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Estimating the underlying change in unemployment in the UK
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- Du, Rex Yuxing & Kamakura, Wagner A., 2015. "Improving the statistical performance of tracking studies based on repeated cross-sections with primary dynamic factor analysis," International Journal of Research in Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 94-112.
- Huang, Yu-Lieh, 2012. "Measuring business cycles: A temporal disaggregation model with regime switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 283-290.
- Andrew C. Harvey, 2020. "Time series models for epidemics: leading indicators, control groups and policy assessment," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 517, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
- Cecilia Frale, Serena Teobaldo, Marco Cacciotti, Alessandra Caretta, 2013. "A Quarterly Measure Of Potential Output In The New European Fiscal Framework," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 181-197, April-Jun.
- Jaworski Stanisław, 2020. "A Few Remarks on the Stochastic Structure of the Unemployment Rate in Poland by Gender," Econometrics. Advances in Applied Data Analysis, Sciendo, vol. 24(2), pages 41-52, June.
- Javier Pérez & A. Sánchez, 2011.
"Is there a signalling role for public wages? Evidence for the euro area based on macro data,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 421-445, October.
- Javier J. Pérez & A. Jesús Sánchez, 2009. "Is there a signalling role for public wages? Evidence for the euro area based on macro data," Working Papers 0934, Banco de España.
- Pérez, Javier J. & Sánchez, Jesús, 2010. "Is there a signalling role for public wages? Evidence for the euro area based on macro data," Working Paper Series 1148, European Central Bank.
- Víctor Gómez & Félix Aparicio‐Pérez, 2009. "A new state–space methodology to disaggregate multivariate time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 97-124, January.
- Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the Output Gap," Working Papers LuissLab 13103, Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza, LUISS Guido Carli.
- Jan A. Brakel & Sabine Krieg, 2016. "Small area estimation with state space common factor models for rotating panels," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(3), pages 763-791, June.
- Caterina Schiavoni & Siem Jan Koopman & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2021. "Time-varying state correlations in state space models and their estimation via indirect inference," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 21-020/III, Tinbergen Institute.
- Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, "undated".
"FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure,"
Working Papers
3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Libero Monteforte, 2011. "FaMIDAS: A Mixed Frequency Factor Model with MIDAS structure," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 788, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- John McDermott & Viv B. Hall, "undated".
"A quarterly Post-World War II Real GDP Series for New Zealand,"
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series
DP2009/12, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Viv Hall & John McDermott, 2007. "A Quarterly Post-World War II Real GDP Series for New Zealand," Working Papers 07_13, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research.
- Sieds, 2013. "Complete Volume LXVII n.2 2013," RIEDS - Rivista Italiana di Economia, Demografia e Statistica - The Italian Journal of Economic, Demographic and Statistical Studies, SIEDS Societa' Italiana di Economia Demografia e Statistica, vol. 67(2), pages 1-197, April-Jun.
- Caio Gonçalves & Luna Hidalgo & Denise Silva & Jan van den Brakel, 2022. "Single‐month unemployment rate estimates for the Brazilian Labour Force Survey using state‐space models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 1707-1732, October.
- Pedregal, Diego J. & Pérez, Javier J., 2010.
"Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillance in Europe?,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 794-807, October.
- Pérez, Javier J. & Pedregal, Diego J., 2008. "Should quarterly government finance statistics be used for fiscal surveillane in Europe?," Working Paper Series 937, European Central Bank.
- Caterina Schiavoni & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2021.
"A dynamic factor model approach to incorporate Big Data in state space models for official statistics,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(1), pages 324-353, January.
- Caterina Schiavoni & Franz Palm & Stephan Smeekes & Jan van den Brakel, 2019. "A dynamic factor model approach to incorporate Big Data in state space models for official statistics," Papers 1901.11355, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2020.
- Orair, Rodrigo Octávio & Silva, Wesley de Jesus, 2013. "Subnational Government Investment in Brazil: Estimation and Analysis by State Space Models," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 33(1), September.
- Marco Cacciotti & Cecilia Frale & Serena Teobaldo, 2013. "A new methodology for a quarterly measure of the output gap," Working Papers 6, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2006.
"Temporal disaggregation by state space methods: Dynamic regression methods revisited,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 9(3), pages 357-372, November.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2004. "Temporal Disaggregation by State Space Methods: Dynamic Regression Methods Revisited," Econometrics 0411011, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Weigand Roland & Wanger Susanne & Zapf Ines, 2018.
"Factor Structural Time Series Models for Official Statistics with an Application to Hours Worked in Germany,"
Journal of Official Statistics, Sciendo, vol. 34(1), pages 265-301, March.
- Weigand, Roland & Wanger, Susanne & Zapf, Ines, 2015. "Factor structural time series models for official statistics with an application to hours worked in Germany," IAB-Discussion Paper 201522, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
- David J. Hand, 2018. "Statistical challenges of administrative and transaction data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 181(3), pages 555-605, June.
- Krieg, Sabine & van den Brakel, Jan A., 2012. "Estimation of the monthly unemployment rate for six domains through structural time series modelling with cointegrated trends," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(10), pages 2918-2933.
- Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2021.
"Nowcasting monthly GDP with big data: A model averaging approach,"
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 184(2), pages 683-706, April.
- Tommaso Proietti & Alessandro Giovannelli, 2020. "Nowcasting Monthly GDP with Big Data: a Model Averaging Approach," CEIS Research Paper 482, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 12 May 2020.
- Hanjo Odendaal & Monique Reid & Johann F. Kirsten, 2020.
"Media‐Based Sentiment Indices as an Alternative Measure of Consumer Confidence,"
South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(4), pages 409-434, December.
- Nicolaas Johannes Odendaal & Monique Reid, 2018. "Media based sentiment indices as an alternative measure of consumer confidence," Working Papers 17/2018, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
- Paredes, Joan & Pedregal, Diego J. & Pérez, Javier J., 2009.
"A quarterly fiscal database for the euro area based on intra-annual fiscal information,"
Working Paper Series
1132, European Central Bank.
- Joan Paredes & Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez, 2009. "A quarterly fiscal database for the euro area based on intra-annual fiscal information," Working Papers 0935, Banco de España.
- Tommaso Proietti & Alessandra Luati, 2013.
"Maximum likelihood estimation of time series models: the Kalman filter and beyond,"
Chapters, in: Nigar Hashimzade & Michael A. Thornton (ed.), Handbook of Research Methods and Applications in Empirical Macroeconomics, chapter 15, pages 334-362,
Edward Elgar Publishing.
- Luati, Alessandra & Proietti, Tommaso, 2012. "Maximum likelihood estimation of time series models: the Kalman filter and beyond," Working Papers 2012_02, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Tommaso, Proietti & Alessandra, Luati, 2012. "Maximum likelihood estimation of time series models: the Kalman filter and beyond," MPRA Paper 39600, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Laura Bisio & Filippo Moauro, 2018.
"Temporal disaggregation by dynamic regressions: Recent developments in Italian quarterly national accounts,"
Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 72(4), pages 471-494, November.
- Bisio, Laura & Moauro, Filippo, 2017. "Temporal disaggregation by dynamic regressions: recent developments in Italian quarterly national accounts," MPRA Paper 80211, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 14 Jul 2017.
- Koopman, Siem Jan & Harvey, Andrew, 2003.
"Computing observation weights for signal extraction and filtering,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(7), pages 1317-1333, May.
- A. C. Harvey & Siem Jan Koopman, 2000. "Computing Observation Weights for Signal Extraction and Filtering," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0888, Econometric Society.
- Jo Thori Lind, 2002. "Small continuous surveys and the Kalman filter," Discussion Papers 333, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
- Eliana González & Luis F. Melo & Luis E. Rojas & Brayan Rojas, 2011.
"Estimations of the Natural Rate of Interest in Colombia,"
Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 33-75, January-J.
- Eliana González & Luis F. Melo & Luis E. Rojas & Brayan Rojas, 2010. "Estimations of the natural rate of interest in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 7667, Banco de la Republica.
- Eliana González & Luis F. Melo & Luis E. Rojas & Brayan Rojas, 2010. "Estimations of the natural rate of interest in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 626, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Jo Thori Lind, 2005.
"Repeated surveys and the Kalman filter,"
Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 8(3), pages 418-427, December.
- Lind, Jo Thori, 2004. "Repeated surveys and the Kalman filter," Memorandum 19/2004, Oslo University, Department of Economics.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2008.
"A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP,"
Economics Working Papers
ECO2008/32, European University Institute.
- Marcellino, Massimiliano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Mazzi, Gian Luigi, 2008. "A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP," CEPR Discussion Papers 7007, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Cecilia Frale, "undated". "Do Surveys Help in Macroeconomic Variables Disaggregation and Estimation?," Working Papers wp2008-2, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2010.
"Survey data as coincident or leading indicators,"
Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1-2), pages 109-131.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, "undated". "Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators," Working Papers 3, Department of the Treasury, Ministry of the Economy and of Finance.
- Cecilia Frale & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gian Luigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators," Economics Working Papers ECO2009/19, European University Institute.
- Pedregal, D.J. & Dejuán, O. & Gómez, N. & Tobarra, M.A., 2009. "Modelling demand for crude oil products in Spain," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(11), pages 4417-4427, November.
- Xinshuai Dong & Haoyue Dai & Yewen Fan & Songyao Jin & Sathyamoorthy Rajendran & Kun Zhang, 2023. "On the Three Demons in Causality in Finance: Time Resolution, Nonstationarity, and Latent Factors," Papers 2401.05414, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
- Moauro, Filippo, 2010. "A monthly indicator of employment in the euro area: real time analysis of indirect estimates," MPRA Paper 27797, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Dec 2010.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2008.
"Band spectral estimation for signal extraction,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 54-69, January.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2007. "Band Spectral Estimation for Signal Extraction," CEIS Research Paper 104, Tor Vergata University, CEIS.
- Andrew C. Harvey, 2002.
"Trends, Cycles, and Convergence,"
Central Banking, Analysis, and Economic Policies Book Series, in: Norman Loayza & Raimundo Soto & Norman Loayza (Series Editor) & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel (Series Editor) (ed.),Economic Growth: Sources, Trends, and Cycles, edition 1, volume 6, chapter 8, pages 221-250,
Central Bank of Chile.
- Andrew Harvey, 2002. "Trends, Cycles and Convergence," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 155, Central Bank of Chile.
- Wanger, Susanne & Weigand, Roland & Zapf, Ines, 2014. "Revision der IAB-Arbeitszeitrechnung 2014 : Grundlagen, methodische Weiterentwicklungen sowie ausgewählte Ergebnisse im Rahmen der Revision der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen," IAB-Forschungsbericht 201409, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
- Rolando Peláez, 2012. "The housing bubble in real-time: the end of innocence," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 36(1), pages 211-225, January.
- Fabio H. Nieto & Luis Fernando Melo, 2001.
"About a Coincident Index for the State of the Economy,"
Borradores de Economia
1938, Banco de la Republica.
- Fabio H. Nieto & Luis Fernando Melo, 2001. "About a Coincidente Index for the State of the Economy," Borradores de Economia 194, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
- Danny Pfeffermann, 2022. "Time series modelling of repeated survey data for estimation of finite population parameters," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(4), pages 1757-1777, October.
- Grassi, Stefano & Proietti, Tommaso & Frale, Cecilia & Marcellino, Massimiliano & Mazzi, Gianluigi, 2015.
"EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 712-738.
- Cecilia Frale & Stefano Grassi & Massimiliano Marcellino & Gianluigi Mazzi & Tommaso Proietti, 2013. "EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries," CEIS Research Paper 287, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 01 Oct 2013.
- Veenstra, Joost, 2015. "Output growth in German manufacturing, 1907–1936. A reinterpretation of time-series evidence," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 38-49.
- Diego J. Pedregal & Javier J. Pérez & Antonio Sánchez Fuentes, 2014. "A Tookit to strengthen Government," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 211(4), pages 117-146, December.
- Francisco de Castro & Francisco Martí & Antonio Montesinos & Javier J. Pérez & A. Jesús Sánchez-Fuentes, 2014. "Fiscal policies in Spain: Main stylises facts revisited," Working Papers 1408, Banco de España.
- Teresa Leal & Diego Pedregal & Javier Pérez, 2011. "Short-term monitoring of the Spanish government balance," SERIEs: Journal of the Spanish Economic Association, Springer;Spanish Economic Association, vol. 2(1), pages 97-119, March.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2008. "Estimation of Common Factors under Cross-Sectional and Temporal Aggregation Constraints: Nowcasting Monthly GDP and its Main Components," MPRA Paper 6860, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David Leuwer & Bernd Süssmuth, 2018. "Assessing Temporary Product-Specific Subsidies: A Time Series Intervention Analysis," CESifo Working Paper Series 6946, CESifo.
- Nicholas T. Longford, 2004. "Missing data and small area estimation in the UK Labour Force Survey," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 167(2), pages 341-373, May.