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It’s All in the Timing: Simple Active Portfolio Strategies that Outperform Naïve Diversification

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Carlos Trucíos & Mauricio Zevallos & Luiz K. Hotta & André A. P. Santos, 2019. "Covariance Prediction in Large Portfolio Allocation," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-24, May.
  2. Doan, Bao & Papageorgiou, Nicolas & Reeves, Jonathan J. & Sherris, Michael, 2018. "Portfolio management with targeted constant market volatility," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 134-147.
  3. Kircher, Felix & Rösch, Daniel, 2021. "A shrinkage approach for Sharpe ratio optimal portfolios with estimation risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  4. Hwang, Inchang & Xu, Simon & In, Francis, 2018. "Naive versus optimal diversification: Tail risk and performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 372-388.
  5. Rad, Hossein & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Miffre, Joëlle & Faff, Robert, 2020. "Does sophistication of the weighting scheme enhance the performance of long-short commodity portfolios?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 164-180.
  6. Florian Methling & Rüdiger Nitzsch, 2019. "Naïve diversification in thematic investing: heuristics for the core satellite investor," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(7), pages 568-580, December.
  7. Michael Pinelis & David Ruppert, 2020. "Machine Learning Portfolio Allocation," Papers 2003.00656, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
  8. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Miffre, Joëlle, 2019. "A comprehensive appraisal of style-integration methods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 134-150.
  9. Wolff, Dominik & Bessler, Wolfgang & Opfer, Heiko, 2012. "Multi-Asset Portfolio Optimization and Out-of-Sample Performance: An Evaluation of Black-Litterman, Mean Variance and Naïve Diversification Approaches," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century 62020, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  10. Cheng Yan & Ji Yan, 2021. "Optimal and naive diversification in an emerging market: Evidence from China's A‐shares market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3740-3758, July.
  11. João F. Caldeira & Guilherme V. Moura & Francisco J. Nogales & André A. P. Santos, 2017. "Combining Multivariate Volatility Forecasts: An Economic-Based Approach," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 15(2), pages 247-285.
  12. Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sutcliffe, Charles & Ye, Xiaoxia, 2021. "Horses for courses: Mean-variance for asset allocation and 1/N for stock selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 302-317.
  13. Massimo Guidolin & Erwin Hansen & Martín Lozano-Banda, 2018. "Portfolio performance of linear SDF models: an out-of-sample assessment," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(8), pages 1425-1436, August.
  14. Symitsi, Efthymia & Chalvatzis, Konstantinos J., 2019. "The economic value of Bitcoin: A portfolio analysis of currencies, gold, oil and stocks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 97-110.
  15. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2021. "Reduction of estimation risk in optimal portfolio choice using redundant constraints," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  16. Fan, Minyou & Kearney, Fearghal & Li, Youwei & Liu, Jiadong, 2022. "Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  17. Han, Yufeng & Hu, Ting & Yang, Jian, 2016. "Are there exploitable trends in commodity futures prices?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 214-234.
  18. Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Iason Kynigakis, 2021. "Machine Learning and Factor-Based Portfolio Optimization," Working Papers 202111, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
  19. Johannes Bock, 2018. "An updated review of (sub-)optimal diversification models," Papers 1811.08255, arXiv.org.
  20. Hsu, Po-Hsuan & Han, Qiheng & Wu, Wensheng & Cao, Zhiguang, 2018. "Asset allocation strategies, data snooping, and the 1 / N rule," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 257-269.
  21. Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sakkas, Athanasios & Sutcliffe, Charles, 2019. "Harmful diversification: Evidence from alternative investments," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 1-23.
  22. Rad, Hossein & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Miffre, Joëlle & Faff, Robert, 2022. "The strategic allocation to style-integrated portfolios of commodity futures," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
  23. Jules Sadefo Kamdem, 2023. "Risk-Adjusted Performance And Semi-Moments Of Non-Gaussian Portfolio Returns Distributions," Working Papers hal-04134833, HAL.
  24. Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Zhao, Nan, 2023. "A Bayesian perspective on commodity style integration," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  25. Wang, Chou-Wen & Liu, Kai & Li, Bin & Tan, Ken Seng, 2022. "Portfolio optimization under multivariate affine generalized hyperbolic distributions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 49-66.
  26. Trung H. Le & Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael Markellos, 2023. "Modeling skewness in portfolio choice," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 734-770, June.
  27. A. Burak Paç & Mustafa Ç. Pınar, 2018. "On robust portfolio and naïve diversification: mixing ambiguous and unambiguous assets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 223-253, July.
  28. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2022. "Orthogonal portfolios to assess estimation risk," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 906-937.
  29. Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Miffre, Joelle, 2021. "The risk premia of energy futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
  30. Michael Curran & Patrick O'Sullivan & Ryan Zalla, 2020. "Can Volatility Solve the Naive Portfolio Puzzle?," Papers 2005.03204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
  31. Bazgour, Tarik & Heuchenne, Cedric & Sougné, Danielle, 2016. "Conditional portfolio allocation: Does aggregate market liquidity matter?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 110-135.
  32. Lassance, Nathan & Vanderveken, Rodolphe & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "On the optimal combination of naive and mean-variance portfolio strategies," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
  33. Fabrizio Cipollini & Giampiero M. Gallo & Alessandro Palandri, 2020. "A dynamic conditional approach to portfolio weights forecasting," Papers 2004.12400, arXiv.org.
  34. Díaz, Antonio & Esparcia, Carlos & Huélamo, Diego, 2023. "Stablecoins as a tool to mitigate the downside risk of cryptocurrency portfolios," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  35. David Happersberger & Harald Lohre & Ingmar Nolte, 2020. "Estimating portfolio risk for tail risk protection strategies," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 26(4), pages 1107-1146, September.
  36. Carroll, Rachael & Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Salvador, Enrique, 2017. "Asset allocation with correlation: A composite trade-off," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1164-1180.
  37. Cederburg, Scott & O’Doherty, Michael S. & Wang, Feifei & Yan, Xuemin (Sterling), 2020. "On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 95-117.
  38. Stadtmüller, Immo & Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2022. "On the benefits of active stock selection strategies for diversified investors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 342-354.
  39. Dahlquist, Magnus & Hasseltoft, Henrik, 2020. "Economic momentum and currency returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(1), pages 152-167.
  40. Markus Hirschberger & Ralph E. Steuer & Sebastian Utz & Maximilian Wimmer & Yue Qi, 2013. "Computing the Nondominated Surface in Tri-Criterion Portfolio Selection," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 61(1), pages 169-183, February.
  41. Eduardo C. Garrido-Merch'an & Gabriel Gonz'alez Piris & Maria Coronado Vaca, 2023. "Bayesian Optimization of ESG Financial Investments," Papers 2303.01485, arXiv.org.
  42. Santos, André Alves Portela & Ferreira, Alexandre R., 2017. "On the choice of covariance specifications for portfolio selection problems," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 37(1), May.
  43. Caldeira, João F. & Santos, André A.P. & Torrent, Hudson S., 2023. "Semiparametric portfolios: Improving portfolio performance by exploiting non-linearities in firm characteristics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  44. Erindi Allaj, 2020. "The Black–Litterman model and views from a reverse optimization procedure: an out-of-sample performance evaluation," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 465-492, October.
  45. Davide Lauria & W. Brent Lindquist & Stefan Mittnik & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2022. "ESG-Valued Portfolio Optimization and Dynamic Asset Pricing," Papers 2206.02854, arXiv.org.
  46. Qiao, W. & Bu, D. & Gibberd, A. & Liao, Y. & Wen, T. & Li, E., 2023. "When “time varying” volatility meets “transaction cost” in portfolio selection," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 220-237.
  47. Chulwoo Han, 2020. "How much should portfolios shrink?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 49(3), pages 707-740, September.
  48. Cotter, John & Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel & Potì, Valerio, 2017. "Predictability and diversification benefits of investing in commodity and currency futures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 52-66.
  49. Huang, Hung-Hsi & Lin, Shin-Hung & Wang, Ching-Ping & Chiu, Chia-Yung, 2014. "Adjusting MV-efficient portfolio frontier bias for skewed and non-mesokurtic returns," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 59-83.
  50. Humphrey, Jacquelyn E. & Benson, Karen L. & Low, Rand K.Y. & Lee, Wei-Lun, 2015. "Is diversification always optimal?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 35(PB), pages 521-532.
  51. Kolev, Gueorgui I. & Karapandza, Rasa, 2017. "Out-of-sample equity premium predictability and sample split–invariant inference," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 188-201.
  52. Vigo Pereira, Caio, 2021. "Portfolio efficiency with high-dimensional data as conditioning information," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  53. Donatien Tafin Djoko & Yves Till�, 2015. "Selection of balanced portfolios to track the main properties of a large market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(2), pages 359-370, February.
  54. Raymond Kan & Xiaolu Wang & Guofu Zhou, 2022. "Optimal Portfolio Choice with Estimation Risk: No Risk-Free Asset Case," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(3), pages 2047-2068, March.
  55. Wang, Feifei & Yan, Xuemin Sterling, 2021. "Downside risk and the performance of volatility-managed portfolios," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
  56. Carolina Fugazza & Massimo Guidolin & Giovanna Nicodano, 2015. "Equally Weighted vs. Long†Run Optimal Portfolios," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 21(4), pages 742-789, September.
  57. Iason Kynigakis & Ekaterini Panopoulou, 2022. "Does model complexity add value to asset allocation? Evidence from machine learning forecasting models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(3), pages 603-639, April.
  58. Alemany, Nuria & Aragó, Vicent & Salvador, Enrique, 2020. "The distribution of index futures realised volatility under seasonality and microstructure noise," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 398-414.
  59. Barroso, Pedro & Detzel, Andrew, 2021. "Do limits to arbitrage explain the benefits of volatility-managed portfolios?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(3), pages 744-767.
  60. Han, Chulwoo, 2020. "A nonparametric approach to portfolio shrinkage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  61. Yan, Cheng & Zhang, Huazhu, 2017. "Mean-variance versus naïve diversification: The role of mispricing," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 61-81.
  62. Bian, Zhicun & Liao, Yin & O’Neill, Michael & Shi, Jing & Zhang, Xueyong, 2020. "Large-scale minimum variance portfolio allocation using double regularization," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  63. Richard Luger, 2024. "Regularizing stock return covariance matrices via multiple testing of correlations," Papers 2407.09696, arXiv.org.
  64. Zakamulin, Valeriy & Giner, Javier, 2023. "Optimal trend-following with transaction costs," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
  65. Calice, Giovanni & Lin, Ming-Tsung, 2021. "Exploring risk premium factors for country equity returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 294-322.
  66. Fethke, Tobias & Prokopczuk, Marcel, 2018. "Is Commodity Index Investing Profitable?," Hannover Economic Papers (HEP) dp-635, Leibniz Universität Hannover, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät.
  67. Füss, Roland & Miebs, Felix & Trübenbach, Fabian, 2014. "A jackknife-type estimator for portfolio revision," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 14-28.
  68. Chuting Sun & Qi Wu & Xing Yan, 2023. "Dynamic CVaR Portfolio Construction with Attention-Powered Generative Factor Learning," Papers 2301.07318, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
  69. Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A. P., 2019. "Comparing Forecasts of Extremely Large Conditional Covariance Matrices," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 29291, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  70. Santos, André A.P. & Torrent, Hudson S., 2022. "Markowitz meets technical analysis: Building optimal portfolios by exploiting information in trend-following signals," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  71. Bessler, Wolfgang & Wolff, Dominik, 2015. "Do commodities add value in multi-asset portfolios? An out-of-sample analysis for different investment strategies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 1-20.
  72. Zakamulin, Valeriy, 2017. "Superiority of optimized portfolios to naive diversification: Fact or fiction?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 22(C), pages 122-128.
  73. Hsu, Ching-Chi & Chen, Miao-Ling, 2021. "Currency momentum strategies based on the Chinese Yuan: Timing of foreign exchange volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  74. Apostolos Kourtis & Raphael N. Markellos & Lazaros Symeonidis, 2016. "An International Comparison of Implied, Realized, and GARCH Volatility Forecasts," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(12), pages 1164-1193, December.
  75. Fletcher, Jonathan & Basu, Devraj, 2016. "An examination of the benefits of dynamic trading strategies in U.K. closed-end funds," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 109-118.
  76. Víctor Adame-García & Fernando Fernández-Rodríguez & Simón Sosvilla-Rivero, 2017. "“Resolution of optimization problems and construction of efficient portfolios: An application to the Euro Stoxx 50 index"," IREA Working Papers 201702, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Feb 2017.
  77. Hubert Dichtl & Wolfgang Drobetz & Viktoria‐Sophie Wendt, 2021. "How to build a factor portfolio: Does the allocation strategy matter?," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 27(1), pages 20-58, January.
  78. Sebastian Lobe & Christoph Schmidhammer & Jennifer Pickel, 2013. "Don’t Cry for Me Germania?," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 65(7), pages 688-706, December.
  79. Chunyang Zhou & Chongfeng Wu & Weidong Xu, 2020. "Incorporating time‐varying jump intensities in the mean‐variance portfolio decisions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 460-478, March.
  80. Sun, Chuting & Wu, Qi & Yan, Xing, 2024. "Dynamic CVaR portfolio construction with attention-powered generative factor learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
  81. Oikonomou, Ioannis & Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sutcliffe, Charles, 2018. "Socially responsible investment portfolios: Does the optimization process matter?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 379-401.
  82. Henryk Gzyl & Alfredo Rios, 2018. "Which portfolio is better? A discussion of several possible comparison criteria," Papers 1805.06345, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
  83. Qiuzhuo Ma & Krishna P Paudel & Liting Gu & Xiaowei Wen, 2018. "An application of a cardinality-constrained multiple benchmark tracking error model on a plant enterprise selection problem," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(5), pages 677-721.
  84. M. Ryan Haley, 2017. "K-fold cross validation performance comparisons of six naive portfolio selection rules: how naive can you be and still have successful out-of-sample portfolio performance?," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 341-353, August.
  85. Moura, Guilherme V. & Santos, André A.P. & Ruiz, Esther, 2020. "Comparing high-dimensional conditional covariance matrices: Implications for portfolio selection," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 118(C).
  86. Topaloglou, Nikolas & Vladimirou, Hercules & Zenios, Stavros A., 2020. "Integrated dynamic models for hedging international portfolio risks," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 285(1), pages 48-65.
  87. Yuki Shigeta, 2017. "Portfolio selections under mean-variance preference with multiple priors for means and variances," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 97-124, February.
  88. Irina Murtazashvili & Nadia Vozlyublennaia, 2013. "Diversification Strategies: Do Limited Data Constrain Investors?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 36(2), pages 215-232, June.
  89. Kalotychou, Elena & Staikouras, Sotiris K. & Zhao, Gang, 2014. "The role of correlation dynamics in sector allocation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 1-12.
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  91. Yang, Junmin & Cao, Zhiguang & Han, Qiheng & Wang, Qiyu, 2019. "Tactical asset allocation on technical trading rules and data snooping," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
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