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State-Level Business Cycles and Local Return Predictability

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Smajlbegovic, Esad, 2019. "Regional Economic Activity and Stock Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 54(3), pages 1051-1082, June.
  2. Carosi, Andrea, 2016. "Do local causations matter? The effect of firm location on the relations of ROE, R&D, and firm SIZE with MARKET-TO-BOOK," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 388-409.
  3. Ihtisham A. Malik & Robert Faff, 2022. "Industry market reaction to natural disasters: do firm characteristics and disaster magnitude matter?," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 111(3), pages 2963-2994, April.
  4. Brushwood, James & Dhaliwal, Dan & Fairhurst, Douglas & Serfling, Matthew, 2016. "Property crime, earnings variability, and the cost of capital," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 142-173.
  5. Pinto-Gutiérrez, Cristian A., 2023. "Drought risk and the cost of debt in the mining industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  6. Zifeng Feng, 2022. "How Does Local Economy Affect Commercial Property Performance?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(3), pages 361-383, October.
  7. Justin Birru & Fernando Chague & Rodrigo De-Losso & Bruno Giovannetti, 2024. "Attention and Biases: Evidence from Tax-Inattentive Investors," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(10), pages 7101-7119, October.
  8. Xingyue Pu & Stefan Zohren & Stephen Roberts & Xiaowen Dong, 2023. "Learning to Learn Financial Networks for Optimising Momentum Strategies," Papers 2308.12212, arXiv.org.
  9. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Political Geography and Stock Market Volatility: The Role of Political Alignment across Sentiment Regimes," Working Papers 202414, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  10. Bellocca, Gian Pietro Enzo & Poncela Blanco, Maria Pilar, 2024. "Extreme temperatures and the profitability of large European firms," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 44217, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
  11. Hasan, Iftekhar & Shen, Yi & Yuan, Xiaojing, 2021. "Local product market competition and bank loans," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  12. Chongyu Wang & Jeffrey P. Cohen & John L. Glascock, 2019. "Geographic Proximity and Competition for Scarce Capital: Evidence from U.S. REITs," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 535-570.
  13. Bonato, Matteo & Cepni, Oguzhan & Gupta, Rangan & Pierdzioch, Christian, 2023. "Climate risks and state-level stock market realized volatility," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  14. Lartey, Theophilus & Danso, Albert & Owusu-Agyei, Samuel, 2020. "CEOs' market sentiment and corporate innovation: The role of financial uncertainty, competition and capital intensity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
  15. Hadhri, Sinda & Ftiti, Zied, 2017. "Stock return predictability in emerging markets: Does the choice of predictors and models matter across countries?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 39-60.
  16. Massimiliano Caporin & Petre Caraiani & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2024. "Predicting the Conditional Distribution of US Stock Market Systemic Stress: The Role of Climate Risks," Working Papers 202407, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  17. Bourdeau-Brien, Michael & Kryzanowski, Lawrence, 2017. "The impact of natural disasters on the stock returns and volatilities of local firms," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 259-270.
  18. Matteo Bonato & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2024. "Business applications and state‐level stock market realized volatility: A forecasting experiment," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(2), pages 456-472, March.
  19. Afees A. Salisu & Wenting Liao & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2023. "Economic Conditions and Predictability of US Stock Returns Volatility: Local Factor versus National Factor in a GARCH-MIDAS Model," Working Papers 202323, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  20. Polat, Onur & Gupta, Rangan & Cepni, Oguzhan & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Can municipal bonds hedge US state-level climate risks?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
  21. Pham, Anh Viet & Adrian, Christofer & Garg, Mukesh & Phang, Soon-Yeow & Truong, Cameron, 2021. "State-level COVID-19 outbreak and stock returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  22. Memmel, Christoph & Gündüz, Yalin & Raupach, Peter, 2015. "The common drivers of default risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 232-247.
  23. Racheva-Sarabian, Anna & Ryvkin, Dmitry & Semykina, Anastasia, 2015. "The default of special district financing: Evidence from California," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 37-48.
  24. Apergis, Nicholas & Dastidar, Sayantan Ghosh, 2024. "Local stock liquidity and local factors: Fresh evidence from US firms across states," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
  25. Rui Du & Junfu Zhang, 2022. "Super bowl participation and the local economy: Evidence from the stock market," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(4), pages 1513-1545, December.
  26. Ding, Xiaoya (Sara) & Ni, Yang & Rahman, Abdul & Saadi, Samir, 2015. "Housing price growth and the cost of equity capital," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 283-300.
  27. Dissanayake, Ruchith, 2021. "Geographic distribution of firms and expected stock returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
  28. Bessler, Wolfgang & Kurmann, Philipp & Nohel, Tom, 2015. "Time-varying systematic and idiosyncratic risk exposures of US bank holding companies," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 45-68.
  29. Laudenbach, Christine & Loos, Benjamin & Pirschel, Jenny & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2021. "The trading response of individual investors to local bankruptcies," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 928-953.
  30. Jannati, Sima & Korniotis, George & Kumar, Alok, 2020. "Big fish in a small pond: Locally dominant firms and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 219-240.
  31. Fauver, Larry & McDonald, Michael B., 2015. "Culture, agency costs, and governance: International evidence on capital structure," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 1-23.
  32. Malik, Ihtisham A. & Chowdhury, Hasibul & Alam, Md Samsul, 2023. "Equity market response to natural disasters: Does firm's corporate social responsibility make difference?," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
  33. Jia, Jing & Li, Zhongtian, 2024. "Opioid abuse and labor investment efficiency," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PA), pages 1267-1285.
  34. Chhaochharia, Vidhi & Kim, Dasol & Korniotis, George M. & Kumar, Alok, 2019. "Mood, firm behavior, and aggregate economic outcomes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 427-450.
  35. V. Candila & O. Cepni & G. M. Gallo & R. Gupta, 2024. "Influence of Local and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the volatility of US state-level equity returns: Evidence from a GARCH-MIDAS approach with Shrinkage and Cluster Analysis," Working Paper CRENoS 202414, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
  36. Baschieri, Giulia & Carosi, Andrea & Mengoli, Stefano, 2015. "Local IPOs, local delistings, and the firm location premium," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 67-83.
  37. Zhu, Lin & Jiang, Fuwei & Tang, Guohao & Jin, Fujing, 2024. "From macro to micro: Sparse macroeconomic risks and the cross-section of stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
  38. Jiawen Luo & Shengjie Fu & Oguzhan Cepni & Rangan Gupta, 2025. "The Role of Uncertainty in Forecasting Realized Covariance of US State-Level Stock Returns: A Reverse-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202501, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  39. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Chen, Yan-Shing & Liang, Woan-lih & Wang, Yanzhi, 2020. "Public R&D spending and cross-sectional stock returns," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(1).
  40. Kim, Woo Jin & Yang, Dong-Ryung, 2016. "CEO to the Rescue: Residential Proximity of Private Firm CEOs and the Evolution of Corporate Profitability," KDI Journal of Economic Policy, Korea Development Institute (KDI), vol. 38(4), pages 1-21.
  41. Mariassunta Giannetti & Tracy Yue Wang, 2016. "Corporate Scandals and Household Stock Market Participation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(6), pages 2591-2636, December.
  42. Javadi, Siamak & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2021. "The impact of climate change on the cost of bank loans," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
  43. Lee, Kiryoung & Jeon, Yoontae & Jo, Chanik, 2020. "Chinese economic policy uncertainty and U.S. households' portfolio decisions," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  44. Kiryoung Lee & Yoontae Jeon & Insik Kim, 2021. "Which economic uncertainty measure matters for households' portfolio decision?," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 44(2), pages 343-369, June.
  45. Baur, Dirk G. & Löffler, Gunter, 2015. "Predicting the equity premium with the demand for gold coins and bars," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 13(C), pages 172-178.
  46. Agarwal, Vikas & Aslan, Hadiye & Huang, Lixin & Ren, Honglin, 2021. "Political uncertainty and household stock market participation," CFR Working Papers 21-06, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
  47. Chen, Zilin & Chu, Liya & Liang, Dawei & Tu, Jun, 2022. "Far away from home: Investors’ underreaction to geographically dispersed information," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
  48. Michael Firth & Shihe Fu & Liwei Shan, 2017. "Do agglomeration economies affect the local comovement of stock returns? Evidence from China," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 54(5), pages 1142-1161, April.
  49. Chen, Yunsen & Huang, Jianqiao & Xiao, Sheng & Zhao, Ziye, 2020. "The “home bias” of corporate subsidiary locations," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
  50. Liu, Yi & Jin, Justin, 2023. "Social distancing and local bias," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  51. Laudenbach, Christine & Loos, Benjamin & Pirschel, Jenny & Wohlfart, Johannes, 2020. "The trading response of individual investors to local bankruptcies," SAFE Working Paper Series 272, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  52. Yi Tang & Yilu Zhou & Marshall Hong, 2019. "News Co-Occurrences, Stock Return Correlations, and Portfolio Construction Implications," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-21, March.
  53. Salisu, Afees A. & Isah, Kazeem O. & Cepni, Oguzhan, 2024. "Conventional and unconventional shadow rates and the US state-level stock returns: Evidence from non-stationary heterogeneous panels," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  54. Christine Laudenbach & Benjamin Loos & Jenny Pirschel & Johannes Wohlfart, 2020. "The Trading Response of Individual Investors to Local Bankruptcies," CESifo Working Paper Series 8191, CESifo.
  55. Ma, Rui & Marshall, Ben R. & Nguyen, Hung T. & Nguyen, Nhut H. & Visaltanachoti, Nuttawat, 2022. "Climate events and return comovement," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
  56. Baschieri, Giulia & Carosi, Andrea & Mengoli, Stefano, 2016. "Does the earnings quality matter? Evidence from a quasi-experimental setting," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 146-157.
  57. Dong, Dayong & Jiang, Danling & Wu, Keke & Zhu, Hongquan, 2024. "Game in another town: Geography of stock watchlists and firm valuation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
  58. Nerissa C. Brown & Han Stice & Roger M. White, 2015. "Mobile Communication and Local Information Flow: Evidence from Distracted Driving Laws," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(2), pages 275-329, May.
  59. Afees A. Salisu & Ahamuefula E.Oghonna & Rangan Gupta & Oguzhan Cepni, 2024. "Energy Market Uncertainties and US State-Level Stock Market Volatility: A GARCH-MIDAS Approach," Working Papers 202409, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  60. Jawad M. Addoum & Alok Kumar, 2016. "Political Sentiment and Predictable Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(12), pages 3471-3518.
  61. Wang, Wenlong & Huang, Yuqin & Watson, John & Yang, Bowen, 2023. "The intra-regional spillover effects of bond defaults: Evidence from the Chinese corporate debt market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
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