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Commodity Booms and Busts in Emerging Economies

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Nils Gornemann & Sebastian Hildebrand & Keith Kuester, 2022. "Limited Energy Supply, Sunspots, and Monetary Policy," ECONtribute Discussion Papers Series 215, University of Bonn and University of Cologne, Germany.
  2. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2023. "Macroeconomic effects of oil price shocks on an emerging market economy," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 803-824, April.
  3. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo Bornacki Mattos, 2022. "Oil price shocks and global liquidity: macroeconomic effects on the Brazilian real," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 19(4), pages 761-781, October.
  4. Vásquez Cordano, Arturo L. & Zellou, Abdel M., 2020. "Super cycles in natural gas prices and their impact on Latin American energy and environmental policies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  5. Arthur Mendes & Steven Pennings, 2025. "One Rule Fits All? Heterogeneous Fiscal Rules for Commodity Exporters When Price Shocks Can Be Persistent: Theory and Evidence," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 55, January.
  6. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2023. "Effect of sovereign wealth funds in commodity‐exporting economies when commodity prices affect interest spreads," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 37(3), pages 267-292, September.
  7. Galego Mendes,Arthur & Pennings,Steven Michael, 2020. "One Rule Fits All ? Heterogeneous Fiscal Rules for Commodity Exporters When Price Shocks Can BePersistent: Theory and Evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9400, The World Bank.
  8. Mauro Sayar Ferreira & André Cordeiro Valério, 2020. "Global shocks and emerging economies: disentangling the commodity roller coaster," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 623, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
  9. Letendre, Marc-André & Obaid, Sabreena, 2020. "Emerging economy business cycles: Interest rate shocks vs trend shocks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 526-545.
  10. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Araújo, Fernando H.A., 2020. "Taxonomy of commodities assets via complexity-entropy causality plane," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  11. Athanasios Triantafyllou & Dimitrios Bakas & Marilou Ioakimidis, 2023. "Commodity price uncertainty as a leading indicator of economic activity," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 4194-4219, October.
  12. Carrera, Jorge & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Toledo, Fernando, 2023. "Global financial cycle, commodity terms of trade and financial spreads in emerging markets and developing economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 179-190.
  13. Romain Houssa & Jolan Mohimont & Chris Otrok, 2019. "A model for international spillovers to emerging markets," Working Paper Research 370, National Bank of Belgium.
  14. Kris James Mitchener & Gonçalo Alves Pina, 2022. "Causal Effects of Countercyclical Interest Rates: Evidence from the Classical Gold Standard," NBER Working Papers 29970, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  15. Thibault Fally & James Sayre, 2018. "Commodity Trade Matters," 2018 Meeting Papers 172, Society for Economic Dynamics.
  16. Flavio Pérez Rojo & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Jane Haldimand Marcet: Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Peruvian Economy Over Time," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2023-523, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  17. Jemio Hurtado, Valeria, 2020. "Monetary rules in an open economy with distortionary subsidies and inefficient shocks: A DSGE approach for Bolivia," MPRA Paper 102374, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2020.
  18. Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Luvsannyam, Davaajargal & Enkh-Amgalan, Elbegjargal, 2023. "Effects of global liquidity and commodity market shocks in a commodity-exporting developing economy," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  19. Fernández, Andrés & González, Andrés & Rodríguez, Diego, 2018. "Sharing a ride on the commodities roller coaster: Common factors in business cycles of emerging economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 99-121.
  20. Marc-Andre Letendre & Sabreena Obaid, 2019. "Emerging Economy Business Cycles: Interest Rate Shocks vs Trend Shocks," Department of Economics Working Papers 2019-07, McMaster University.
  21. David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Håkon Tretvoll, 2021. "Trade in Commodities and Business Cycle Volatility," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 173-208, July.
  22. Nivín, Rafael & Pérez, Fernando, 2019. "Estimación de un Índice de Condiciones Financieras para el Perú," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 37, pages 49-64.
  23. Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Unveiling the dance of commodity prices and the global financial cycle," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
  24. Paulo Chávez & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2023. "Time changing effects of external shocks on macroeconomic fluctuations in Peru: empirical application using regime-switching VAR models with stochastic volatility," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 159(2), pages 505-544, May.
  25. Luciana Juvenal, 2020. "Terms-of-Trade Shocks are Not all Alike," IMF Working Papers 2020/280, International Monetary Fund.
  26. Didier, Tatiana & Levine, Ross & Llovet Montanes, Ruth & Schmukler, Sergio L., 2021. "Capital market financing and firm growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
  27. Togonidze, Sophio & Kočenda, Evžen, 2022. "Macroeconomic responses of emerging market economies to oil price shocks: An analysis by region and resource profile," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
  28. Vo Phuong Mai Le & Ruthira Naraidoo, 2019. "Monetary policy in a Model with Commodity and Financial Markets," Working Papers 201928, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  29. Junior A. Ojeda Cunya & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2022. "Time-Varying Effects of External Shocks on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Peru: An Empirical Application using TVP-VAR- SV Models," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2022-507, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
  30. Mitchener, Kris & Trebesch, Christoph, 2021. "Sovereign Debt in the 21st Century: Looking Backward, Looking Forward," CEPR Discussion Papers 15935, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  31. Rebeca Jiménez-Rodríguez & Amalia Morales-Zumaquero, 2022. "Commodity price pass-through along the pricing chain," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(1), pages 109-125, February.
  32. Omotosho, Babatunde Samson, 2022. "Oil price shocks and monetary policy in resource-rich economies: Does capital matter?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  33. Mitchener, Kris James & Pina, Gonçalo, 2023. "The effects of countercyclical interest rates: Evidence from the classical gold standard," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  34. Ameyaw, Emmanuel, 2024. "Business cycles in a cocoa and gold economy: Commodity price shocks do not always matter," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  35. Rodríguez-Puello, Gabriel & Chávez, Alicia & Pérez Trujillo, Manuel, 2022. "Youth unemployment during economic shocks: Evidence from the metal-mining prices super cycle in Chile," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  36. Peiris, M.U. & Shirobokov, A. & Tsomocos, D.P., 2024. "Does “Lean Against the Wind” monetary policy improve welfare in a commodity exporter?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
  37. Hou, Yulin & Jia, Shaomeng, 2023. "Do remittances react to commodity windfall? Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
  38. Alain Kabundi & Franziska Ohnsorge, 2020. "Implications of cheap oil for emerging markets," CAMA Working Papers 2020-83, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  39. Vincent Bodart & François Courtoy & Erica Perego, 2021. "World Interest Rates and Macroeconomic Adjustments in Developing Commodity Producing Countries," Working Papers 2021-01, CEPII research center.
  40. Zhang, Wei & He, Jie & Ge, Chanyuan & Xue, Rui, 2022. "Real-time macroeconomic monitoring using mixed frequency data: Evidence from China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
  41. Valle Quintana Facundo Marcelo, 2023. "Argentina post COVID: commodity boom o commodity doom?," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4696, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
  42. Houssa, Romain & Mohimont, Jolan & Otrok, Christopher, 2023. "Commodity exports, financial frictions, and international spillovers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
  43. Konstantin Egorov & Dmitry Mukhin, 2020. "Optimal Policy under Dollar Pricing," Working Papers w0261, New Economic School (NES).
  44. Juvenal, Luciana & Petrella, Ivan, 2024. "Reprint of “Unveiling the dance of commodity prices and the global financial cycle”," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
  45. Andrés Fernández & Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé & Martin Uribe, 2020. "Does the Commodity Super Cycle Matter?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 884, Central Bank of Chile.
  46. Carrasco, Alex & Florián, David & Nivín, Rafael, 2019. "SFX Interventions, Financial Intermediation, and External Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers 2019-022, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
  47. Troug, Haytem, 2020. "The heterogeneity among commodity-rich economies: Beyond the prices of commodities," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  48. Ebenezer Olamide & Andrew Maredza & Kanayo Ogujiuba, 2022. "Monetary Policy, External Shocks and Economic Growth Dynamics in East Africa: An S-VAR Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-19, March.
  49. Damian Romero, 2022. "Domestic Linkages and the Transmission of Commodity Price Shocks," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 936, Central Bank of Chile.
  50. Harding, Torfinn & Herzberg, Julika & Kuralbayeva, Karlygash, 2021. "Commodity prices and robust environmental regulation: Evidence from deforestation in Brazil," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  51. Alfredo Villca & Alejandro Torres-García, 2023. "Commodity price shocks and the business cycles in emerging economies: the role of banking system balance sheets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(5), pages 2039-2063, November.
  52. Boehm, Hannes & Eichler, Stefan & Giessler, Stefan, 2021. "What drives the commodity-sovereign risk dependence in emerging market economies?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  53. Fernandez, Viviana, 2019. "A readily computable commodity price index: 1900–2016," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
  54. Xia, Tian & Zhou, Hang, 2023. "Commodity terms of trade co-movement: Global and regional factors," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  55. Andrea Gazzani & Vicente Herrera & Alejandro Vicondoa, 2024. "The Asymmetric Effects of Commodity Price Shocks in Emerging Economies," Working Papers 311, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
  56. Zhang, Zhengyong & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie, 2022. "Tail risk transmission from commodity prices to sovereign risk of emerging economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  57. Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Purevdorj, Munkhbayar & Batjargal, Anand, 2024. "The macroeconomic effects of exchange rate movements in a commodity-exporting developing economy," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
  58. Bajraj, Gent & Lorca, Jorge & Wlasiuk, Juan M., 2023. "On foreign drivers of emerging markets fluctuations," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
  59. Gornemann, Nils & Hildebrand, Sebastian & Kuester, Keith, 2024. "Limited (energy) supply, monetary policy, and sunspots," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
  60. Niftiyev, Ibrahim, 2020. "Analysis of Inflation Trends in Urban and Rural Parts of Azerbaijan: Main Drivers and Links to Oil Revenue," EconStor Preprints 226217, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  61. Angélica Domínguez-Cardoza & Adelina Garamow & Josefin Meyer, 2022. "Global Commodity Markets and Sovereign Risk across 150 Years," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 2020, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
  62. Souza, Rodrigo da Silva & Fry-McKibbin, Renée, 2021. "Global liquidity and commodity market interactions: Macroeconomic effects on a commodity exporting emerging market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 781-800.
  63. Mora Cortez, Roberto & Johnston, Wesley J. & Ehret, Michael, 2023. "“Good Times–Bad Times” – Relationship marketing through business cycles," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
  64. Dieci, Roberto & Mignot, Sarah & Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank H., 2022. "Production delays, supply distortions and endogenous price dynamics," BERG Working Paper Series 182, Bamberg University, Bamberg Economic Research Group.
  65. Jasmien De Winne & Gert Peersman, 2021. "The adverse consequences of global harvest and weather disruptions on economic activity," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(8), pages 665-672, August.
  66. Naraidoo, Ruthira & Paez-Farrell, Juan, 2023. "Commodity price shocks, labour market dynamics and monetary policy in small open economies," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  67. Felipe Benguria & Felipe Saffie & Sergio Urzua, 2024. "The Transmission of Commodity Price Super-Cycles," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(4), pages 1923-1955.
  68. Santiago Camara, 2022. "TANK meets Diaz-Alejandro: Household heterogeneity, non-homothetic preferences & policy design," Papers 2201.02916, arXiv.org.
  69. Emilio Espino & Julian Kozlowski & Fernando M. Martin & Juan M. Sanchez, 2023. "External Shocks versus Domestic Policies in Emerging Markets," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 105(2), pages 108-121, April.
  70. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2020. "Global commodity prices and global stock market volatility shocks: Effects across countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  71. Villca, Alfredo, 2022. "Commodity prices, bank balance sheets and macroprudential policies in small open economies," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(1).
  72. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2023. "Commodity Prices, Financial Frictions, and Macroprudential Policies," Discussion Paper Series DP2023-21, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
  73. Hansen, Erwin & Wagner, Rodrigo, 2022. "The reinvestment by multinationals as a capital flow: Crises, imbalances, and the cash-based current account," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
  74. Egorov, Konstantin & Mukhin, Dmitry, 2023. "Optimal policy under dollar pricing," SAFE Working Paper Series 377, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  75. Eberhardt, Markus & Presbitero, Andrea F., 2021. "Commodity prices and banking crises," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  76. Rodrigo da Silva Souza & Leonardo B. de Mattos & João E. de Lima, 2021. "Commodity prices and the Brazilian real exchange rate," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 3152-3172, April.
  77. Alejandro Torres-García & Jaime Montoya-Arbeláez & Laura Wberth-Escobar, 2022. "Commodity price shocks and the balance sheet effect in emerging economies," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(4), pages 2081-2110, November.
  78. Zhang, Tianding & Du, Tianwen & Li, Jie, 2020. "The impact of China's macroeconomic determinants on commodity prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  79. Jinan Liu & Apostolos Serletis, 2022. "World Commodity Prices and Economic Activity in Advanced and Emerging Economies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 347-374, April.
  80. Ivan Khotulev & Konstantin Styrin, 2020. "Optimal Monetary and Macroprudential Policies for Financial Stability in a Commodity-Exporting Economy," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 79(2), pages 3-42, June.
  81. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Rodrigo da Silva Souza, 2018. "Chinese resource demand or commodity price shocks: Macroeconomic effects for an emerging market economy," CAMA Working Papers 2018-45, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  82. Faltermeier, Julia & Lama, Ruy & Medina, Juan Pablo, 2022. "Foreign exchange intervention for commodity booms and busts," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  83. Ottonello, Pablo, 2021. "Optimal exchange-rate policy under collateral constraints and wage rigidity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  84. Tenreyro, Silvana & Drechsel, Thomas & McLeay, Michael, 2019. "Monetary policy for commodity booms and busts," CEPR Discussion Papers 14030, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  85. Barrail, Zulma, 2020. "Business cycle implications of rising household credit market participation in emerging countries," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  86. Marcelo Randolfo da Costa Januário & Mauro Sayar Ferreira, 2021. "Global shocks and trade response of a commodity exporter small open economy: Terms of Trade, J-Curve and the Marshall-Lerner Condition," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 635, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
  87. David Ubilava, 2022. "A comparison of multistep commodity price forecasts using direct and iterated smooth transition autoregressive methods," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 53(5), pages 687-701, September.
  88. Mikhail Andreev & M. Udara Peiris & Alexander Shirobokov & Dimitrios P. Tsomocos, 2024. "Commodity cycles and financial instability in emerging economies," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 167-197, June.
  89. Bin Xu & Boqiang Lin, 2021. "Large fluctuations of China's commodity prices: Main sources and heterogeneous effects," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2074-2089, April.
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