IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v266y2018i1d10.1007_s10479-017-2619-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

On robust portfolio and naïve diversification: mixing ambiguous and unambiguous assets

Author

Listed:
  • A. Burak Paç

    (Bilkent University)

  • Mustafa Ç. Pınar

    (Bilkent University)

Abstract

Effect of the availability of a riskless asset on the performance of naïve diversification strategies has been a controversial issue. Defining an investment environment containing both ambiguous and unambiguous assets, we investigate the performance of naïve diversification over ambiguous assets. For the ambiguous assets, returns follow a multivariate distribution involving distributional uncertainty. A nominal distribution estimate is assumed to exist, and the actual distribution is considered to be within a ball around this nominal distribution. Complete information is assumed for the return distribution of unambiguous assets. As the radius of uncertainty increases, the optimal choice on ambiguous assets is shown to converge to the uniform portfolio with equal weights on each asset. The tendency of the investor to avoid ambiguous assets in response to increasing uncertainty is proven, with a shift towards unambiguous assets. With an application on the $$\textit{CVaR}$$ CVaR risk measure, we derive rules for optimally combining uniform ambiguous portfolio with the unambiguous assets.

Suggested Citation

  • A. Burak Paç & Mustafa Ç. Pınar, 2018. "On robust portfolio and naïve diversification: mixing ambiguous and unambiguous assets," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 266(1), pages 223-253, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:266:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-017-2619-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-017-2619-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10479-017-2619-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-017-2619-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. A. Paç & Mustafa Pınar, 2014. "Robust portfolio choice with CVaR and VaR under distribution and mean return ambiguity," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 875-891, October.
    2. Gabriel Frahm & Tobias Wickern & Christof Wiechers, 2012. "Multiple tests for the performance of different investment strategies," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 96(3), pages 343-383, July.
    3. Jacobs, Heiko & Müller, Sebastian & Weber, Martin, 2014. "How should individual investors diversify? An empirical evaluation of alternative asset allocation policies," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 62-85.
    4. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Raman Uppal, 2009. "Optimal Versus Naive Diversification: How Inefficient is the 1-N Portfolio Strategy?," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(5), pages 1915-1953, May.
    5. Massimo Guidolin & Francesca Rinaldi, 2013. "Ambiguity in asset pricing and portfolio choice: a review of the literature," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 74(2), pages 183-217, February.
    6. Fletcher, Jonathan, 2011. "Do optimal diversification strategies outperform the 1/N strategy in U.K. stock returns?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 375-385.
    7. Francesco Cesarone & Jacopo Moretti & Fabio Tardella, 2016. "Optimally chosen small portfolios are better than large ones," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 36(4), pages 1876-1891.
    8. Kan, Raymond & Zhou, Guofu, 2007. "Optimal Portfolio Choice with Parameter Uncertainty," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 42(3), pages 621-656, September.
    9. Victor DeMiguel & Lorenzo Garlappi & Francisco J. Nogales & Raman Uppal, 2009. "A Generalized Approach to Portfolio Optimization: Improving Performance by Constraining Portfolio Norms," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 798-812, May.
    10. Richard H. Thaler & Shlomo Benartzi, 2001. "Naive Diversification Strategies in Defined Contribution Saving Plans," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(1), pages 79-98, March.
    11. Wolfgang Bessler & Heiko Opfer & Dominik Wolff, 2017. "Multi-asset portfolio optimization and out-of-sample performance: an evaluation of Black–Litterman, mean-variance, and naïve diversification approaches," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(1), pages 1-30, January.
    12. Owen, Joel & Rabinovitch, Ramon, 1983. "On the Class of Elliptical Distributions and Their Applications to the Theory of Portfolio Choice," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 745-752, June.
    13. Carolina Fugazza & Massimo Guidolin & Giovanna Nicodano, 2015. "Equally Weighted vs. Long†Run Optimal Portfolios," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 21(4), pages 742-789, September.
    14. Kirby, Chris & Ostdiek, Barbara, 2012. "It’s All in the Timing: Simple Active Portfolio Strategies that Outperform Naïve Diversification," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 47(2), pages 437-467, April.
    15. Tu, Jun & Zhou, Guofu, 2011. "Markowitz meets Talmud: A combination of sophisticated and naive diversification strategies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(1), pages 204-215, January.
    16. Frank Fabozzi & Dashan Huang & Guofu Zhou, 2010. "Robust portfolios: contributions from operations research and finance," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 176(1), pages 191-220, April.
    17. Behr, Patrick & Guettler, Andre & Miebs, Felix, 2013. "On portfolio optimization: Imposing the right constraints," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 1232-1242.
    18. Pflug, Georg Ch. & Pichler, Alois & Wozabal, David, 2012. "The 1/N investment strategy is optimal under high model ambiguity," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 410-417.
    19. Alison L. Gibbs & Francis Edward Su, 2002. "On Choosing and Bounding Probability Metrics," International Statistical Review, International Statistical Institute, vol. 70(3), pages 419-435, December.
    20. Irina Murtazashvili & Nadia Vozlyublennaia, 2013. "Diversification Strategies: Do Limited Data Constrain Investors?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 36(2), pages 215-232, June.
    21. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bonaccolto, Giovanni & Caporin, Massimiliano & Maillet, Bertrand B., 2022. "Dynamic large financial networks via conditional expected shortfalls," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 298(1), pages 322-336.
    2. Alireza Ghahtarani & Ahmed Saif & Alireza Ghasemi, 2022. "Robust portfolio selection problems: a comprehensive review," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 3203-3264, September.
    3. Giuseppe Pandolfo & Carmela Iorio & Roberta Siciliano & Antonio D’Ambrosio, 2020. "Robust mean-variance portfolio through the weighted $$L^{p}$$ L p depth function," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 292(1), pages 519-531, September.
    4. Andrew J. Keith & Darryl K. Ahner, 2021. "A survey of decision making and optimization under uncertainty," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 300(2), pages 319-353, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Michael Curran & Patrick O'Sullivan & Ryan Zalla, 2020. "Can Volatility Solve the Naive Portfolio Puzzle?," Papers 2005.03204, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    2. Lassance, Nathan & Vanderveken, Rodolphe & Vrins, Frédéric, 2022. "On the optimal combination of naive and mean-variance portfolio strategies," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2022006, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    3. Cheng Yan & Ji Yan, 2021. "Optimal and naive diversification in an emerging market: Evidence from China's A‐shares market," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3740-3758, July.
    4. Carroll, Rachael & Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Salvador, Enrique, 2017. "Asset allocation with correlation: A composite trade-off," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 262(3), pages 1164-1180.
    5. Johannes Bock, 2018. "An updated review of (sub-)optimal diversification models," Papers 1811.08255, arXiv.org.
    6. Hwang, Inchang & Xu, Simon & In, Francis, 2018. "Naive versus optimal diversification: Tail risk and performance," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(1), pages 372-388.
    7. Kircher, Felix & Rösch, Daniel, 2021. "A shrinkage approach for Sharpe ratio optimal portfolios with estimation risks," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    8. Stadtmüller, Immo & Auer, Benjamin R. & Schuhmacher, Frank, 2022. "On the benefits of active stock selection strategies for diversified investors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 342-354.
    9. Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sutcliffe, Charles & Ye, Xiaoxia, 2021. "Horses for courses: Mean-variance for asset allocation and 1/N for stock selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 288(1), pages 302-317.
    10. Erindi Allaj, 2020. "The Black–Litterman model and views from a reverse optimization procedure: an out-of-sample performance evaluation," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 465-492, October.
    11. Han, Chulwoo, 2020. "A nonparametric approach to portfolio shrinkage," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    12. Yan, Cheng & Zhang, Huazhu, 2017. "Mean-variance versus naïve diversification: The role of mispricing," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 61-81.
    13. Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sakkas, Athanasios & Sutcliffe, Charles, 2019. "Harmful diversification: Evidence from alternative investments," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 1-23.
    14. Oikonomou, Ioannis & Platanakis, Emmanouil & Sutcliffe, Charles, 2018. "Socially responsible investment portfolios: Does the optimization process matter?," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 379-401.
    15. Rad, Hossein & Low, Rand Kwong Yew & Miffre, Joëlle & Faff, Robert, 2020. "Does sophistication of the weighting scheme enhance the performance of long-short commodity portfolios?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 164-180.
    16. Chavez-Bedoya, Luis & Rosales, Francisco, 2021. "Reduction of estimation risk in optimal portfolio choice using redundant constraints," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    17. Michael Senescall & Rand Kwong Yew Low, 2024. "Quantitative Portfolio Management: Review and Outlook," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-25, September.
    18. Immo Stadtmüller & Benjamin R. Auer & Frank Schuhmacher, 2024. "Core-satellite investing with commodity futures momentum," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 25(3), pages 261-287, May.
    19. Zhu, Bo & Zhang, Tianlun, 2021. "Long-term wealth growth portfolio allocation under parameter uncertainty: A non-conservative robust approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    20. Füss, Roland & Miebs, Felix & Trübenbach, Fabian, 2014. "A jackknife-type estimator for portfolio revision," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 14-28.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:266:y:2018:i:1:d:10.1007_s10479-017-2619-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.