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Do Mood Swings Drive Business Cycles and is it Rational?

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Cited by:

  1. Vasilev, Aleksandar, 2022. "How Important Are Consumer Confidence Shocks for the Propagation of Business Cycles in Bulgaria?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 63(10-12), pages 589-603.
  2. Britta Gehrke & Fang Yao, 2016. "Persistence and volatility of real exchange rates: the role of supply shocks revisited," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2016/02, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
  3. Ryan Chahrour & Kyle Jurado, 2018. "News or Noise? The Missing Link," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(7), pages 1702-1736, July.
  4. Nahiyan Azad & Apostolos Serletis, 2022. "Market Shocks in the G7 Countries," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 33-60, February.
  5. Dées, Stéphane & Güntner, Jochen, 2014. "The international dimension of confidence shocks," Working Paper Series 1669, European Central Bank.
  6. Jonas E. Arias & Juan Rubio-Ramirez & Daniel F. Waggoner, 2013. "Inference Based on SVARs Identied with Sign and Zero Restrictions: Theory and Applications," Working Papers 2013-24, FEDEA.
  7. Dees, Stéphane, 2017. "The role of confidence shocks in business cycles and their global dimension," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 48-65.
  8. Crouzet, Nicolas & Oh, Hyunseung, 2016. "What do inventories tell us about news-driven business cycles?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 49-66.
  9. Mario Forni & Luca Gambetti & Luca Sala, 2017. "News, Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations (No News is Good News)," Center for Economic Research (RECent) 132, University of Modena and Reggio E., Dept. of Economics "Marco Biagi".
  10. Holden, Steinar, 2012. "Implications of Insights from Behavioral Economics for Macroeconomic Models," Memorandum 25/2012, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
  11. Paul Beaudry & Patrick Fève & Alain Guay & Franck Portier, 2015. "When is Nonfundamentalness in VARs a Real Problem? An Application to News Shocks," NBER Working Papers 21466, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  12. Zhengyang Chen, 2019. "The Long-term Rate and Interest Rate Volatility in Monetary Policy Transmission," 2019 Papers pch1858, Job Market Papers.
  13. Andr? Kurmann & Elmar Mertens, 2014. "Stock Prices, News, and Economic Fluctuations: Comment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(4), pages 1439-1445, April.
  14. Hafedh Bouakez & Laurent Kemoe, 2023. "News Shocks, Business Cycles, and the Disinflation Puzzle," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(8), pages 2115-2151, December.
  15. Vegard H. Larsen & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2015. "The Value of News," Working Papers No 6/2015, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
  16. Christian Myohl, 2018. "The Effect of a Financial Block on the Identification of Confidence Shocks in a Structural VAR Model," Diskussionsschriften dp1821, Universitaet Bern, Departement Volkswirtschaft.
  17. Paul Beaudry & Patrick Feve & Alain Guay & Franck Portier, 2019. "When is Nonfundamentalness in SVARs a Real Problem?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 34, pages 221-243, October.
  18. Nektarios A. Michail & Christos S. Savva & Demetris Koursaros, 2017. "Size Effects of Fiscal Policy and Business Confidence in the Euro Area," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-15, November.
  19. Driscoll, John C. & Holden, Steinar, 2014. "Behavioral economics and macroeconomic models," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 133-147.
  20. Kamber, Güneş & Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Thoenissen, Christoph, 2017. "News-driven business cycles in small open economies," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 77-89.
  21. Theodoridis, Konstantinos & Zanetti, Francesco, 2014. "News and labour market dynamics in the data and in matching models," Bank of England working papers 488, Bank of England.
  22. Matheson, Troy & Stavrev, Emil, 2014. "News and monetary shocks at a high frequency: A simple approach," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 125(2), pages 282-286.
  23. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
  24. Renato Faccini & Leonardo Melosi, 2022. "Pigouvian Cycles," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 281-318, April.
  25. Dimitris Korobilis, 2020. "Sign restrictions in high-dimensional vector autoregressions," Working Papers 2020_21, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  26. Bolboaca, Maria, 2019. "The Impact of Technological Change," Economics Working Paper Series 1902, University of St. Gallen, School of Economics and Political Science.
  27. Christopher M. Gunn, 2018. "Overaccumulation, Interest, and Prices," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 50(2-3), pages 479-511, March.
  28. Korobilis, Dimitris, 2022. "A new algorithm for structural restrictions in Bayesian vector autoregressions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
  29. Volha Audzei, 2022. "Confidence Cycles and Liquidity Hoarding," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 18(3), pages 281-320, September.
  30. Arias, Jonas E. & Caldara, Dario & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F., 2019. "The systematic component of monetary policy in SVARs: An agnostic identification procedure," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1-13.
  31. Zeno Enders & Michael Kleemann & Gernot J. Muller, 2021. "Growth Expectations, Undue Optimism, and Short-Run Fluctuations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(5), pages 905-921, December.
  32. Forni, Mario & Gambetti, Luca & Sala, Luca, 2017. "News, Uncertainty and Economic Fluctuations," CEPR Discussion Papers 12139, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  33. Ben Zeev, Nadav, 2018. "What can we learn about news shocks from the late 1990s and early 2000s boom-bust period?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 94-105.
  34. Larsen, Vegard H. & Thorsrud, Leif A., 2019. "The value of news for economic developments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 210(1), pages 203-218.
  35. Bolboaca Maria & Fischer Sarah, 2021. "Unraveling News: Reconciling Conflicting Evidence," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 695-743, June.
  36. Paul Beaudry & Franck Portier, 2014. "News-Driven Business Cycles: Insights and Challenges," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(4), pages 993-1074, December.
  37. Andresa Lagerborg & Evi Pappa & Morten O Ravn, 2023. "Sentimental Business Cycles," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 90(3), pages 1358-1393.
  38. Deokwoo Nam & Jian Wang, 2019. "Mood Swings and Business Cycles: Evidence from Sign Restrictions," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(6), pages 1623-1649, September.
  39. Hashmat Khan & Jean-François Rouillard & Santosh Upadhayaya, 2019. "Consumer Confidence and Household Investment," Carleton Economic Papers 19-06, Carleton University, Department of Economics, revised 04 Jan 2024.
  40. Wongi Kim & Kyunghun Kim, 2022. "Effect of news and noise shocks of US monetary policy on economic fluctuations in emerging market economies," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(4), pages 1862-1893, November.
  41. Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2020. "Words are the New Numbers: A Newsy Coincident Index of the Business Cycle," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(2), pages 393-409, April.
  42. Harrison, Andre & Reed, Robert R., 2023. "Gross capital inflows, the U.S. economy, and the response of the Federal Reserve," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  43. Nam, Deokwoo & Wang, Jian, 2015. "The effects of surprise and anticipated technology changes on international relative prices and trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 162-177.
  44. Matthew Read, 2022. "The Unit-effect Normalisation in Set-identified Structural Vector Autoregressions," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2022-04, Reserve Bank of Australia.
  45. Nadav Ben Zeev & Hashmat Khan, 2015. "Investment‐Specific News Shocks and U.S. Business Cycles," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(7), pages 1443-1464, October.
  46. Volha Audzei, 2012. "Efficiency of Central Bank Policy During the Crisis : Role of Expectations in Reinforcing Hoarding Behavior," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp477, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  47. Gunn, Christopher M., 2015. "Animal spirits as an engine of boom-busts and throttle of productivity growth," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 24-53.
  48. Chia‐Yi Yen & Yu‐Hsi Chou, 2020. "Understanding The Macroeconomic Impact Of Illiquidity Shocks In The United States," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(3), pages 1245-1278, July.
  49. Yadav, Jayant, 2020. "Flight to Safety in Business cycles," MPRA Paper 104093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  50. Nam, Deokwoo & Wang, Jian, 2014. "Are predictable improvements in TFP contractionary or expansionary: Implications from sectoral TFP?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 171-175.
  51. Luis A. Gil-Alana & Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Nieves Carmona-González & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2024. "Consumer sentiments across G7 and BRICS economies: Are they related?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(2), pages 323-344, June.
  52. Gabe de Bondt, 2017. "Confidence and monetary policy transmission," EcoMod2017 10197, EcoMod.
  53. Gehrke, Britta & Yao, Fang, 2017. "Are supply shocks important for real exchange rates? A fresh view from the frequency-domain," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 99-114.
  54. Özçelik, Emre & Tuğan, Mustafa, 2019. "Terms of Trade Effects of Productivity Shocks and Economic Development," MPRA Paper 91473, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  55. Sam Ouliaris & Adrian Pagan, 2016. "A Method for Working with Sign Restrictions in Structural Equation Modelling," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 78(5), pages 605-622, October.
  56. Ma, Xiaohan, 2018. "Investment specific technology, news, sentiment, and fluctuations: Evidence from nowcast data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 55-70.
  57. Jian Wang, 2014. "Understanding Trade, Exchange Rates and International Capital Flows," Annual Report, Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, pages 10-15.
  58. Volha Audzei, 2015. "Information Acquisition and Excessive Risk: Impact of Policy Rate and Market Volatility," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp536, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  59. Maria Bolboaca & Sarah Fischer, 2019. "News Shocks: Different Effects in Boom and Recession?," Working Papers 19.01, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
  60. NAM, Deokwoo & LI, Xiaole, 2024. "The Stimulative Effects of Anticipated Government Spending Expansions : Evidence from Survey Forecasts," Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 65(1), pages 1-31, June.
  61. Gafarov, Bulat & Meier, Matthias & Montiel Olea, José Luis, 2018. "Delta-method inference for a class of set-identified SVARs," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 316-327.
  62. Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck & Seymen, Atılım, 2013. "Comparing two methods for the identification of news shocks," ZEW Discussion Papers 13-110, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
  63. Gabe J. Bondt & Stefano Schiaffi, 2015. "Confidence Matters for Current Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence for the Euro Area and the United States," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 96(4), pages 1027-1040, December.
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