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Travel time unreliability on freeways: Why measures based on variance tell only half the story

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  1. Li, Hao & Gao, Kun & Tu, Huizhao, 2017. "Variations in mode-specific valuations of travel time reliability and in-vehicle crowding: Implications for demand estimation," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 250-263.
  2. Khalili, Fatemeh Bagheri & Antunes, António Pais & Mohaymany, Afshin Shariat, 2020. "Evaluating interregional freight accessibility conditions through the combination of centrality and reliability measures," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  3. Zhaoqi Zang & Richard Batley & Xiangdong Xu & David Z. W. Wang, 2022. "On the value of distribution tail in the valuation of travel time variability," Papers 2207.06293, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  4. Chen, Anthony & Zhou, Zhong & Lam, William H.K., 2011. "Modeling stochastic perception error in the mean-excess traffic equilibrium model," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1619-1640.
  5. Oliveira, Eduardo Leal de & Portugal, Licínio da Silva & Porto Junior, Walter, 2016. "Indicators of reliability and vulnerability: Similarities and differences in ranking links of a complex road system," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 195-208.
  6. Matthias Sweet & Mengke Chen, 2011. "Does regional travel time unreliability influence mode choice?," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(4), pages 625-642, July.
  7. Zang, Zhaoqi & Batley, Richard & Xu, Xiangdong & Wang, David Z.W., 2024. "On the value of distribution tail in the valuation of travel time variability," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
  8. Paul Koster & Erik T. Verhoef, 2012. "A Rank-dependent Scheduling Model," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 46(1), pages 123-138, January.
  9. Gu, Yu & Fu, Xiao & Liu, Zhiyuan & Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony, 2020. "Performance of transportation network under perturbations: Reliability, vulnerability, and resilience," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  10. Raux, Charles & Souche, Stéphanie & Pons, Damien, 2012. "The efficiency of congestion charging: Some lessons from cost–benefit analyses," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 85-92.
  11. Blayac, Thierry & Stéphan, Maïté, 2021. "Are retrospective rail punctuality indicators useful? Evidence from users perceptions," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 193-213.
  12. Xu, Xiangdong & Qu, Kai & Chen, Anthony & Yang, Chao, 2021. "A new day-to-day dynamic network vulnerability analysis approach with Weibit-based route adjustment process," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
  13. Xiangdong Xu & Anthony Chen & Lin Cheng, 2013. "Assessing the effects of stochastic perception error under travel time variability," Transportation, Springer, vol. 40(3), pages 525-548, May.
  14. Durán-Hormazábal, Elsa & Tirachini, Alejandro, 2016. "Estimation of travel time variability for cars, buses, metro and door-to-door public transport trips in Santiago, Chile," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 26-39.
  15. Sjoerd van der Spoel & Chintan Amrit & Jos van Hillegersberg, 2017. "Predictive analytics for truck arrival time estimation: a field study at a European distribution centre," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(17), pages 5062-5078, September.
  16. Jie Liu & Paul Schonfeld & Jinqu Chen & Yong Yin & Qiyuan Peng, 2021. "Perceived Trip Time Reliability and Its Cost in a Rail Transit Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(13), pages 1-22, July.
  17. Wang, Qian & Sundberg, Marcus & Karlström, Anders, 2013. "On the other half of the story: allowing for discrete penalties for excessive travel times in scheduling models," Working papers in Transport Economics 2013:15, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  18. Koster, Paul & Kroes, Eric & Verhoef, Erik, 2011. "Travel time variability and airport accessibility," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1545-1559.
  19. Junlong Zhang & William Lam & Bi Chen, 2013. "A Stochastic Vehicle Routing Problem with Travel Time Uncertainty: Trade-Off Between Cost and Customer Service," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 13(4), pages 471-496, December.
  20. Soriguera, Francesc, 2014. "On the value of highway travel time information systems," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 294-310.
  21. Zhaoqi Zang & Xiangdong Xu & Kai Qu & Ruiya Chen & Anthony Chen, 2022. "Travel time reliability in transportation networks: A review of methodological developments," Papers 2206.12696, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2022.
  22. Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony & Cheng, Lin & Yang, Chao, 2017. "A link-based mean-excess traffic equilibrium model under uncertainty," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 53-75.
  23. Srinivasan, Karthik K. & Prakash, A.A. & Seshadri, Ravi, 2014. "Finding most reliable paths on networks with correlated and shifted log–normal travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 110-128.
  24. Kim, Sung Hoo & Chung, Jin-Hyuk, 2018. "Exploration on origin–destination-based travel time variability: Insights from Seoul metropolitan area," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 104-113.
  25. Tu, Huizhao & Li, Hao & van Lint, Hans & van Zuylen, Henk, 2012. "Modeling travel time reliability of freeways using risk assessment techniques," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 46(10), pages 1528-1540.
  26. Bhoopalam, Anirudh Kishore & Agatz, Niels & Zuidwijk, Rob, 2018. "Planning of truck platoons: A literature review and directions for future research," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 212-228.
  27. Wang, Qian & Sundberg, Marcus & Karlström, Anders, 2013. "Scheduling choices under rank dependent utility maximization," Working papers in Transport Economics 2013:16, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
  28. Chen, Anthony & Zhou, Zhong, 2010. "The [alpha]-reliable mean-excess traffic equilibrium model with stochastic travel times," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(4), pages 493-513, May.
  29. Li, Hao & Yu, Lu & Chen, Yu & Tu, Huizhao & Zhang, Jun, 2023. "Uncertainty of available range in explaining the charging choice behavior of BEV users," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  30. Muriel-Villegas, Juan E. & Alvarez-Uribe, Karla C. & Patiño-Rodríguez, Carmen E. & Villegas, Juan G., 2016. "Analysis of transportation networks subject to natural hazards – Insights from a Colombian case," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 151-165.
  31. Rajesh S. Prabhu Gaonkar & V. Mariappan, 2020. "Transportation time reliability appraisal in maritime context," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 11(3), pages 736-746, June.
  32. Carlos Mario Pérez-González & Jaime Mora-Vargas & Jared Piña-Barcenas & Miguel Gaston Cedillo-Campos, 2024. "Method for travel time prediction in emerging markets based on anonymous truck GPS data," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 342(1), pages 585-620, November.
  33. Emily K. M. Moylan & Michiel C. J. Bliemer & Taha Hossein Rashidi, 2022. "Travellers’ perceptions of travel time reliability in the presence of rare events," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(4), pages 1157-1181, August.
  34. Zhang, Rong & Jian, Wenliang & Tavasszy, Lóránt, 2018. "Estimation of network level benefits of reliability improvements in intermodal freight transport," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 1-8.
  35. Cedillo-Campos, Miguel Gastón & Pérez-González, Carlos Mario & Piña-Barcena, Jared & Moreno-Quintero, Eric, 2019. "Measurement of travel time reliability of road transportation using GPS data: A freight fluidity approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 240-288.
  36. Cheng, Qixiu & Liu, Zhiyuan & Lu, Jiawei & List, George & Liu, Pan & Zhou, Xuesong Simon, 2024. "Using frequency domain analysis to elucidate travel time reliability along congested freeway corridors," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
  37. Rajesh S. Prabhu Gaonkar & V. Mariappan, 0. "Transportation time reliability appraisal in maritime context," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 0, pages 1-11.
  38. Engelson, Leonid & Fosgerau, Mogens, 2011. "Additive measures of travel time variability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 45(10), pages 1560-1571.
  39. Xu, Xiangdong & Chen, Anthony & Cheng, Lin & Lo, Hong K., 2014. "Modeling distribution tail in network performance assessment: A mean-excess total travel time risk measure and analytical estimation method," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 32-49.
  40. Zang, Zhaoqi & Xu, Xiangdong & Yang, Chao & Chen, Anthony, 2018. "A closed-form estimation of the travel time percentile function for characterizing travel time reliability," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 228-247.
  41. Ruoqi Wang & Jiawei Li & Ruibin Bai, 2023. "Prediction and Analysis of Container Terminal Logistics Arrival Time Based on Simulation Interactive Modeling: A Case Study of Ningbo Port," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-23, July.
  42. Stefanie Peer & Carl Koopmans & Erik T. Verhoef, 2010. "Predicting Travel Time Variability for Cost-Benefit Analysis," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-071/3, Tinbergen Institute.
  43. Kishore Bhoopalam, A. & Agatz, N.A.H. & Zuidwijk, R.A., 2017. "Planning of Truck Platoons: a Literature Review and Directions for Future Research," ERIM Report Series Research in Management ERS-2017-010-LIS, Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam.
  44. Zhang, Wei & Jenelius, Erik & Ma, Xiaoliang, 2017. "Freight transport platoon coordination and departure time scheduling under travel time uncertainty," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 1-23.
  45. Godachevich, Javiera & Tirachini, Alejandro, 2021. "Does the measured performance of bus operators depend on the index chosen to assess reliability in contracts? An analysis of bus headway variability," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  46. Li, Zheng & Hensher, David A. & Rose, John M., 2013. "Accommodating perceptual conditioning in the valuation of expected travel time savings for cars and public transport," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 270-276.
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