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What Caused the Decline in US Business Cycle Volatility?
In: The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle
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- Beltratti, Andrea & Morana, Claudio, 2010. "International house prices and macroeconomic fluctuations," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 533-545, March.
- Bagliano, Fabio C. & Morana, Claudio, 2009.
"International macroeconomic dynamics: A factor vector autoregressive approach,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 432-444, March.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2006. "International Macroeconomic Dynamics: A Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 32, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2006. "International Macroeconomic Dynamics: a Factor Vector Autoregressive Approach," ICER Working Papers 41-2006, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/2beljp6noq9u6oh9p9agr8ugra is not listed on IDEAS
- Stephen G. Hall & George Hondroyiannis & P. A. V. B. Swamy & G. S. Tavlas, 2009.
"The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and Lagged Inflation: A Case of Spurious Correlation?,"
Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 76(2), pages 467-481, October.
- George Hondroyiannis & P.A.V.B. Swamy & George S. Tavlas, 2007. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and Lagged Inflation: A Case of Spurious Correlation?," Working Papers 57, Bank of Greece.
- Stephen G. Hall & George Hondroyiannis & P.A.V.B. Swamy & George S. Tavlas, 2008. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and Lagged Inflation: A Case of Spurious Correlation?," Discussion Papers in Economics 08/26, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
- Gerald A. Carlino & Robert Defina & Keith Sill, 2013.
"The Long and Large Decline in State Employment Growth Volatility,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2-3), pages 521-534, March.
- Gerald A. Carlino & Robert Defina & Keith Sill, 2013. "The Long and Large Decline in State Employment Growth Volatility," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(2‐3), pages 521-534, March.
- Gerald A. Carlino & Robert H. DeFina & Keith Sill, 2007. "The long and large decline in state employment growth volatility," Working Papers 07-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Gerald A. Carlino & Robert H. DeFina & Keith Sill, 2009. "The long and large decline in state employment growth volatility," Working Papers 09-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Gerald A. Carlino & Robert H. DeFina & Keith Sill, 2011. "The long and large decline in state employment growth volatility," Working Papers 11-16, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/6830 is not listed on IDEAS
- Fabio Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2010.
"Business cycle comovement in the G-7: common shocks or common transmission mechanisms?,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(18), pages 2327-2345.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2007. "Business Cycle Comovement in the G-7: Common Shocks or Common Transmission Mechanisms?," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 40, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
- Ferraresi Tommaso & Roventini Andrea & Semmler Willi, 2019.
"Macroeconomic Regimes, Technological Shocks and Employment Dynamics,"
Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 239(4), pages 599-625, August.
- Tommaso Ferraresi & Andrea Roventini & Willi Semmler, 2016. "Macroeconomic Regimes, Technological Shocks and Employment Dynamics," LEM Papers Series 2016/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
- Tommaso Ferraresi & Andrea Roventini & Willi Semmler, 2016. "Macroeconomic regimes, technological shocks and employment dynamics," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2016-19, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
- Tommaso Ferraresi & Andrea Roventini & Willi Semmler, 2016. "Macroeconomic Regimes, Technological Shocks and Employment Dynamics," Working Papers hal-03469938, HAL.
- Ásgeir Daníelsson, 2008. "The great moderation Icelandic style," Economics wp38, Department of Economics, Central bank of Iceland.
- Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2017.
"Does easing monetary policy increase financial instability?,"
Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 111-125.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2013. "Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?," Research Department Publications 4825, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Mr. Alessandro Rebucci, 2015. "Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?," IMF Working Papers 2015/139, International Monetary Fund.
- Ambrogio Cesa-Bianchi & Alessandro Rebucci, 2016. "Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?," NBER Working Papers 22283, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2015. "Does easing monetary policy increase financial instability?," Bank of England working papers 570, Bank of England.
- Cesa-Bianchi, Ambrogio & Rebucci, Alessandro, 2013. "Does Easing Monetary Policy Increase Financial Instability?," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4213, Inter-American Development Bank.
- Fabio Canova & Luca Gambetti, 2010.
"Do Expectations Matter? The Great Moderation Revisited,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 183-205, July.
- Fabio Canova & Luca Gambetti, 2007. "Do expectations matter? The Great Moderation revisited," Economics Working Papers 1084, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jan 2009.
- Canova, Fabio & Gambetti, Luca, 2009. "Do expectations matter? The Great Moderation revisited," CEPR Discussion Papers 7597, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Ryan A. Decker & Pablo N. D'Erasmo & Hernan Moscoso Boedo, 2016.
"Market Exposure and Endogenous Firm Volatility over the Business Cycle,"
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 8(1), pages 148-198, January.
- Pablo D'Erasmo & Ryan A. Decker & Herman J. Moscoso Boedo, 2014. "Market exposure and endogenous firm volatility over the business cycle," Working Papers 14-12, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro & Vicente Tuesta, 2005.
"Inflation Premium and Oil Price Volatility,"
Working Papers Central Bank of Chile
350, Central Bank of Chile.
- Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro, 2006. "Inflation Premium and Oil Price Volatility," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 18, Society for Computational Economics.
- Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro & Vicente Tuesta, 2005. "Inflation Premium and Oil Price Volatility," Macroeconomics 0512004, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 05 Jan 2006.
- Castillo, Paul & Montoro, Carlos & Tuesta, Vicente, 2007. "Inflation premium and oil price volatility," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 19750, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro & Vicente Tuesta, 2007. "Inflation Premium and Oil Price Volatility," CEP Discussion Papers dp0782, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Hernández-Veleros, Zeus Salvador, 2010. "Heterogeneous growth cycles/Ciclos de crecimiento heterogéneo," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 28, pages 625-650, Diciembre.
- Mandler, Martin, 2010.
"Macroeconomic dynamics and inflation regimes in the U.S. Results from threshold vector autoregressions,"
MPRA Paper
21887, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin Mandler, 2010. "Macroeconomic dynamics and inflation regimes in the U.S. Results from threshold vector autoregressions," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201012, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
- Luca Gambetti & Evi Pappa & Fabio Canova, 2008.
"The Structural Dynamics of U.S. Output and Inflation: What Explains the Changes?,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(2‐3), pages 369-388, March.
- Luca Gambetti & Evi Pappa & Fabio Canova, 2008. "The Structural Dynamics of U.S. Output and Inflation: What Explains the Changes?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(2-3), pages 369-388, March.
- Luca Gambetti & Evi Pappa & Fabio Canova, 2005. "The structural dynamics of US output and inflation: What explains the changes?," Economics Working Papers 921, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Canova, Fabio & Pappa, Evi & Gambetti, Luca, 2006. "The Structural Dynamics of US Output and Inflation: What Explains the Changes?," CEPR Discussion Papers 5879, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Christophe André, 2010. "A Bird's Eye View of OECD Housing Markets," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 746, OECD Publishing.
- Anna Batyra, 2007.
"Are turbulences of Sargent and Ljungqvist consistent with lower aggregate volatility?,"
2007 Meeting Papers
413, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Batyra, Anna, 2013. "Are Turbulences of Sargent and Ljungqvist consistent with lower Aggregate Volatility?," GIAM Working Papers 13-2, Galatasaray University Economic Research Center.
- repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/2beljp6noq9u6oh9p9agr8ugra is not listed on IDEAS
- Claudio Morana, 2008.
"International stock markets comovements: the role of economic and financial integration,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 35(2), pages 333-359, September.
- Claudio Morana, 2006. "International Stock Markets Comovements: the Role of Economic and Financial Integration," ICER Working Papers 25-2006, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- Okrent, Abigail M. & Elitzak, Howard & Park, Timothy & Rehkamp, Sarah, 2018. "Measuring the Value of the U.S. Food System: Revisions to the Food Expenditure Series," Technical Bulletins 277568, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
- Miguel Casares, 2007. "Firm-Specific or Household-Specific Sticky Wages in the New Keynesian Model?," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 3(4), pages 181-240, December.
- Queijo von Heideken, Virginia, 2008. "Monetary Policy Regimes and the Volatility of Long-Term Interest Rates," Working Paper Series 220, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
- Mandler, Martin, 2009. "In search of robust monetary policy rules - Should the Fed look at money growth or stock market performance?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 345-361, June.
- Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
- David Norman & Anthony Richards, 2010. "Modelling Inflation in Australia," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2010-03, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Bagliano, Fabio C. & Morana, Claudio, 2012.
"The Great Recession: US dynamics and spillovers to the world economy,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 1-13.
- Fabio Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2010. "The Great Recession: US dynamics and spillovers to the world economy," CeRP Working Papers 103, Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies, Turin (Italy).
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2010. "The Great Recession: US dynamics and spillovers to the world economy," Working papers 17, Former Department of Economics and Public Finance "G. Prato", University of Torino.
- Fabio C. Bagliano & Claudio Morana, 2010. "The Great Recession: US dynamics and spillovers to the world economy," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 34-2010, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- Flávio Cunha & James Heckman, 2016. "Decomposing Trends in Inequality in Earnings into Forecastable and Uncertain Components," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34(S2), pages 31-65.
- Albulescu Claudiu Tiberiu, 2007. "The Impact of the New Financial Products on the Volatility of the Economic Growth," Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Spiru Haret University, Faculty of Financial Management and Accounting Craiova, vol. 2(1(2)_Fall).
- Andres Arias & Gary Hansen & Lee Ohanian, 2007.
"Why have business cycle fluctuations become less volatile?,"
Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 32(1), pages 43-58, July.
- Lee Ohanian & Andres Arias & Gary Hansen, 2005. "Why have business cycle fluctuations become less volatile?," 2005 Meeting Papers 927, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Andres Arias & Gary D. Hansen & Lee E. Ohanian, 2006. "Why Have Business Cycle Fluctuations Become Less Volatile?," NBER Working Papers 12079, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dynan, Karen E. & Elmendorf, Douglas W. & Sichel, Daniel E., 2006.
"Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 123-150, January.
- Karen E. Dynan & Douglas W. Elmendorf & Daniel E. Sichel, 2005. "Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity?," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2005-54, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Mandler, Martin, 2006. "Are there gains from including monetary aggregates and stock market indices in the monetary policy reaction function? A simulation study of recent U.S. monetary policy," MPRA Paper 2318, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Chang-Jin Kim & James Morley & Jeremy Piger, 2008. "Bayesian counterfactual analysis of the sources of the great moderation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(2), pages 173-191.
- Marie Brière & Ombretta Signori, 2012. "Inflation-Hedging Portfolios : Economic Regimes Matter," Post-Print hal-01494498, HAL.
- repec:dau:papers:123456789/9296 is not listed on IDEAS
- Efrem Castelnuovo, 2006. "Assessing Different Drivers of the GreatModeration in the U.S," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0025, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
- Philip Bodman, 2009. "Output volatility in Australia," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(24), pages 3117-3129.
- Andrea Beltratti & Claudio Morana, 2008. "International shocks and national house prices," ICER Working Papers - Applied Mathematics Series 14-2008, ICER - International Centre for Economic Research.
- Orhan Erem Atesagaoglu, 2017. "Taxes, Financial Markets and the Great Moderation," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 31(2), pages 83-115.
- Yılmaz, Oğuzhan, 2024. "Financial development and declining growth volatility: Explanations and an empirical study with the latest FD index," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 457-470.
- Gary D. Hansen, "undated". "Why Have Business Cycle Fluctuations Become Less Volatile? (with Andres Arias and Lee E. Ohanian)," UCLA Economics Online Papers 416, UCLA Department of Economics.
- Philippe Burger, 2008. "The Changing Volatility Of The South African Economy," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 76(3), pages 335-355, September.
- Benoit Mojon, 2007. "Monetary policy, output composition and the Great Moderation," Working Paper Series WP-07-07, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- Mandler, Martin, 2012. "Decomposing Federal Funds Rate forecast uncertainty using time-varying Taylor rules and real-time data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 228-245.