinear effect of sentiment on momentum," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, 2014.
"Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns,"
The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 27(3), pages 714-746.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, "undated". "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," Working Paper 102501, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Greenwood, Robin Marc & Shleifer, Andrei, 2014. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," Scholarly Articles 11880390, Harvard University Department of Economics.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer, 2013. "Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns," NBER Working Papers 18686, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2010.
"Booms and Busts in Asset Prices,"
IMES Discussion Paper Series
10-E-02, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet, 2011. "Booms and Busts in Asset Prices," CEP Discussion Papers dp1059, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Adam, Klaus & Marcet, Albert, 2011. "Booms and busts in asset prices," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121706, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2021.
"Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk adjustments?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 723-740.
- Klaus Adam & Dmitry Matveev & Stefan Nagel, 2018. "Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?," NBER Working Papers 25122, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Klaus Adam & Dmitry Matveev & Stefan Nagel, 2019. "Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?," 2019 Meeting Papers 641, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Adam, Klaus & Matveev, Dmitry & Nagel, Stefan, 2018. "Do survey expectations of stock returns reflect risk-adjustments?," CFS Working Paper Series 600, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
- Adam, Klaus & Nagel, Stefan & Matveev, Dmitry, 2018. "Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?," CEPR Discussion Papers 13213, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Klaus Adam & Dmitry Matveev & Stefan Nagel, 2018. "Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk-Adjustments?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7285, CESifo.
- Klaus Adam & Dmitry Matveev & Stefan Nagel, 2019. "Do Survey Expectations of Stock Returns Reflect Risk Adjustments?," Staff Working Papers 19-11, Bank of Canada.
- Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Ronald MacDonald & Lukas Menkhoff & Rafael R. Rebitzky, 2009.
"Exchange Rate Forecasters' Performance: Evidence of Skill?,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
2615, CESifo.
- Ronald MacDonald & Lukas Menkhoff & Rafael R. Rebitzky, 2009. "Exchange rate forecasters’ performance: evidence of skill?," Working Papers 2009_13, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2017.
"The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PB), pages 296-316.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert, 2016. "The impact of uncertainty on professional exchange rate forecasts," Ruhr Economic Papers 637, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2012.
"What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us about Information Rigidities?,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 120(1), pages 116-159.
- Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2008. "What Can Survey Forecasts Tell Us About Informational Rigidities?," NBER Working Papers 14586, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Yuriy Gorodnichenko & Olivier Coibion, 2010. "What can survey forecasts tell us about informational rigidities?," 2010 Meeting Papers 277, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Jin, Lawrence J. & Sui, Pengfei, 2022. "Asset pricing with return extrapolation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 273-295.
- Joscha Beckmann & Robert L. Czudaj, 2023.
"The role of expectations for currency crisis dynamics—The case of the Turkish lira,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 625-642, April.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2022. "The role of expectations for currency crisis dynamics - the case of the Turkish lira," MPRA Paper 114963, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Beckmann, Joscha & Czudaj, Robert L., 2023. "The role of expectations for currency crisis dynamics - The case of the Turkish lira," Open Access Publications from Kiel Institute for the World Economy 279397, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Johannes Beutel, 2017.
"Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(8), pages 2352-2408, August.
- Klaus Adam & Johannes Beutel & Albert Marcet, 2014. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," UFAE and IAE Working Papers 948.14, Unitat de Fonaments de l'Anàlisi Econòmica (UAB) and Institut d'Anàlisi Econòmica (CSIC).
- Klaus Adam & Albert Marcet & Johannes Beutel, 2015. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," Working Papers 757, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Marcet, Albert & Adam, Klaus & Beutel, Johannes, 2014. "Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains," CEPR Discussion Papers 9988, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Adam, Klaus & Beutel, Johannes & Marcet, Albert, 2014. "Stock price booms and expected capital gains," Working Papers 14-12, University of Mannheim, Department of Economics.
- Chen, Qianying, 2011. "Exchange rate dynamics, expectations, and monetary policy," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2011,18, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vitale, 2016.
"Carry Trades, Order Flow, and the Forward Bias Puzzle,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 48(6), pages 1113-1134, September.
- Francis Breedon & Dagfinn Rime & Paolo Vitale, 2015. "Carry Trades, Order Flow and the Forward Bias Puzzle," Working Papers 761, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Han, Bing & Hirshleifer, David & Wang, Tracy Yue, 2005.
"Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Discount Puzzle,"
Working Paper Series
2005-21, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
- Tracy Yue Wang & David Hirshleifer & Bing Han, 2010. "Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Discount Puzzle," 2010 Meeting Papers 1201, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Han, Bing & Hirshleifer, David & Wang, Tracy, 2005. "Investor Overconfidence and the Forward Discount Puzzle," MPRA Paper 6497, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Dec 2007.
- Refet S. Gürkaynak & Jonathan H. Wright, 2012.
"Macroeconomics and the Term Structure,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 50(2), pages 331-367, June.
- Wright, Jonathan & Gürkaynak, Refet, 2010. "Macroeconomics and the Term Structure," CEPR Discussion Papers 8018, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Karnaukh, Nina & Vokata, Petra, 2022. "Growth forecasts and news about monetary policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(1), pages 55-70.
- Gaus, Eric & Sinha, Arunima, 2017.
"Characterizing investor expectations for assets with varying risk,"
Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(PB), pages 990-999.
- Eric Gaus & Arunima Sinha, 2015. "Characterizing Investor Expectations for Assets with Varying Risk," Working Papers 15-01, Ursinus College, Department of Economics.
- Wagner, Christian, 2012.
"Risk-premia, carry-trade dynamics, and economic value of currency speculation,"
Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 1195-1219.
- Wagner, Christian, 2009. "Risk-Premia, Carry-Trade Dynamics, and Economic Value of Currency Speculation," MPRA Paper 21125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Adam, Klaus & Merkel, Sebastian, 2019.
"Stock price cycles and business cycles,"
Working Paper Series
2316, European Central Bank.
- Adam, Klaus & Merkel, Sebastian, 2019. "Stock Price Cycles and Business Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 13866, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Klaus Adam & Sebastian Merkel, 2019. "Stock Price Cycles and Business Cycles," CRC TR 224 Discussion Paper Series crctr224_2019_105, University of Bonn and University of Mannheim, Germany.
- Xu, Shaojun, 2023. "Behavioral asset pricing under expected feedback mode," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
- Stefanescu, Razvan & Dumitriu, Ramona, 2016. "Particularitǎţi ale evoluţiei variabilelor financiare [Some particularities of the financial variables evolution]," MPRA Paper 73481, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 02 Sep 2016.
- Cavusoglu, Nevin & Goldberg, Michael D. & Stillwagon, Josh, 2021. "Currency returns and downside risk: Debt, volatility, and the gap from benchmark values," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
- He, Xue-Zhong & Li, Youwei & Zheng, Min, 2019. "Heterogeneous agent models in financial markets: A nonlinear dynamics approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 135-149.
- Steve Furnagiev & Josh Stillwagon, 2015. "Subjective Currency Risk Premia and Deviations from Moving Averages," Working Papers 1506, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Frederik Kunze, 2020. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(2), pages 313-333, March.
- Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2024.
"Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(2), pages 375-405, April.
- Roth, Christopher & Mikosch, Heiner & Sarferaz, Samad & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," CEPR Discussion Papers 16765, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," CEBI working paper series 21-20, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).
- Heiner Mikosch & Christopher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart, 2021. "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 129, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
- Heiner Mikosch & Christoher Roth & Samad Sarferaz & Johannes Wohlfart & Christopher Roth, 2021. "Uncertainty and Information Acquisition: Evidence from Firms and Households," CESifo Working Paper Series 9462, CESifo.
- Veress, Aron & Kaiser, Lars, 2017. "Forecasting quality of professionals: Does affiliation matter?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 159-168.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2014.
"Heterogeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in the US stock market,"
Kiel Working Papers
1947, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2015. "Heteroeneous forecasters and nonlinear expectation formation in US stock market," FinMaP-Working Papers 29, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Pierdzioch, Christian & Reitz, Stefan & Ruelke, Jan-Christoph, 2014. "Heterogeneous Forecasters and Nonlinear Expectation Formation in the U.S. Stock Market," FinMaP-Working Papers 11, Collaborative EU Project FinMaP - Financial Distortions and Macroeconomic Performance: Expectations, Constraints and Interaction of Agents.
- Valente, Giorgio, 2009. "International interest rates and US monetary policy announcements: Evidence from Hong Kong and Singapore," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 920-940, October.
- Mark Egan & Alexander MacKay & Hanbin Yang, 2022.
"Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(5), pages 2559-2599.
- Mark L. Egan & Alexander MacKay & Hanbin Yang, 2020. "Recovering Investor Expectations from Demand for Index Funds," NBER Working Papers 26608, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brückbauer, Frank, 2022. "Do financial market experts know their theory? New evidence from survey data," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-092, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, revised 2022.
- Cosmin Ilut, 2012.
"Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(3), pages 33-65, July.
- Cosmin Ilut, 2009. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications For The Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," 2009 Meeting Papers 328, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Cosmin L. Ilut, 2010. "Ambiguity Aversion: Implications for the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle," Working Papers 10-53, Duke University, Department of Economics.
- Francisco Barillas & Kristoffer Nimark, 2012.
"Speculation, risk premia and expectations in the yield curve,"
Economics Working Papers
1337, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Nov 2013.
- Francisco Barillas & Kristoffer Nimark, 2013. "Speculation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve," Working Papers 659, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Nimark, Kristoffer P & Barillas, Francisco, 2013. "Speculation, Risk Premia and Expectations in the Yield Curve," CEPR Discussion Papers 9755, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Josh Stillwagon, 2013. "The Excess Returns Puzzle in Currency Markets: Clues on Moving Forward," Working Papers 1313, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2024.
"Bonds, currencies and expectational errors,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2020. "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Working Paper 2020/3, Norges Bank.
- Granziera, Eleonora & Sihvonen, Markus, 2020. "Bonds, currencies and expectational errors," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 7/2020, Bank of Finland.
- Da, Zhi & Huang, Xing & Jin, Lawrence J., 2021. "Extrapolative beliefs in the cross-section: What can we learn from the crowds?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 175-196.
- Josh R. Stillwagon, 2015. "Exchange Rate Dynamics and Forecast Errors about Persistently Trending Fundamentals," Working Papers 1501, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
- Grisse, Christian & Nitschka, Thomas, 2015.
"On financial risk and the safe haven characteristics of Swiss franc exchange rates,"
Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 153-164.
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