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Cryptocurrency price prediction using traditional statistical and machine‐learning techniques: A survey

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  • Ahmed M. Khedr
  • Ifra Arif
  • Pravija Raj P V
  • Magdi El‐Bannany
  • Saadat M. Alhashmi
  • Meenu Sreedharan

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies are decentralized electronic counterparts of government‐issued money. The first and best‐known cryptocurrency example is bitcoin. Cryptocurrencies are used to make transactions anonymously and securely over the internet. The decentralization behavior of a cryptocurrency has radically reduced central control over them, thereby influencing international trade and relations. Wide fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices motivate the urgent requirement for an accurate model to predict its price. Cryptocurrency price prediction is one of the trending areas among researchers. Research work in this field uses traditional statistical and machine‐learning techniques, such as Bayesian regression, logistic regression, linear regression, support vector machine, artificial neural network, deep learning, and reinforcement learning. No seasonal effects exist in cryptocurrency, making it hard to predict using a statistical approach. Traditional statistical methods, although simple to implement and interpret, require a lot of statistical assumptions that could be unrealistic, leaving machine learning as the best technology in this field, being capable of predicting price based on experience. This article provides a comprehensive summary of the previous studies in the field of cryptocurrency price prediction from 2010 to 2020. The discussion presented in this article will help researchers to fill the gap in existing studies and gain more future insight.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmed M. Khedr & Ifra Arif & Pravija Raj P V & Magdi El‐Bannany & Saadat M. Alhashmi & Meenu Sreedharan, 2021. "Cryptocurrency price prediction using traditional statistical and machine‐learning techniques: A survey," Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(1), pages 3-34, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:isacfm:v:28:y:2021:i:1:p:3-34
    DOI: 10.1002/isaf.1488
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    Cited by:

    1. David L. John & Sebastian Binnewies & Bela Stantic, 2024. "Cryptocurrency Price Prediction Algorithms: A Survey and Future Directions," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-35, August.
    2. Yingjie Zhu & Jiageng Ma & Fangqing Gu & Jie Wang & Zhijuan Li & Youyao Zhang & Jiani Xu & Yifan Li & Yiwen Wang & Xiangqun Yang, 2023. "Price Prediction of Bitcoin Based on Adaptive Feature Selection and Model Optimization," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-22, March.
    3. Bouteska, Ahmed & Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul & Hajek, Petr & Yuan, Kunpeng, 2024. "Cryptocurrency price forecasting – A comparative analysis of ensemble learning and deep learning methods," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    4. Ren, Yi-Shuai & Ma, Chao-Qun & Kong, Xiao-Lin & Baltas, Konstantinos & Zureigat, Qasim, 2022. "Past, present, and future of the application of machine learning in cryptocurrency research," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    5. Giacomo di Tollo & Joseph Andria & Gianni Filograsso, 2023. "The Predictive Power of Social Media Sentiment: Evidence from Cryptocurrencies and Stock Markets Using NLP and Stochastic ANNs," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-18, August.
    6. Amal Al Ali & Ahmed M. Khedr & Magdi El Bannany & Sakeena Kanakkayil, 2023. "GALSTM-FDP: A Time-Series Modeling Approach Using Hybrid GA and LSTM for Financial Distress Prediction," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-15, February.
    7. Orte, Francisco & Mira, José & Sánchez, María Jesús & Solana, Pablo, 2023. "A random forest-based model for crypto asset forecasts in futures markets with out-of-sample prediction," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    8. Kate Murray & Andrea Rossi & Diego Carraro & Andrea Visentin, 2023. "On Forecasting Cryptocurrency Prices: A Comparison of Machine Learning, Deep Learning, and Ensembles," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-14, January.

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