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The intra-regional spillover effects of bond defaults: Evidence from the Chinese corporate debt market

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  • Wang, Wenlong
  • Huang, Yuqin
  • Watson, John
  • Yang, Bowen

Abstract

Taking the first bond defaults in each province in China as credit events, we adopt a staggered difference-in-difference model and find that credit spreads of other corporate bonds in the same province increase by 15 basis points, suggesting spillover effects. The spillover effects are stronger on local state-owned enterprises (LSOEs) and non-state-owned enterprises (Non-SOEs) than on central state-owned enterprises (CSOEs). Moreover, the defaults of LSOEs trigger the greatest spillover effects among all types of defaults. Provinces with higher guarantee capability experience fewer spillover effects. Our findings suggest intra-regional spillover effects from investors' shaken beliefs on implicit government guarantees.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Wenlong & Huang, Yuqin & Watson, John & Yang, Bowen, 2023. "The intra-regional spillover effects of bond defaults: Evidence from the Chinese corporate debt market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:77:y:2023:i:c:s0927538x22001822
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2022.101887
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bond default; Spillover effects; Implicit government guarantee; Corporate debt securities;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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