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Exogenous drivers of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency volatility – A mixed data sampling approach to forecasting

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. María de la O González & Francisco Jareño & Frank S. Skinner, 2020. "Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Approach: An Application on the Connectedness between Bitcoin Returns and the Other Ten Most Relevant Cryptocurrency Returns," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(5), pages 1-22, May.
  2. Hasan, Mohammad Maruf & Du, Fang, 2023. "The role of foreign trade and technology innovation on economic recovery in China: The mediating role of natural resources development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  3. Yun-Shi Dai & Peng-Fei Dai & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2024. "The impact of geopolitical risk on the international agricultural market: Empirical analysis based on the GJR-GARCH-MIDAS model," Papers 2404.01641, arXiv.org.
  4. Bouteska, Ahmed & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Hajek, Petr & Yuan, Kunpeng, 2024. "Cryptocurrency price forecasting – A comparative analysis of ensemble learning and deep learning methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
  5. Vassilios Babalos & Elie Bouri & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Does the Introduction of US Spot Bitcoin ETFs Affect Spot Returns and Volatility of Major Cryptocurrencies?," Working Papers 202416, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  6. Tzeng, Kae-Yih & Su, Yi-Kai, 2024. "Can U.S. macroeconomic indicators forecast cryptocurrency volatility?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  7. Ha, Le Thanh & Nham, Nguyen Thi Hong, 2022. "An application of a TVP-VAR extended joint connected approach to explore connectedness between WTI crude oil, gold, stock and cryptocurrencies during the COVID-19 health crisis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
  8. Demir, Ender & Simonyan, Serdar & García-Gómez, Conrado-Diego & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2021. "The asymmetric effect of bitcoin on altcoins: evidence from the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
  9. Panagiotidis, Theodore & Papapanagiotou, Georgios & Stengos, Thanasis, 2024. "A Bayesian approach for the determinants of bitcoin returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  10. Aiman Hairudin & Azhar Mohamad, 2024. "The isotropy of cryptocurrency volatility," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3779-3810, July.
  11. Khalid Khan & Jiluo Sun & Sinem Derindere Koseoglu & Ashfaq U. Rehman, 2021. "Revisiting Bitcoin Price Behavior Under Global Economic Uncertainty," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(3), pages 21582440211, August.
  12. Wei, Yu & Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A., 2023. "Cryptocurrency uncertainty and volatility forecasting of precious metal futures markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
  13. Emon Kalyan Chowdhury & Mohammad Nayeem Abdullah, 2024. "Gauging Demand for Cryptocurrency over the Economic Policy Uncertainty and Stock Market Volatility," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(1), pages 37-55, July.
  14. Tapia, Sebastian & Kristjanpoller, Werner, 2022. "Framework based on multiplicative error and residual analysis to forecast bitcoin intraday-volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 589(C).
  15. Smales, L.A., 2022. "Investor attention in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
  16. Nektarios Aslanidis & Aurelio F. Bariviera & 'Oscar G. L'opez, 2021. "The link between Bitcoin and Google Trends attention," Papers 2106.07104, arXiv.org.
  17. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  18. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Forecasting Oil Volatility Using a GARCH-MIDAS Approach: The Role of Global Economic Conditions," Working Papers 202051, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  19. Jia, Dun & Li, Yifan, 2023. "Bounded pool mining and the bounded Bitcoin price," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  20. Salisu, Afees A. & Gupta, Rangan & Demirer, Riza, 2022. "Global financial cycle and the predictability of oil market volatility: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
  21. Andrada-Félix, Julián & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón, 2020. "Distant or close cousins: Connectedness between cryptocurrencies and traditional currencies volatilities," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  22. Meegan, Andrew & Corbet, Shaen & Larkin, Charles & Lucey, Brian, 2021. "Does cryptocurrency pricing response to regulatory intervention depend on underlying blockchain architecture?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  23. Yaojie Zhang & Mengxi He & Danyan Wen & Yudong Wang, 2022. "Forecasting Bitcoin volatility: A new insight from the threshold regression model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 633-652, April.
  24. Yin, Libo & Nie, Jing & Han, Liyan, 2021. "Understanding cryptocurrency volatility: The role of oil market shocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 233-253.
  25. Cheng, Jiyang & Tiwari, Sunil & Khaled, Djebbouri & Mahendru, Mandeep & Shahzad, Umer, 2024. "Forecasting Bitcoin prices using artificial intelligence: Combination of ML, SARIMA, and Facebook Prophet models," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
  26. Yu, Dejian & Pan, Tianxing, 2021. "Tracing the main path of interdisciplinary research considering citation preference: A case from blockchain domain," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 15(2).
  27. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Shu-Jiao, 2021. "Risk spillover between Bitcoin and conventional financial markets: An expectile-based approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  28. Yousaf, Imran & Jareño, Francisco & Tolentino, Marta, 2023. "Connectedness between Defi assets and equity markets during COVID-19: A sector analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
  29. Fang, Tong & Su, Zhi & Yin, Libo, 2020. "Economic fundamentals or investor perceptions? The role of uncertainty in predicting long-term cryptocurrency volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  30. Dinh, Theu & Goutte, Stéphane & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Economic drivers of volatility and correlation in precious metal markets," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  31. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O, 2021. "The impact of COVID-19-related media coverage on the return and volatility connectedness of cryptocurrencies and fiat currencies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  32. Natalia A. Van Heerden & Juan B. Cabral & Nadia Luczywo, 2021. "Evaluation of the importance of criteria for the selection of cryptocurrencies," Papers 2109.00130, arXiv.org.
  33. Elie Bouri & Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2023. "The predictive power of Bitcoin prices for the realized volatility of US stock sector returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-22, December.
  34. Wu, Xinyu & Xie, Haibin, 2021. "A realized EGARCH-MIDAS model with higher moments," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  35. Chowdhury, Md Shahedur R. & Damianov, Damian S., 2024. "Uncertainty and bubbles in cryptocurrencies: Evidence from newly developed uncertainty indices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
  36. Vincenzo Candila, 2021. "Multivariate Analysis of Cryptocurrencies," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-17, July.
  37. Elie Bouri & Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta, 2022. "Bitcoin Prices and the Realized Volatility of US Sectoral Stock Returns," Working Papers 202224, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  38. Klender Cortez & Martha del Pilar Rodríguez-García & Samuel Mongrut, 2020. "Exchange Market Liquidity Prediction with the K-Nearest Neighbor Approach: Crypto vs. Fiat Currencies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, December.
  39. Sabah, Nasim, 2020. "Cryptocurrency accepting venues, investor attention, and volatility," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  40. Ahmed, Mohamed Shaker & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Al-Maghyereh, Aktham I. & Kumar, Satish, 2024. "Cryptocurrency volatility: A review, synthesis, and research agenda," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  41. Shalini Sharma & Angshul Majumdar & Emilie Chouzenoux & Victor Elvira, 2023. "Deep State-Space Model for Predicting Cryptocurrency Price," Papers 2311.14731, arXiv.org.
  42. Clark, Ephraim & Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma, 2023. "Cryptocurrency return predictability: What is the role of the environment?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
  43. Erdinc Akyildirim & Ahmet Goncu & Ahmet Sensoy, 2021. "Prediction of cryptocurrency returns using machine learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 3-36, February.
  44. Mukul Bhatnagar & Sanjay Taneja & Ramona Rupeika-Apoga, 2023. "Demystifying the Effect of the News (Shocks) on Crypto Market Volatility," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-16, February.
  45. Feng, Lingbing & Qi, Jiajun & Lucey, Brian, 2024. "Enhancing cryptocurrency market volatility forecasting with daily dynamic tuning strategy," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  46. Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter & Plíhal, Tomáš & Širaňová, Mária, 2020. "Impact of macroeconomic news, regulation and hacking exchange markets on the volatility of bitcoin," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  47. Gkillas, Konstantinos & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Roubaud, David, 2022. "Spillovers in Higher-Order Moments of Crude Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 398-406.
  48. Li, Yi & Urquhart, Andrew & Wang, Pengfei & Zhang, Wei, 2021. "MAX momentum in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  49. Jin, Daxiang & Yu, Jize, 2023. "Predicting cryptocurrency market volatility: Novel evidence from climate policy uncertainty," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PC).
  50. Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Yarovaya, Larisa & Wang, Yizhi, 2022. "The cryptocurrency uncertainty index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  51. Afees A. Salisu & Rangan Gupta & Elie Bouri & Qiang Ji, 2022. "Mixed‐frequency forecasting of crude oil volatility based on the information content of global economic conditions," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(1), pages 134-157, January.
  52. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2023. "Spillovers of joint volatility-skewness-kurtosis of major cryptocurrencies and their determinants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  53. Peng‐Fei Dai & John W. Goodell & Luu Duc Toan Huynh & Zhifeng Liu & Shaen Corbet, 2023. "Understanding the transmission of crash risk between cryptocurrency and equity markets," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 539-573, August.
  54. Luca Mungo & Silvia Bartolucci & Laura Alessandretti, 2023. "Cryptocurrency co-investment network: token returns reflect investment patterns," Papers 2301.02027, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2023.
  55. Maghyereh, Aktham & Abdoh, Hussein, 2021. "Time–frequency quantile dependence between Bitcoin and global equity markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  56. Naeem, Muhammad & Bouri, Elie & Boako, Gideon & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Tail dependence in the return-volume of leading cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
  57. Sakariyahu, Rilwan & Lawal, Rodiat & Adigun, Rasheed & Paterson, Audrey & Johan, Sofia, 2024. "One crash, too many: Global uncertainty, sentiment factors and cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
  58. Weige Huang & Xiang Gao, 2023. "Forecasting Bitcoin Futures: A Lasso-BMA Two-Step Predictor Selection for Investment and Hedging Strategies," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(1), pages 21582440231, January.
  59. Amendola, Alessandra & Candila, Vincenzo & Gallo, Giampiero M., 2021. "Choosing the frequency of volatility components within the Double Asymmetric GARCH–MIDAS–X model," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 12-28.
  60. Aslanidis, Nektarios & Bariviera, Aurelio F. & López, Óscar G., 2022. "The link between cryptocurrencies and Google Trends attention," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
  61. Guo, Yangli & Li, Pan & Wu, Hanlin, 2023. "Jumps in the Chinese crude oil futures volatility forecasting: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
  62. Jiqian Wang & Feng Ma & Elie Bouri & Yangli Guo, 2023. "Which factors drive Bitcoin volatility: Macroeconomic, technical, or both?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 970-988, July.
  63. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2021. "Forecasting Realized Volatility of Bitcoin: The Role of the Trade War," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(1), pages 29-53, January.
  64. Xia, Yufei & Sang, Chong & He, Lingyun & Wang, Ziyao, 2023. "The role of uncertainty index in forecasting volatility of Bitcoin: Fresh evidence from GARCH-MIDAS approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
  65. Constandina Koki & Stefanos Leonardos & Georgios Piliouras, 2020. "Do Cryptocurrency Prices Camouflage Latent Economic Effects? A Bayesian Hidden Markov Approach," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-19, March.
  66. Kate Murray & Andrea Rossi & Diego Carraro & Andrea Visentin, 2023. "On Forecasting Cryptocurrency Prices: A Comparison of Machine Learning, Deep Learning, and Ensembles," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-14, January.
  67. Gerritsen, Dirk F. & Lugtigheid, Rick A.C. & Walther, Thomas, 2022. "Can Bitcoin Investors Profit from Predictions by Crypto Experts?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
  68. Qian, Lihua & Wang, Jiqian & Ma, Feng & Li, Ziyang, 2022. "Bitcoin volatility predictability–The role of jumps and regimes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  69. Chi, Yeguang & Hao, Wenyan, 2021. "Volatility models for cryptocurrencies and applications in the options market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  70. Jareño, Francisco & González, María de la O. & López, Raquel & Ramos, Ana Rosa, 2021. "Cryptocurrencies and oil price shocks: A NARDL analysis in the COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
  71. Bouri, Elie & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Roubaud, David, 2021. "Quantile connectedness in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
  72. Umar, Muhammad & Su, Chi-Wei & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Shao, Xue-Feng, 2021. "Bitcoin: A safe haven asset and a winner amid political and economic uncertainties in the US?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
  73. Assaf, Ata & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin & Demir, Ender, 2022. "Using transfer entropy to measure information flows between cryptocurrencies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 586(C).
  74. Wu, Xinyu & Yin, Xuebao & Umar, Zaghum & Iqbal, Najaf, 2023. "Volatility forecasting in the Bitcoin market: A new proposed measure based on the VS-ACARR approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
  75. Ahmed M. Khedr & Ifra Arif & Pravija Raj P V & Magdi El‐Bannany & Saadat M. Alhashmi & Meenu Sreedharan, 2021. "Cryptocurrency price prediction using traditional statistical and machine‐learning techniques: A survey," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 3-34, January.
  76. Nguyen, Thach V.H. & Nguyen, Thai Vu Hong & Nguyen, Thanh Cong & Pham, Thu Thi Anh & Nguyen, Quan M.P., 2022. "Stablecoins versus traditional cryptocurrencies in response to interbank rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
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