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Seasonality in Stock Price Mean Reversion: Evidence from the U.S. and the U.K

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kim, Chang-Jin & Morley, James C. & Nelson, Charles R., 2001. "Does an intertemporal tradeoff between risk and return explain mean reversion in stock prices?," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(4), pages 403-426, September.
  2. Pat Wilson & John Okunev & Guy Ta, 1994. "Are Real Estate and Securities Markets Integrated? Some Australian Evidence," Working Paper Series 42, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
  3. Brealey, Richard A. & Kwan, Sabrina, 1999. "Personal taxes and the time variation of stock returns - evidence from the UK," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(11), pages 1557-1577, November.
  4. Kim, Hyeongwoo & Kim, Jintae, 2018. "London calling: Nonlinear mean reversion across national stock markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 265-277.
  5. Hwang, Yoontae & Park, Junpyo & Lee, Yongjae & Lim, Dong-Young, 2023. "Stop-loss adjusted labels for machine learning-based trading of risky assets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
  6. Demetrescu, Matei & Rodrigues, Paulo M.M. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2023. "Transformed regression-based long-horizon predictability tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 237(2).
  7. Mark, Nelson C. & Choi, Doo-Yull, 1997. "Real exchange-rate prediction over long horizons," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1-2), pages 29-60, August.
  8. John Okunev & Patrick J. Wilson, 1997. "Using Nonlinear Tests to Examine Integration Between Real Estate and Stock Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 25(3), pages 487-503, September.
  9. Liu, Chao-Shin & Ziebart, David A., 1999. "Anomalous security price behavior following management earnings forecasts," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 405-429, October.
  10. Boucher, C. & Jasinski, A. & Tokpavi, S., 2023. "Conditional mean reversion of financial ratios and the predictability of returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
  11. Mili, Mehdi, 2019. "The impact of tradeoff between risk and return on mean reversion in sovereign CDS markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 187-200.
  12. Mukherji, Sandip, 2011. "Are stock returns still mean-reverting?," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 22-27, January.
  13. Lin, Shih-Kuei & Wang, Shin-Yun & Tsai, Pei-Ling, 2009. "Application of hidden Markov switching moving average model in the stock markets: Theory and empirical evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 306-317, March.
  14. Yilmaz, Kamil, 2003. "Martingale Property of Exchange Rates and Central Bank Interventions," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(3), pages 383-395, July.
  15. Nelson Manuel Areal & Manuel Jose Da Rocha Armada, 2002. "The long-horizon returns behaviour of the Portuguese stock market1," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 93-122.
  16. J. Annaert & W. Van Hyfte, 2006. "Long-Horizon Mean Reversion for the Brussels Stock Exchange: Evidence for the 19th Century," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 06/376, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
  17. Stephanie-Carolin Grosche, 2014. "What Does Granger Causality Prove? A Critical Examination of the Interpretation of Granger Causality Results on Price Effects of Index Trading in Agricultural Commodity Markets," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(2), pages 279-302, June.
  18. Chen, Son-Nan & Jeon, Kisuk, 1998. "Mean reversion behavior of the returns on currency assets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 185-200.
  19. Bin Li & Steven C. H. Hoi, 2012. "Online Portfolio Selection: A Survey," Papers 1212.2129, arXiv.org, revised May 2013.
  20. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A., 2002. "Fractional integration and mean reversion in stock prices," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 599-609.
  21. Valeriy Zakamulin & Javier Giner, 2020. "Trend following with momentum versus moving averages: a tale of differences," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(6), pages 985-1007, June.
  22. Dwight R. Sanders & Scott H. Irwin, 2010. "A speculative bubble in commodity futures prices? Cross‐sectional evidence," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(1), pages 25-32, January.
  23. McPherson, Matthew Q. & Palardy, Joseph, 2007. "Are international stock returns predictable?: An examination of linear and non-linear predictability using generalized spectral tests," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 452-464, December.
  24. Boudoukh, Jacob & Israel, Ronen & Richardson, Matthew, 2022. "Biases in long-horizon predictive regressions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(3), pages 937-969.
  25. David Hirshleifer, 2001. "Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 56(4), pages 1533-1597, August.
  26. Alford, Alan & Guffey, Daryl M., 1996. "A re-examination of international seasonalities," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17.
  27. Campbell, John Y., 2001. "Why long horizons? A study of power against persistent alternatives," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 8(5), pages 459-491, December.
  28. Ramzi Boussaidi, 2017. "The winner-loser effect in the Tunisian stock market: A multidimensional risk-based explanation," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(3), pages 178-189, September.
  29. McPherson, Matthew Q. & Palardy, Joseph & Vilasuso, Jon, 2005. "Are international stock returns predictable?: An application of spectral shape tests corrected for heteroskedasticity," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 103-118.
  30. Spierdijk, Laura & Bikker, Jacob A. & van den Hoek, Pieter, 2012. "Mean reversion in international stock markets: An empirical analysis of the 20th century," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 228-249.
  31. Shlomo Zilca, 2010. "The variance ratio and trend stationary model as extensions of a constrained autoregressive model," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(5), pages 467-475.
  32. Giner, Javier & Zakamulin, Valeriy, 2023. "A regime-switching model of stock returns with momentum and mean reversion," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
  33. Gao, Jianjun & Li, Yaoming & Shi, Yun & Xie, Jinyan, 2024. "Multi-period portfolio choice under loss aversion with dynamic reference point in serially correlated market," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
  34. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, April.
  35. Kieran Wood & Sven Giegerich & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2021. "Trading with the Momentum Transformer: An Intelligent and Interpretable Architecture," Papers 2112.08534, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  36. Rojo Suárez, Javier & Alonso Conde, Ana Belén & Ferrero Pozo, Ricardo, 2020. "European equity markets: Who is the truly representative investor?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 325-346.
  37. Alan Alford & Daryl M. Guffey, 1996. "A re‐examination of international seasonalities," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, December.
  38. Ansgar Steland, 2005. "Random Walks with Drift – A Sequential Approach," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(6), pages 917-942, November.
  39. Steland, Ansgar, 2004. "Random walks with drift : a sequential approach," Technical Reports 2004,50, Technische Universität Dortmund, Sonderforschungsbereich 475: Komplexitätsreduktion in multivariaten Datenstrukturen.
  40. Phillips, Peter C.B. & Lee, Ji Hyung, 2013. "Predictive regression under various degrees of persistence and robust long-horizon regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 250-264.
  41. Wei-Chang Yeh & Yu-Hsin Hsieh & Chia-Ling Huang, 2022. "Newly Developed Flexible Grid Trading Model Combined ANN and SSO algorithm," Papers 2211.12839, arXiv.org.
  42. Gangopadhyay, Partha & Reinganum, Marc R., 1996. "Interpreting mean reversion in stock returns," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 377-394.
  43. Tien Foo Sing & Kim Hiang Liow & Wei‐Jin Chan, 2002. "Mean reversion of Singapore property stock prices towards their fundamental values," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 20(4), pages 374-387, August.
  44. Fang, Yue, 2002. "The compass rose and random walk tests," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 299-310, May.
  45. Gropp, Jeffrey, 2004. "Mean reversion of industry stock returns in the U.S., 1926-1998," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(4), pages 537-551, September.
  46. Bali, Turan G. & Demirtas, K. Ozgur & Levy, Haim, 2008. "Nonlinear mean reversion in stock prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(5), pages 767-782, May.
  47. Oesinghaus, Andreas, 2024. "Analysts’ extrapolative expectations in the cross-section," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  48. Partha Gangopadhyay, 1996. "Macroeconomic Variables And Seasonal Mean Reversion In Stock Returns," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 395-416, September.
  49. Baur, Robert Frederick, 1992. "Overreaction in futures markets," ISU General Staff Papers 1992010108000010973, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
  50. Li Shuangjie & Hu Xuefeng & Wang Liming, 2020. "Could the Stock Market Adjust Itself? An Empirical Study Based on Mean Reversion Theory," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 8(2), pages 97-115, April.
  51. Kim Kaivanto & Peng Zhang, 2019. "Investor Sentiment as a Predictor of Market Returns," Working Papers 268005798, Lancaster University Management School, Economics Department.
  52. Benjamin Munyan, 2015. "Regulatory Arbitrage in the Repo Market," Working Papers 15-22, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
  53. Grosche, Stephanie, 2012. "Limitations of Granger Causality Analysis to assess the price effects from the financialization of agricultural commodity markets under bounded rationality," Discussion Papers 121868, University of Bonn, Institute for Food and Resource Economics.
  54. Kieran Wood & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2021. "Slow Momentum with Fast Reversion: A Trading Strategy Using Deep Learning and Changepoint Detection," Papers 2105.13727, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
  55. Park, Chul Woo, 1999. "Maturity structure of public debt and expected bond returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(9), pages 1407-1435, September.
  56. Titman, Sheridan & John Wei, K. C., 1999. "Understanding stock market volatility: The case of Korea and Taiwan," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 7(1), pages 41-66, February.
  57. Liam Gallagher, 1999. "A multi-country analysis of the temporary and permanent components of stock prices," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 129-142.
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