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Agent-based model calibration using machine learning surrogates

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Dosi, Giovanni & Lamperti, Francesco & Mazzucato, Mariana & Napoletano, Mauro & Roventini, Andrea, 2023. "Mission-oriented policies and the “Entrepreneurial State” at work: An agent-based exploration," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
  2. Christian Troost & Julia Parussis-Krech & Matías Mejaíl & Thomas Berger, 2023. "Boosting the Scalability of Farm-Level Models: Efficient Surrogate Modeling of Compositional Simulation Output," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 62(3), pages 721-759, October.
  3. Ernesto Carrella & Richard M. Bailey & Jens Koed Madsen, 2018. "Indirect inference through prediction," Papers 1807.01579, arXiv.org.
  4. Lamperti, Francesco & Bosetti, Valentina & Roventini, Andrea & Tavoni, Massimo & Treibich, Tania, 2021. "Three green financial policies to address climate risks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
  5. Seri, Raffaello & Martinoli, Mario & Secchi, Davide & Centorrino, Samuele, 2021. "Model calibration and validation via confidence sets," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 62-86.
  6. Johannes Dahlke & Kristina Bogner & Matthias Mueller & Thomas Berger & Andreas Pyka & Bernd Ebersberger, 2020. "Is the Juice Worth the Squeeze? Machine Learning (ML) In and For Agent-Based Modelling (ABM)," Papers 2003.11985, arXiv.org.
  7. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/401t6job098n79ch91o9giov9d is not listed on IDEAS
  8. Torsten Heinrich & Juan Sabuco & J. Doyne Farmer, 2022. "A simulation of the insurance industry: the problem of risk model homogeneity," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(2), pages 535-576, April.
  9. Priscilla Avegliano & Jaime Simão Sichman, 2023. "Equation-Based Versus Agent-Based Models: Why Not Embrace Both for an Efficient Parameter Calibration?," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 26(4), pages 1-3.
  10. Mario Martinoli & Alessio Moneta & Gianluca Pallante, 2022. "Calibration and Validation of Macroeconomic Simulation Models by Statistical Causal Search," LEM Papers Series 2022/33, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  11. Kukacka, Jiri & Jang, Tae-Seok & Sacht, Stephen, 2018. "On the estimation of behavioral macroeconomic models via simulated maximum likelihood," Economics Working Papers 2018-11, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  12. Delli Gatti, Domenico & Grazzini, Jakob, 2020. "Rising to the challenge: Bayesian estimation and forecasting techniques for macroeconomic Agent Based Models," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 875-902.
  13. Chaitanya Kaligotla & Jonathan Ozik & Nicholson Collier & Charles M. Macal & Kelly Boyd & Jennifer Makelarski & Elbert S. Huang & Stacy T. Lindau, 2020. "Model Exploration of an Information-Based Healthcare Intervention Using Parallelization and Active Learning," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 23(4), pages 1-1.
  14. Kukacka, Jiri & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2021. "Does parameterization affect the complexity of agent-based models?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 324-356.
  15. Vandin, Andrea & Giachini, Daniele & Lamperti, Francesco & Chiaromonte, Francesca, 2022. "Automated and distributed statistical analysis of economic agent-based models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
  16. Nelson Vadori & Leo Ardon & Sumitra Ganesh & Thomas Spooner & Selim Amrouni & Jared Vann & Mengda Xu & Zeyu Zheng & Tucker Balch & Manuela Veloso, 2022. "Towards Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning driven Over-The-Counter Market Simulations," Papers 2210.07184, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
  17. Njiru, Ruth & Appel, Franziska & Dong, Changxing & Balmann, Alfons, 2024. "Application of Deep Learning to Emulate an Agent-Based Model," FORLand Project Publications 340874, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Department of Economics and Social Sciences.
  18. Yi Zhang & Zhe Li & Yongchao Zhang, 2020. "Validation and Calibration of an Agent-Based Model: A Surrogate Approach," Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, Hindawi, vol. 2020, pages 1-9, January.
  19. Matteo Coronese & Davide Luzzati, 2022. "Economic impacts of natural hazards and complexity science: a critical review," LEM Papers Series 2022/13, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  20. Mert Edali, 2022. "Pattern‐oriented analysis of system dynamics models via random forests," System Dynamics Review, System Dynamics Society, vol. 38(2), pages 135-166, April.
  21. Kang Gao & Perukrishnen Vytelingum & Stephen Weston & Wayne Luk & Ce Guo, 2022. "Understanding intra-day price formation process by agent-based financial market simulation: calibrating the extended chiarella model," Papers 2208.14207, arXiv.org.
  22. Lamperti, F. & Dosi, G. & Napoletano, M. & Roventini, A. & Sapio, A., 2018. "Faraway, So Close: Coupled Climate and Economic Dynamics in an Agent-based Integrated Assessment Model," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 315-339.
  23. Severin Reissl, 2021. "Heterogeneous expectations, forecasting behaviour and policy experiments in a hybrid Agent-based Stock-flow-consistent model," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 31(1), pages 251-299, January.
  24. Aldo Glielmo & Marco Favorito & Debmallya Chanda & Domenico Delli Gatti, 2023. "Reinforcement Learning for Combining Search Methods in the Calibration of Economic ABMs," Papers 2302.11835, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2023.
  25. Sander Hoog, 2019. "Surrogate Modelling in (and of) Agent-Based Models: A Prospectus," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 53(3), pages 1245-1263, March.
  26. Platt, Donovan, 2020. "A comparison of economic agent-based model calibration methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  27. Barde, Sylvain, 2020. "Macroeconomic simulation comparison with a multivariate extension of the Markov information criterion," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  28. Andrei I. Vlad & Alexei A. Romanyukha & Tatiana E. Sannikova, 2024. "Parameter Tuning of Agent-Based Models: Metaheuristic Algorithms," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-21, July.
  29. Andrea Vandin & Daniele Giachini & Francesco Lamperti & Francesca Chiaromonte, 2021. "Automated and Distributed Statistical Analysis of Economic Agent-Based Models," Papers 2102.05405, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
  30. Lux, Thomas, 2018. "Estimation of agent-based models using sequential Monte Carlo methods," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 391-408.
  31. Giorgio Fagiolo & Mattia Guerini & Francesco Lamperti & Alessio Moneta & Andrea Roventini, 2017. "Validation of Agent-Based Models in Economics and Finance," LEM Papers Series 2017/23, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  32. Siyan Chen & Saul Desiderio, 2022. "Calibration of Agent-Based Models by Means of Meta-Modeling and Nonparametric Regression," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(4), pages 1457-1478, December.
  33. Florian Kotthoff & Thomas Hamacher, 2022. "Calibrating Agent-Based Models of Innovation Diffusion with Gradients," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 25(3), pages 1-4.
  34. Majewski, Adam A. & Ciliberti, Stefano & Bouchaud, Jean-Philippe, 2020. "Co-existence of trend and value in financial markets: Estimating an extended Chiarella model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
  35. Karl Naumann-Woleske & Max Sina Knicker & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2022. "Exploration of the Parameter Space in Macroeconomic Models," Post-Print hal-03797418, HAL.
  36. Andrea Vandin & Daniele Giachini & Francesco Lamperti & Francesca Chiaromonte, 2020. "Automated and Distributed Statistical Analysis of Economic Agent-Based Models," LEM Papers Series 2020/31, Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy.
  37. Zila, Eric & Kukacka, Jiri, 2023. "Moment set selection for the SMM using simple machine learning," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 212(C), pages 366-391.
  38. Giacomo Ravaioli & Tiago Domingos & Ricardo F. M. Teixeira, 2023. "A Framework for Data-Driven Agent-Based Modelling of Agricultural Land Use," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-17, March.
  39. Donovan Platt, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Economic Simulation Models Using Neural Networks," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(2), pages 599-650, February.
  40. G. Rigatos, 2021. "Statistical Validation of Multi-Agent Financial Models Using the H-Infinity Kalman Filter," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 58(3), pages 777-798, October.
  41. Ramis Khabibullin & Alexey Ponomarenko, 2022. "An empirical behavioral model of household’s deposit dollarization," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(3), pages 827-847, July.
  42. Bernardo A. Furtado & Miguel A. Fuentes & Claudio J. Tessone, 2019. "Policy Modeling and Applications: State-of-the-Art and Perspectives," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-11, February.
  43. Noemi Schmitt & Ivonne Schwartz & Frank Westerhoff, 2022. "Heterogeneous speculators and stock market dynamics: a simple agent-based computational model," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(13-15), pages 1263-1282, October.
  44. Bernardo Alves Furtado & Gustavo Onofre Andre~ao, 2022. "Machine Learning Simulates Agent-Based Model Towards Policy," Papers 2203.02576, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  45. Barde, Sylvain, 2024. "Bayesian estimation of large-scale simulation models with Gaussian process regression surrogates," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
  46. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/401t6job098n79ch91o9giov9d is not listed on IDEAS
  47. Karl Naumann-Woleske & Max Sina Knicker & Michael Benzaquen & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2021. "Exploration of the Parameter Space in Macroeconomic Agent-Based Models," Papers 2111.08654, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
  48. Valdes Salvador & Gonzalo ValdesEdwards, 2023. "Microfoundations of Expected Utility and Response Times," Papers 2302.09421, arXiv.org.
  49. Gianluca Capone & Franco Malerba & Richard R. Nelson & Luigi Orsenigo & Sidney G. Winter, 2019. "History friendly models: retrospective and future perspectives," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(1), pages 1-23, March.
  50. Lux, Thomas, 2017. "Estimation of agent-based models using sequential Monte Carlo methods," Economics Working Papers 2017-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.
  51. Yuanlu Bai & Henry Lam & Svitlana Vyetrenko & Tucker Balch, 2021. "Efficient Calibration of Multi-Agent Simulation Models from Output Series with Bayesian Optimization," Papers 2112.03874, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
  52. Shiono, Takashi, 2021. "Estimation of agent-based models using Bayesian deep learning approach of BayesFlow," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
  53. Chenkai Wang & Junji Ren & Peng Yang, 2024. "Alleviating Non-identifiability: a High-fidelity Calibration Objective for Financial Market Simulation with Multivariate Time Series Data," Papers 2407.16566, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
  54. Andrea Coletta & Joseph Jerome & Rahul Savani & Svitlana Vyetrenko, 2023. "Conditional Generators for Limit Order Book Environments: Explainability, Challenges, and Robustness," Papers 2306.12806, arXiv.org.
  55. Kukacka, Jiri & Sacht, Stephen, 2023. "Estimation of heuristic switching in behavioral macroeconomic models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
  56. Aaron Wheeler & Jeffrey D. Varner, 2023. "Scalable Agent-Based Modeling for Complex Financial Market Simulations," Papers 2312.14903, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  57. Donovan Platt, 2019. "A Comparison of Economic Agent-Based Model Calibration Methods," Papers 1902.05938, arXiv.org.
  58. Francesco Lamperti & Andrea Roventini, 2022. "Beyond climate economics orthodoxy: impacts and policies in the agent-based integrated-assessment DSK model," European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 19(3), pages 357-380, December.
  59. Platt, Donovan & Gebbie, Tim, 2018. "Can agent-based models probe market microstructure?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1092-1106.
  60. Mert Edali & Gönenç Yücel, 2020. "Analysis of an individual‐based influenza epidemic model using random forest metamodels and adaptive sequential sampling," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 936-958, November.
  61. Gennaro Catapano & Francesco Franceschi & Valentina Michelangeli & Michele Loberto, 2021. "Macroprudential Policy Analysis via an Agent Based Model of the Real Estate Sector," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1338, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
  62. Minh Tran & Thanh Duong & Duc Pham-Hi & Marc Bui, 2020. "Detecting the Proportion of Traders in the Stock Market: An Agent-Based Approach," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-14, February.
  63. Sylvain Barde, 2022. "Bayesian Estimation of Large-Scale Simulation Models with Gaussian Process Regression Surrogates," Studies in Economics 2203, School of Economics, University of Kent.
  64. Francesco Lamperti, 2018. "Empirical validation of simulated models through the GSL-div: an illustrative application," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 13(1), pages 143-171, April.
  65. Ichiro Takahashi, 2021. "An Artificial Wicksell—Keynes Macroeconomy," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-981-16-6839-5, December.
  66. Hector O. Zapata & Supratik Mukhopadhyay, 2022. "A Bibliometric Analysis of Machine Learning Econometrics in Asset Pricing," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-17, November.
  67. Adam Majewski & Stefano Ciliberti & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2018. "Co-existence of Trend and Value in Financial Markets: Estimating an Extended Chiarella Model," Papers 1807.11751, arXiv.org.
  68. Ernesto Carrella & Richard Bailey & Jens Koed Madsen, 2020. "Calibrating Agent-Based Models with Linear Regressions," Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 23(1), pages 1-7.
  69. Kang Gao & Perukrishnen Vytelingum & Stephen Weston & Wayne Luk & Ce Guo, 2022. "High-frequency financial market simulation and flash crash scenarios analysis: an agent-based modelling approach," Papers 2208.13654, arXiv.org.
  70. Hung-Wen Lin & Jing-Bo Huang & Kun-Ben Lin & Shu-Heng Chen, 2022. "The competitions of time-varying and constant loadings in asset pricing models: empirical evidence and agent-based simulations," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 17(2), pages 577-612, April.
  71. Thomas J. Lampoltshammer & Heidrun Maurer & Nike Pulda & Peter Klimek & Jan Hurt & Ursula Rosenbichler, 2023. "Challenges toward Evidence-Based Policymaking Using Agent-Based Modeling for Federal Sports Grants: A Self-Reflection from a Transdisciplinary Project," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-34, February.
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